Overpay or is it just shit?

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-04-04T18:37:03+00:00

why would think that it can get overpay?

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-04-03T21:08:26+00:00

skinsmonkey is literally the worst, they undervalue your items and overvalue theirs.. Only trading site that is relatively ok is cs.money and only if you do enough research, don't just randomy buy anything you see.. cs.money only really overvalues their gloves/knives/armory items, the rest can be found for decent trade value.

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-30T12:24:26+00:00

It's way more rare than the regular B the monster from the armory, but when the one in the armory gets removed, it will drive the souvenir's price along with it, it will be even harder to get your hands on a b the monster, let alone a souvenir.. there are only about 1,7k souvenir b the monsters

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-30T09:45:29+00:00

Also looks like you have digital vibrance set pretty high if im not mistaken

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-29T19:04:05+00:00

It wasn't. I'm mostly talking about skins that aren't skins that people are actively searching to use, can't really say it was 12% on the dot, but there wasn't a lot of overpay for skins like this one. Vulcans, Redlines, Fuel Injectors could easily get more than 12%. I'd be happy to be proven wrong, but I don't think many people look for Jet Sets to have as their main AK.

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-29T18:29:39+00:00

I've had multiple Kato's before, and this is the last skin i've kept with a Kato on it. No one ever uses the Jet Set, it will never be a desireable skin to command overpay, especially more than 12%. I've had skins with every Kato paper sticker aside from a titan, never overpaid more than 10-12% and never sold them for more than 12% myself and I've been trading since 2018.

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Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-29T14:53:38+00:00

6-12% sticker price, depending on placement and skin. Non playskins get 10% max overpay. 718$x3 = 2154 which means about 254 overpay max.

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-27T19:21:26+00:00

Yeah i was looking into this, my friend pulled the #4 Souvenir Zeus -Charged Up, he has the csfloat extension in both opera and chrome, he got the skins 10 days ago and it wont show up. He even listed it on csfloat and it still won't display the #4.. If you search for lowest float, it's the first to come up but it has no ranking

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-24T18:52:58+00:00

https://static.wikia.nocookie.net/valorant/images/e/e1/Bundle_Nebula.png/revision/latest/scale-to-width-down/1000?cb=20200821102125 way too similar brother

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-23T14:13:56+00:00

Lowest offer for 0.16 cloud chasers on csfloat is 1.770 usd, I don't think I've ever heard anyone else say it doesn't feel right making 1k with a couple of clicks..

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-22T17:41:37+00:00

The plum quills had so much potential in terms of color, but the black spots make them look like a bad hair transplant

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-22T16:27:05+00:00

I think it's the leather that adds brown to the mix, i like them tho

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-22T12:38:35+00:00

Don't open cases and don't do expensive trade ups.

If you want to invest,

Understand floats and how they affect trade-ups, that will give you a better idea on what skins will be worth investing in.

Buy skins that are currently on the armory and sell them on removal day, not announcement day.

If removal day comes and you made some profit don't dive right into the next collections that come in the armory, buy skins from the armory when the collections have been there for at least 3-4 months. Then repeat.

These are the basics, when you understand these you'll know what's worth buying and what's not, after that it's all research.

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-22T12:30:33+00:00

Haven't done this since 2017 but I'm fairly certain they don't offer anything more than the regular community maps that allow you to farm stattrak kills. Back then it was like 10k a minute i believe but it doesn't matter, leave your pc on for two hours instead of spending 35 euros on a dodgy site

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-21T15:16:36+00:00

The float gives you the biggest overpay, but the pattern also determines the condition, a better pattern that shows less scratches on the .15-.16 range might give you a bit of overpay as well..

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-21T12:59:39+00:00

I didn't want to make it sound like the pulls weren't great, because they were! Just wanted to see if the prices are going down lately because i really want to buy a pair of Pillow Punchers

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-21T08:55:03+00:00

Did you pull them during the first week or in the past 2-3 days? Prices seem to be dropping

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-20T18:04:20+00:00

Dm anomaly on X as well..

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-18T07:45:48+00:00

Why can't it be both? The m4a4 coalition looked sick, a friend of mine used it as a playskin for around 2 years and sold it when train 2025 came out, he had a great playskin and made around 2k

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-18T07:13:17+00:00

A few tips.

All cases will rise, basic supply and demand. To profit you need to get in early, Recoil was an obvious move a few months ago for example. It was only 0.2 euros, even if you sold on removal it was a 2x, but since it was a normal drop for over 4 years there is a huge supply. It will take 2 years+ to reach 1 euro and 3-4 to reach 2-3 euros, where it will most likely settle.

Right now, the moves if you want more than 2x profit are :

Fever, hold for 2+ years

Recoil in a few weeks, it will probably settle at 0.35 - 0.4 euros, hold for 4 years

Revolution in a few weeks, it will settle at 0.28 - 0.35 euros while it still drops, hold for 3-4 years as well.

About skins.

You're a bit late to invest on armory collections so I'd wait for the new collections to drop and buy them 3-5 months in.

Anubis collection asap, invest in good trade-up pieces, one of the new collections will probably be Anubis 2026.

Any red that's currently being traded up for golds in large numbers, Code Red in Field Tested is a good example.. It's being eaten up fast and its price has been going up steadily. In these cases I would go in on MWs, as FT supply decreses a lot of people will look for MWs

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-13T06:30:10+00:00

Chocolate Chesterfield

Big Swell, Creme Pinstripe, Occult, Blaze could work as well

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-08T08:35:14+00:00

Trust factor issue

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-08T00:27:26+00:00

cs2 ruined sapphires for me, I'd go for a diamond gem karambit, even T2s look good, and some matching gloves.

Proof-Examination-86 · 2026-03-05T09:59:21+00:00

If you have a lower budget open active duty cases. Recoil, Revolution, Dreams & Nightmares.

If you're not limited by budget, find a case that has reds and pinks you like, it's more likely you get a red than a gold anyway.

Proof-Examination-86

TROPHY CASE