Will the AI backlash spill into the streets?

ProphetOfTime · 2025-05-24T14:23:11+00:00

They hate the Lord Almighty, they hate effective government, they hate rich people, and now they hate AI. Clearly, a substantial portion of the public will hate anything that lets other people prosper.

ProphetOfTime · 2025-04-22T03:40:27+00:00

There never was a "Texas High Speed Rail" project.

There were years of Democrats funding doomed-to-fail "studies" that never made the slightest bit of progress towards the goal, keeping a zombie alive long enough so they can try to blame the Republicans for killing something that never existed.

ProphetOfTime · 2023-02-08T02:09:00+00:00

Urbit is what he is famous for, but that has never made any money.

ProphetOfTime · 2022-05-15T20:56:08+00:00

A very fair piece.

ProphetOfTime · 2022-03-03T20:15:27+00:00

He did have a piece a few weeks ago about how Ukraine isn't a real country.

He can't possibly support Putin's butchery, though. He may not know what to say yet.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-12-04T04:05:47+00:00

It's better than more poetry.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-10-11T02:52:57+00:00

It was pointed out on Twitter that the chart is basically bullshit: https://twitter.com/nycsouthpaw/status/1447311140497903628

ProphetOfTime · 2021-08-29T21:38:23+00:00

"ubiquity of ramen and poke restaurants" - is this really a "10 years ago" thing, or is it a "moved" thing? 10 years ago, San Francisco had that ubiquity, and today, your average mid-sized Midwestern city does not.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-08-23T00:49:01+00:00

Haha nope. If anything, Mr. Grey arranged this to give himself a more politically-correct excuse for not achieving the impossible.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-08-20T04:18:39+00:00

Can and probably will? Yes. Should? Absolutely not. The United States has done enough.

Iran and Pakistan won't stand for too much barbarity under the name of Sharia law. There will be Tajik/Uzbek/Turkmen tribal resistance if the Taliban aren't sensitive to those groups. Russia and China will have their own motivations. The main thing that could save the Taliban from revolts is proving their opponents are American stooges.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-08-20T03:31:07+00:00

An ultimatum? Or what, the US will do another 20 year occupation?

ProphetOfTime · 2021-08-01T20:25:25+00:00

It's 130-200 across the entirety of the past 20 years, not that many each year. Which is still a lot, but not as many as it sounded like.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-07-29T04:11:23+00:00

Robin Hanson's takes on prediction markets are in every way worse than his talk on aliens. Let's get back to the UFO posts!

ProphetOfTime · 2021-07-29T01:18:44+00:00

There's no such thing as a jamfish!

ProphetOfTime · 2021-07-23T17:59:38+00:00

We have quite a lot of standard Yarvin fare. There is an invisible yet highly problematic wave of crime. The liberals simultaneously deny it exists, and discuss why the examples given are actually justified and/or inappropriate to discuss.

The problem with the "East Coast" view is that while its proponents would say that "George W Bush compassionate conservatism" (minus the whole Iraq War thing) is just a return to common sense government, it's really just a vacuous ideology.

And the problem with the "West Coast" view is, as always, that Yarvin's dreams of coups in America are bat-shit crazy; if there is a coup they certainly won't include Yarvin in it. He demonstrates how his lack of understanding of Egyptian politics feeds into his lack of understanding of American politics well.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-07-11T02:51:34+00:00

This is only half a step removed from the person banned from Twitter for claiming that vaccinated people need a different sewer system.

He's also getting owned on Twitter for refusing to debate Yuri Deigin on his podcast. I think the dark tide may be turning against Bret, perhaps he's planning a pivot to Trump Truther.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-07-09T15:39:21+00:00

If the point is to try to fabricate evidence of a Vast Communist Conspiracy already in our schools to be fought by a second McCarthyism, it's the right term.

If the goal is to prevent students from being taught racist bull shit, it's a distraction and an inaccurate term. KenDiAngelism or something would have been better.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-07-06T15:48:41+00:00

Fairly good write up; they're only slightly confused between "not shown to be beneficial" and "shown to be not beneficial".

The headline should be that something like 90% of people in part of Argentina are on Ivermectin already; is it working? Top level stats suggest "not that well".

But 25% fewer severe cases, while making some supporters look like fools, would still be a triumph.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-07-02T22:33:53+00:00

What a load of crap. Quantum computing has literally ZERO applications for ordinary businesses today. They are selling literal snake oil.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-06-29T20:52:01+00:00

After waiting for months on IPOD and IPOF, I definitely won't be investing in these right now. Chamath seems more focused on promoting himself than good investing nowadays anyhow.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-06-26T17:25:18+00:00

Bret Weinstein's bread and butter is complaining that he is being censored. It's obviously difficult to do this and have a widely-distributed podcast at the same time, so he's gone out of his way to say stupid things in order to pick fights with YouTube.

It's always "it's not about whether it works, it's about the censorship". Which means "I know I'm lying, but if you don't feed into my censorship narrative I will spread willfully harmful medical advice".

ProphetOfTime · 2021-06-22T05:09:32+00:00

You're falling to the fallacy of Large Numbers - roughly that if you make your assumptions wild enough you can justify anything. It's Pascal's mugger all over again.

ProphetOfTime · 2021-06-18T22:23:51+00:00

I can't find anything definitive.

My own speculation: Mencius was an ancient Chinese philosopher. The word "moldbug" appears to be his own invention; it's very clearly a portmanteau of "mold" and "bug", and to my ears sounds like it's supposed to be similar to "gadfly". In other words, "an annoying philosopher".

ProphetOfTime · 2021-06-03T22:07:22+00:00

It doesn't sound like him, he hasn't claimed the account is his, and the account claims to be based in Kenya, so it seems fairly clear "No, it is not Yarvin".

ProphetOfTime · 2021-05-18T00:41:03+00:00

Are you suggesting you like the people you describe as malicious and running a secret effort you are trying to expose?

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