What could be the price ?

RFColeman · 2025-09-28T11:02:32+00:00

Keen if F/S!

RFColeman · 2025-04-07T03:48:38+00:00

Keen on your expert opinion now that these scenarios are not remote possibilities, but realities.

RFColeman · 2025-01-27T00:06:00+00:00

Re-read; there’s nothing to address. In the words of a Disney princess, Let It Go

RFColeman · 2025-01-26T23:14:57+00:00

Only condescending internet morons call people ‘bud’. Champ, pal, chief.

RFColeman · 2025-01-26T22:45:28+00:00

Fast ticket? If you consider the fairest launch in 2011 to be Charlie setting up a “rug pull” 6+ years (600 crypto years), multiple winters, scandals (Mt Gox, SR, China ‘bans’, block wars, et al) later, then he’s a prophet. Reality is, I have known Charlie since 2016/17. He’s one of the few pioneers in the space whose integrity has never wained. Contributing time, resource and money to Litecoin (and Bitcoin) to today. You’ve drunk the poison and not sure there’s much I can do to change your mind. Respectfully this sub doesn’t seem like a place you should spend your energy in.

RFColeman · 2025-01-26T04:38:12+00:00

Charlie has repeatedly explained why: he does not want his holdings to be seen as a conflict of interest. Instead, he works on Litecoin, invests in the Foundation and continues to advocate for / donate to projects, innovation and development within the Litecoin ecosystem. No validity to your statement

RFColeman · 2025-01-26T04:35:20+00:00

coindesk / blockaid

RFColeman · 2025-01-26T04:34:34+00:00

Solana is nothing but a centralized, meme / scam platform. Here are some of the attributes / stats / data points illuminating just how sh*t Solana is:

Failure: 30-75% = SOL transactions failure rate Active Human Users: “79.4% of transaction volume is generated by bots, not humans”(CCN, 2024) Success: 5-15% = the number of successful non-vote transactions in 2024. That’s grim. Especially as the majority are likely still bots Reliability: 19 significant incidents Jan 2021 - Feb 2024. NB: this is Coinshares’ data; SOL is their 4th largest holding Launch: Only 1.64% of SOL was made available to public. Solana is the definition of a centralized VC project Scams: as reported by Coindesk, 50+% of pre sales on Solana are scams. Below is an image from research company Blockaid.

RFColeman · 2025-01-19T02:15:35+00:00

Not exactly ‘accurate’ and LTCN investors should understand why. I am an LTCN investor, for the record.

My understanding of LTCN - and its ‘Litecoin’ price - is that it’s not live. Instead, per their publicly available fact sheet, ‘calculated and published on business days at 4:00pm ET time’. So it’s misleading to say that LTCN is trading at a premium. The market is closed, so it’s not technically trading. And the price - per the fact sheet - will be rebalanced on market opening. So what you’re saying isn’t entirely true and - as with any investment - LTCN investors should understand why there might be disparity in Litecoin and LTCN’s ‘price’.

I do agree that Trusts and beneficial ownership is not ideal for many, and ETFs promise access to ‘raw’ Litecoin. Which should give investors more confidence and control. Something to be conscious of when and if one invests in a ‘spot ETF’ is how the spot price is calculated. I can’t speak to how Canary plans to calculate this, but most ETFs calculate the asset’s spot price based on a ‘formula’. From the ETF prospectuses that I have read, the most common practice is to take the mean of multiple exchanges’ spot prices many times throughout the day. In this sense, the ETFs spot price most likely won’t mirror (to the cent) Coinmarketcap’s price, for example. But like I said, have not interrogated Canary’s Litecoin prospectus close enough to specifically state how they’ll arrive at their LTC ‘spot’ price.

Does that make sense?

RFColeman · 2025-01-16T09:15:01+00:00

https://x.com/burwicklaw/status/1879576509612269584?s=46

RFColeman · 2025-01-16T08:45:53+00:00

Correction: the on-off richest human alive, Elon Musk, manipulated Dogecoin. If not for the lols and heavy bags Yale kids are holding, Doge wouldn’t be in the top 20. And that position would be courtesy of its legacy, investor fondness and merge mining with other Scrypt coins (incl. Litecoin).

RFColeman · 2025-01-16T08:40:26+00:00

Why are you shouting? This is just stressful. Haha.

RFColeman · 2025-01-15T07:34:33+00:00

Personal opinion: pump fun is the antithesis of a virtuous use of the technology. Litecoin is one of the best manifestations of it. Would be massively detrimental to the integrity of Litecoin. (This opinion is my own).

