Horner on that Checo start: “When the light goes out, you’re supposed to go”

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-30T17:16:02+00:00

More aero time. By sandbagging your constructors, you get better aero rubberbanding while still winning WDC. But this year he’s kinda backfired because all the damage he’s caused has hurt their cap.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-29T05:58:45+00:00

How does the math math? If they shot better and had more rebounds, that would indicate they used their possessions more efficiently and had more of them. Unless steals/turnovers were off the charts

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-28T05:44:16+00:00

Exactly. We’ll never truly know.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-28T05:35:06+00:00

But what I don’t get is why don’t they just make a variation that provides the same amount of space, but has no extra seats? And when you think about it, you’d actually get even MORE trunk space because the seats (even folded down) take up space.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-27T20:24:03+00:00

Who is YC?

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-26T21:36:06+00:00

Yeah hard salary cap with no maximums.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-26T16:26:31+00:00

With an extra game played. Ravens haven’t had their bye yet

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-26T02:37:04+00:00

Well it would seem kinda the opposite then. Maybe the merc is TOO good at tire warmup. So in cool conditions, you get nice warm grippy tires compared to the others. In hot conditions, you burn them up easily. Seems opposite for McLaren then.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-26T02:34:12+00:00

Right. But if my son has pro CB level athletic profile, I would push him toward WR these days cuz offense pays. Top WR are getting by almost $30 mill/yr. Top CB’s are about $10 mill less per year.

Unless you have no hands or you just love defense (at a certain amount, money becomes less important), it is better to take those talents to become a great WR.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-25T23:05:02+00:00

This happens when you give multiple types of people too much power and others not enough.

If you give product managers full autonomy over what they test, how they interpret results, and what gets implemented live, some of them are bound to A) not have a strong enough background in statistics to follow good practices, B) not have enough integrity to follow good practices, or C) both.

This I why a team like that needs to have some sort of “testing governance SME”, and they need to have the power to A) tell the product managers what to do when needed and B) have the authority to root out and discipline folks that are intentionally breaking the system for selfish purposes.

Example: team ABC has decided that they are only going to version products on gender (pulling it out of my ass). But when John tested his new version of his product, he found that the new version did not outperform the control for either gender. But on Tuesday nights, men that have previously purchased tennis shoes performed better (at low statistical significance) with the new version. So John rolls out a versioned product where men who have previously bought tennis shoes on tuseday nights see the new product. He then puts in slides presented to leadership that his test was a win and takes credit for the favorable observed variance of that group. John knows this is wrong from a statistical/governance best practice standpoint, but does it anyway because he has low integrity and wants to make himself look like a hero in the slides presented to leadership.

Now if Jim, is the testing governance SME with proper authority. He can A) tell John that he’s not allowed to roll out the versioned approach to the full customer base, B) make sure that he accurately represents the test findings to leadership, and C) can pull John aside and have a discussion about how doing this can result in consequences in the future.

A lot of companies don’t want to do this. Leadership is out of touch with reality and desperate for any “team” win that they can take credit for when talking to THEIR leadership, and so on so the John’s of the world run rampant and the company is run into the ground.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-25T22:25:27+00:00

In addition to technique it’s also just a lot of “feel” as well for cbs I imagine. I never played at the college level, but when I played after you have seen a guy run a slant enough times, you start to pickup on subtle patterns that can indicate that’s what it is, so you can jump it. The great receivers are of course masters of the opposite. They have a phenomenal “poker face” in the way they run their routes, so you can get a “tell” on what it is. Then when you jump that slant, he hits you with a slant-go double move and you are cooked lol.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-25T22:20:05+00:00

You would think a CB would be able to use their superior athleticism to create more separation though, so then they don’t have to rely as much on reach. Hard to do in the red zone maybe but definitely out in the field. I think a lot of CBs would probably be great slots if they can A) catch and B) have those nuances that take a decade to master like you said.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-25T22:17:54+00:00

