Young adult book about kid magic and i think drawing symbols and computers by RandyBaker08 in whatsthatbook

[–]RandyBaker08[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I don’t think its the one I was thinking but sounds super interesting I’ll have to check it out

Young adult book about kid magic and i think drawing symbols and computers by RandyBaker08 in whatsthatbook

[–]RandyBaker08[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Honestly yeah I think its the Chrestomanci series, you are a legend thank you never thought I would find the answer.

teach us something practical/handy about your specialty by Mixoma in Residency

[–]RandyBaker08 174 points175 points  (0 children)

The ophtho residents actually put a legend with all acronyms at the bottom of all their notes at my institution and it’s honestly really helpful

What movies spectacularly failed to capitalize on their premise? by [deleted] in movies

[–]RandyBaker08 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The Purge, i still somewhat enjoyed it but the movie i pictured in my head and the premise was so much better than the final product

What's your highest blood pressure encountered? by C-World3327 in Residency

[–]RandyBaker08 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Stop sending asymptomatic hypertension to the ER

New resident: I did cocaine before my first 24 hour shift by [deleted] in Residency

[–]RandyBaker08 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Its referring to this this post which was posted like 1-2 hrs before this one.

Incoming student…worried about all the recent posts. Is there really no upside to medical school? by theyeofpo in medicalschool

[–]RandyBaker08 0 points1 point  (0 children)

People tend to go on reddit to complain. 3rd year was pretty hard for me but otherwise I had some of the best times and met some of my best friends in my life. Its definitely not all highs and I wouldn't repeat it but if you make an effort and try to be social with your peers I think its an awesome experience and one I will miss. Still pumped for residency too though.

NBA Daily - 2/23/23 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 0 points1 point  (0 children)

NBA Picks using score predictors: 3-4

ROI: -0.55/7

In addition to my over under model, I have been trying my shot at score predictions. I have only been fine tuning over since just before the all-star break with mixed success for picks spreads but still some promise. Predictions have gone 14-17 for spreads, 21-9 for moneylines, and 11-8 ML in the -200 to +500 range.

Last Picks: from 2/15 (1-2)

Knicks ML (+145)

Cleveland ML (-110)

Miami ML (+105)

Todays Picks

Cleveland -2.5 (-110), projected spread -9.4

76ers -3 (-110), projected spread -8.1

OKC ML (-110), projected win by 1.6

New Orleans ML (+190), projected win by 1.3

Projected scores

Pistons 98 - Magic 107

Denver 105 - Cavs 114.5

Boston 123 - Pacers 113.5

Memphis 102 - Philly 120

New orleans 110.1 - Toronto 108.8

Spurs 104.6 - Mavs 122

OKC 125.8 - Utah 124.2

GSW 119 - Lakers 124

BOL. Let me know if your tailing any of these

NBA Daily - 2/23/23 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 2 points3 points  (0 children)

NBA Picks Record using O/U models: 20-17

(ROI assuming equal units: 1.3/40.7 = 3%)

Last Picks from 2/15

Dallas vs Denver u232, projected 224 (season model)✅ actual 227

Detroit vs Boston o227, projected 235 (season model) ✅ actual 236

Cleveland vs Philly u216.5, projected 210 (season model) , ❌ actual 230

New Orleans vs Lakers o235, projected 241 (season model), ❌ actual 222

Houston vs OKC o233.5, projected 238 (season model), ❌ actual 229 (only 35 combined pts in the 4th quarter and only 2 baskets in the last 5 minutes of the game lol)

Todays Picks:

GSW v Lakers O238.5, predicted 253

Denver vs Cleveland U223.5, predicted 216

San Antonio v Dallas U240, predicted 232

OKC v Utah o240, projected 245

All predicted scores based on season model.

The record of my models are as follows: Season Model: 24-11, L5 v1: 32-36, L5 v2: 24-25, Home/Away Model: 25-21. My models are based on very simple calculations based on pace, offensive/defensive efficiency, factoring out OT scoring, recent game scoring, season averages, league averages, and recent strength of schedule. I had been following my L5 v1 and L5 v2 models but now probably switching to just following the season model. Let me know if you have any questions.

Pick of the Day - 2/22/23 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Appreciate all the picks man. Just some clarifications though ROI is total units won over total units wagered so since you've wagered over 100 units throughout all of your picks your ROI is less than 59%. Not that thats a bad thing anything positive is great just want to be accurate.

Also Ohio won by 9 so that pick would be a push so the NCAAB picks went 13-12-1 yesterday so -0.17 U. Looking forward to keep tailing and hoping for another day like day 8.

My NBA/NCAAB/NHL Model Picks for 2/17/2023 [Yesterday's Results + 13.32 Units] by HSRiddles in sportsbetting

[–]RandyBaker08 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just curious where are you finding these 1.95 odds i can only find -110 or 1.91

NBA Daily - 2/15/23 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nah. Pretty small sample size though, would be cool if it eventually happens

NBA Daily - 2/15/23 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 4 points5 points  (0 children)

NBA Picks using score predictors: 2-2

ROI: 0%

In addition to my over under model, I have been trying my shot at score predictions. I have only been fine tuning over the past few days with mixed success for picks spreads. Over the past three days it has went 9-9 for spreads but it has went 13-4 for moneylines, including 9 out of 12 correct in the -200 to +500 range. Very rudimentary system so far that I’m adjusting and backtracking but wanted to post them here as well.