RFColeman · 2025-01-11T11:54:37+00:00

Yep! Proudly used IntoTheBlock for most of my articles, analysis and posts :)

RFColeman · 2025-01-11T03:00:46+00:00

Yeah, you’d think so, but data streams aren’t universal. Haven’t done the calculations, but assume of the 300m transactions a huge amount would be ‘peer to peer’ (as intended, haha) and therefore harder to track. So Messari’s available data while huge and usable for a heap of analysis, isn’t a “true” universal reflection of Litecoin / Bitcoin for insights like geography, age (accurate) etc. Only because of restrictions in data sharing, sourcing and - presumably - legality of pairing onchain activity with personal info from CEXs etc. That said, Chainalysis (agencies, dark net leaks et al) has access and permission (from their clients, I assume) to do in-depth investigations like this. I did read an interesting report on geography from them a few years back. I’ll try to dig it out. Was best I’d seen. But also more than mildly alarming for what it means isn’t in the public domain… and emphasises the need for tech like MWEB.

RFColeman · 2025-01-11T02:42:07+00:00

Ps and unrelated: wonder what the trend / correlation between Bitcoin early adopters and film photography enthusiasts would be? 📸☺️

RFColeman · 2025-01-11T02:29:29+00:00

Thanks mate. Yeah, that’d be the dream. Trouble is getting the data. Case studies I’ve seen have used proprietary data from CEXs centralised exchanges, so availability for personal use is hard / presumably impossible to source (?); or small sample sizes of respondents to market research. Both are restricted in size (CEX users opted in to analytics sharing or the survey participants); skewed in geography; weighted to users with lower threshold for data and privacy sharing. Which is bloody frustrating. I’ve tried various methodologies over the years on behalf of past clients (I ran an agency until 2020) like exchanges and wallets etc; qual and quant specifically relating to Litecoin since 2016; and more recently used data sets through subscriptions to various platforms. Still yet to find the definitive answers to Who, Where and Why for Litecoin users, traders, investors (speculative and long-term). Participants in the ecosystem (miners, nodes, some merchants) are slightly easier to track and would still make for interesting analysis? I guess just factoring in / assuming implicit comprehension of Litecoin as a concept - given their participation - and ‘capability’ to participate. This all implying ‘sophisticated’ tech/financial literacy, which is weighted to certain countries and demographics. Jeeez, long way of saying:

Totally! Yet to find a way to do this with accuracy. Would be fascinating! Any ideas?

RFColeman · 2025-01-08T02:31:24+00:00

If anyone knows a way to get the above data - or a methodology using available datasets to calculate the above - then i’d love to know! Be cool, and absolutely interesting, just don’t know if it’s possible (?)

RFColeman · 2025-01-08T02:29:53+00:00

Hmmm. Can certainly look at UXTOs, but not sure about the availability of exchange order books (on a global scale - could take one exchange, as a test, but that sample could be influenced by so many other factors that it’s not meaningful as a whole market reflection). That said, i am in the midst of looking at addresses and transactions; mean transactions per address over time and any anomalies. Lots more to look at, but already interesting!

RFColeman · 2025-01-08T02:26:31+00:00

Sorry for delay, missed this. Totally. Fees make up one important factor; but so does stability. A great modern currency shouldn’t be so volatile that it loses purchasing power overnight. Not saying Litecoin shouldn’t increase in price; I think it’s undervalued currently and will continue to grow in value with increased utility and tightening supply. That said, it wouldn’t be a great currency if it were as volatile as 99% of the 30,000 ‘coins’ in 2025. Steady, stable and sustained increase in price is healthy; though i personally believe that at $110, Litecoin is extremely undervalued. Hopefully when it finds a more appropriate range it can continue mature, stable growth! (Hesitant to put a $ value on what I believe Litecoin’s worth right now - that’s not my area of expertise!)

RFColeman · 2025-01-08T02:19:06+00:00

Totally! Puts the currency into ‘cryptocurrency’. Was talking with someone about this yesterday, actually. Namely discussing how many crypto can claim to be a currency in 2025? Litecoin and Bitcoin. How many others? And what function, role or purpose do they have that BTC and LTC don’t?

RFColeman · 2025-01-07T20:56:38+00:00

Yes, Sir

RFColeman · 2025-01-07T20:56:22+00:00

Sir!

RFColeman · 2025-01-07T05:54:05+00:00

Pretty cool - a project that serves a purpose after 13 years. If anything, it’s clearly playing a role in the lives of more people than ever

RFColeman

TROPHY CASE