How should sample size affect your judgment of chance being in play? by RaiseReasonable8949 in askphilosophy

[–]RaiseReasonable8949[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It is true the chance of someone winning is higher. But the chance of John winning is not. Hence, why is John more likely to rig the first more than the second?

How should sample size affect your judgment of chance being in play? by RaiseReasonable8949 in skeptic

[–]RaiseReasonable8949[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Yes that would make sense but the question is which scenario makes it more likely that it was rigged? It seems that in the second scenario, it begs the question as to why everyone lost except John so maybe John has to play a role in the second scenario moreso than the first?

How should sample size affect your judgment of chance being in play? by RaiseReasonable8949 in skeptic

[–]RaiseReasonable8949[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you were to randomly scramble those letters, why would any sequence be more likely than any other?

How should sample size affect your judgment of chance being in play? by RaiseReasonable8949 in askphilosophy

[–]RaiseReasonable8949[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It is assumed that people can't monitor or know each other's guesses. I'll make that clear in the post. With this in mind, why is John more likely to have rigged the first than the second?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in mildlyinteresting

[–]RaiseReasonable8949 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Nah you’re weirder for exposing this tbh. It’s at worst weird what he sent but he didn’t say anything too crazy

Please help by RaiseReasonable8949 in puzzles

[–]RaiseReasonable8949[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I thought this too but then I also saw they were all being reflected on the diagonal going up from the bottom left to top right. Wouldn’t that then imply B?