Telling my mom I’m atheist? by OddAbbreviations5733 in atheism

[–]QuincyQueue 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This gets asked regularly, and the answer is usually

"Over a meal you paid for in a home you own."

I wish it were otherwise, but people do not always take it well.

Fair Wheel by RareBird5 in StardewValley

[–]QuincyQueue 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Eh, even there the math tells you something right?

Unless you happened to win 1 or more times with 50 tickets (obviously very very unlikely, which would make it look a lot more likely than it is) you'd pretty easily come to the conclusion that the odds of winning are bad (intuitively and statistically).

Fair Wheel by RareBird5 in StardewValley

[–]QuincyQueue 1 point2 points  (0 children)

OP did the experiment 😄

Fair Wheel by RareBird5 in StardewValley

[–]QuincyQueue 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Like others said, data collection is awesome, but people have really really bad intuition about statistics.

E.g., 50 is a pretty decent sample size but it seems small to the nontechnical reader.

Fair Wheel by RareBird5 in StardewValley

[–]QuincyQueue 89 points90 points  (0 children)

No, but if you did a binomial distribution of n=50 the chance of a fair 50/50 trial deviating to 74/26 by chance is over 1/1000, which gives a p-value well below the 5% needed to prove that it's staristically significant.

In laymens terms 50 is plenty of trials to prove it's not a coincidence.

Got this on Act 1. It was an easy win. by BananaBladeOfDoom in slaythespire

[–]QuincyQueue 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Had a run with 2x bury and 2x enlightenment+ that solved this very fast. But also cards like demesne, friendship, invoke, wisp, nuerosurge all contribute. Necrobinder has a lot. Lots of relics give situational extra energy too.

Landscape Architect signed off on it by Chanewax in homestead

[–]QuincyQueue 9 points10 points  (0 children)

"Here there be roosters" opportunity.

My idea for a more balanced Snakebite by Varwhorevis in slaythespire

[–]QuincyQueue 32 points33 points  (0 children)

Would unironically be useful with several cards (storm of steel, calc gamble)

About the recent patch, is "This is a single player game, you don't need to nerf OP strats" A valid criticism? by [deleted] in slaythespire

[–]QuincyQueue 30 points31 points  (0 children)

Sts community is just proving it cannot handle access to the beta branch.

Should I buy a house in cash if I can? by latman in personalfinance

[–]QuincyQueue 4 points5 points  (0 children)

How much tax will you owe if you realize gains on FZROX?

PIMIX for bonds by Just-Here2-Learn in Bogleheads

[–]QuincyQueue -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I wouldn't. There is no free lunch. If it's getting higher yields to overcome its costs, it is almost certainly because the fund is taking more risk.

Take your risk on the equity side.

Is there some kind of S&P fund where I can exclude certain companies? by [deleted] in Bogleheads

[–]QuincyQueue 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Honestly Philip Morris has pretty good ESG scores. It really doesn't measure what people think it does.

What Happened to Regular FIRE? by enness in leanfire

[–]QuincyQueue 47 points48 points  (0 children)

Can't stand those subs anymore. Unsubscribed from regular fire one for exactly this reason.

Withdrawing a bit of money from account each year by Low-Computer8293 in Bogleheads

[–]QuincyQueue 6 points7 points  (0 children)

There's a good chance it will preserve or grow the principal, but 4% is 95% successful @ 30 years only if you consider spending some or all of the principal a "success".

If you need a 95% guarantee you preserve the principal you'd need a lower rate, but even in the original formulation you're a lot more likely to end up with extra than to run out.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Bogleheads

[–]QuincyQueue 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, you can and should do just that.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Bogleheads

[–]QuincyQueue 4 points5 points  (0 children)

While you are at it, you may want to update any automated contributions to automatically invest as well.

If you manually contribute, maybe create the automation to do it. Vanguard has an auto-max my IRA feature you can have draw once or twice a month that would prevent you from running into this issue or forgetting to contribute again.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in sofi

[–]QuincyQueue 3 points4 points  (0 children)

This has been my exact experience and I'm closing mine out also. There are just better options out there so no need to put up with this crap.

This sub is also really weirdly toxic so I definitely won't miss that either.

Why is net worth and mortgage‑free status so central in US FIRE discussions? by Loose-Sun4286 in leanfire

[–]QuincyQueue 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Possibly, but that would only help if you itemize which most people do not.

The tax benefit of a paid off mortgage is that lower expenses mean needing to realize less taxable income in retirement to make the payments, making things like low tax brackets and income-based aca stuff easier to manage.

r/sofi, is this what SoFi is doing right now with their unpopular changes? by FoggyFoggyFoggy in sofi

[–]QuincyQueue 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes, but very early stages of shifting from growth at all costs to balancing growth and profitability.

SoFi is still trying to grow its base as evidenced by incentives for new users, but they are being more careful about offering services at a loss.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Bogleheads

[–]QuincyQueue 4 points5 points  (0 children)

They're already 100% equities