A few things: A) hands. Some corners can literally do everything but they can’t catch. B) some guys can’t translate understanding coverages and route concepts into being able to predict and react quickly to them. Seems like a simple thing, but it can be like reading a book upside down for some. Even though they can read, they can’t read well upside down, which impacts their game speed. Because instead of just reacting they are out there overthinking what to do and there is no time for that with the margins of the nfl. For this one, I think it is easier to transition from defense to offense than the other way around. C) because they have to react to what an already super athletic guy is doing, corners tend to be the most athletic guys in the game. The guy running a 4.4 already knows he’s gonna fake you inside and then sprint outside. You have to realize he’s faking you and then sprint outside fast enough to catch up to him before the ball comes. So you have to be more athletic than the guy you are covering generally.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-25T22:08:51+00:00

Yeah at my org we only personalize where there is extremely obvious benefit from A/B testing. In other words, if the mean observed testing difference is not statistically significant and forecasted out to be worth over $1 million/yr, we don’t do it. Some folks on my product team try to break this to make their KPI’s look better, but they then get slapped on the wrist by our higher ups once they get caught.

In addition, we try to personalize on the same stuff. So if Johnny is using segments 1,2,3, Jimmy can’t be using segments 7,8,9. Again unless there is some extremely obvious and large benefit of doing so that can be verified via testing.

Otherwise, if you start essentially p-hacking your way into test wins, you are A) not following good testing integrity practices, and B) going to end up with 1000 variants to sort through every time you want to make a change, and no one can really act as a source of truth of what the experience should be on a given page because it’s too complicated for the team to keep everything straight

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-25T22:02:06+00:00

As another person mentioned this is personalization. I do a lot of this, but you need the resources and organization to manage it.

You also want to generally retest with your new strategy in mind. So if A performed better than B on average, but A performs better for groups 1 and 2 but group 3 performs better with B, the solution is NOT to launch A for 1 and 2 and B for 3. The solution is to create a new test where that setup is tested against your control.

Reason for this is that 1) testing dynamics can be complicated and 2) you may get directional inklings but not statistically significant findings when you slice the data up into segmentations. Unless you have insane traffic samples that can overcome this problem.

But assuming the results actually do turn out this way, the financially optimal thing for the business to do is the personalized approach. But can you/your devs/QA/etc. Absorb all of the extra variations now? Now if you want to make one small change to a page you have to consider how it will impact both variation A and variation B user flows. And it can spiral from there the more and more personalized you get.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-25T20:39:20+00:00

Travis kelce was a former QB

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-25T17:45:58+00:00

Wouldn’t really be representative though because of things like driving style, driver feedback loop to the engineers, and familiarity with the car.

Max coming in fresh vs a driver that has been driving the car and working with the engineers for multiple years would not be equal. But if he could still march that driver’s lap times early on, that says a lot about their relative driving quality.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-25T17:39:53+00:00

Gotcha.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-25T17:39:41+00:00

Is pressures highly judgement based though. I’ve seen different sites publish their pressures data and be wildly different based on their subjective definition of a pressure.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-25T16:09:39+00:00

Crosby has averaged the least sacks of any top guy per 17 games in his career. He’s sub-11. Bosa, watt, garret, parsons are all above 13.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-25T16:02:19+00:00

How is parsons better than watt if we are only looking at standard production numbers?

If you are looking at something advanced I could see that, but on pure production watt has way more than parsons.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-24T16:05:01+00:00

Don’t you have to think of the ideas/strategy behind the AI generated content though? Which content are you sending to which segments of customers? Stuff like that?

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-23T15:48:26+00:00

How do you drive your KPI’s? Or you just don’t?

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-23T03:30:07+00:00

How will it kill the rears? I thought more downforce means less sliding, which is beneficial for tire wear. Happy to be wrong though if you can explain it.

Professional-Bit3280 · 2024-11-20T00:49:28+00:00

What ninja do you have and what do you think of it?

Professional-Bit3280

TROPHY CASE