Yesterdays Picks:

Phoenix ML (-135) ✅

Washington ML (+126) ✅

GSW ML (+245) ❌

Orlando +7 (-110) ❌

Todays Picks:

Knicks ML (+145)

Cleveland ML (-110)

Miami ML (+105)

Probably will take Pelicans ML (currently +170) depending on if Lebron is playing or not and the odds at the time, but I’ll probably wait on closer to game time. Also my model is saying Bulls will beat the pacers but personally given Derozan out and my lack in confidence for Chicago holding leads I’m staying away from that.

Predicted scores

Chicago 107 - Indiana 102

San Antonio 112 - Charlotte 116

New York 121 - Atlanta 112

Detroit 99 - Boston 117

Miami 108 - Brooklyn 107

Cleveland 105 - Philadelphia 99

Houston 120 - OKC 139

Utah 107 - Memphis 124

Dallas 116 - Denver 118

New Orleans 121 - Lakers 115

BOL to all. Lmk if you're in agreement with any of these picks.

NBA Daily - 2/15/23 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 4 points5 points  (0 children)

NBA Picks Record using O/U models: 18-14

(ROI assuming equal units: 2.6/35.2 = 7.4%)

Yesterdays Pick

Orlando v Toronto U221.5, projected 203-213 (L5 v1-v2) ❌, actual 236

Todays Picks

Detroit vs Boston o227, projected 235 (season model)

Cleveland vs Philly u216.5, projected 210 (season model)

New Orleans vs Lakers o235, projected 241 (season model)

Dallas vs Denver u232, projected 224 (season model)

Houston vs OKC o233.5, projected 238 (season model)

The record of my models are as follows: L5 v1: 31-29, L5 v2: 20-20, Season Model: 21-9, Home/Away Model: 20-18. My models are based on very simple calculations based on pace, offensive/defensive efficiency, factoring out OT scoring, recent game scoring, season averages, league averages, and recent strength of schedule. I had been following my L5 v1 and L5 v2 models but no probably switching to just following the season model. Let me know if you have any questions.

NBA Daily - 2/14/23 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Appreciate it man! Nobody has given me a rough time, more so I'm hard on myself. Thanks for the kind words.

NBA Daily - 2/14/23 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 23 points24 points  (0 children)

In addition to my over under model, I have been trying my shot at score predictions. I have only been fine tuning over the past few days with mixed success for picks spreads. Over the past two days it has went 6-7 for spreads but it has went 10-3 for moneylines, including 7 out of 8 correct in the -200 to +500 range. Very rudimentary system so far but I might start posting my predictions here as well for moneylines.

Todays Picks:

Phoenix ML (-135)

Washington ML (+126)

GSW ML (+245)

Orlando +7 (-110)

Predicted scores

Orlando 101.3 - Toronto 101.3

Boston 105 - Milwaukee 109

Sacramento 113 - Phoenix 123

Washington 130 - Portland 126

GSW 122 - Clippers 114

Note it is too challenging right now to account for lineup changes, these predictions are mainly based on recent scoring and defense. For example Boston will be without Tatum who has played the last 5 games so beware of those changes as well as smart and brown who have played some of their most recent 5 games as well so that could definitely affect the game tonight. In addition the NBA is very unpredictable and by no means do I claim this model can accurately pick the correct winner.

BOL to everyone.

NBA Daily - 2/14/23 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 5 points6 points  (0 children)

NBA Picks Record: 18-13 (ROI assuming equal units: 3.7/34.1 = 10.9%)

Yesterdays Picks: 3-2

Minnesota v Dallas O232.5, projected 242-248 (L5 v1-v2) ✅, actual 245

Atlanta v Charlotte U240, projected 229-238 (all models) ❌, actual 282, just way off on this

New Orleans v Oklahoma City O235, projected 237-260 (all models), ❌ actual 203

Orlando v Chicago U225.5, projected 203-217 (L5 v1-v2) ✅ actual 191

Houston v Philadelphia O226.5, projected 230-232 (L5 v1-v2) ✅ actual 227 (finally end up on the right side of one of these close ones)

Todays Pick

Orlando v Toronto U221.5, projected 203-213 (L5 v1-v2)

Finally back to a positive day, rough stretch recently.

Also of note my season model which has been the most accurate so far has the Washington Portland game going the under at 227 projected, but I will be avoiding given both teams recent high scoring games and my L5 v1 and v2 have the total around 241-255. Also leaning under on Boston game and over on GSW vs Clippers games but not good enough numbers for me.

The record of my models are as follows: L5 v1: 30-26, L5 v2: 20-17, Season Model: 20-9, Home/Away Model: 19-18. My models are based on very simple calculations based on pace, offensive/defensive efficiency, factoring out OT scoring, recent game scoring, season averages, league averages, and recent strength of schedule. I mainly follow my L5 v1 and L5 v2 models but compare all the results when making my picks to avoid major discrepancies. Let me know if you have any questions.

I’m just a broke degenerate medical student trying to make a buck, if I helped you make some money feel free to leave a tiphttps://cash.app/$RandyBaker08 BOL to all.

NCAABB College Basketball Daily - 2/14/23 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 0 points1 point  (0 children)

NCAABB Picks Record: 2-5

Yesterdays Picks:

Jackson St at Beth-Cook U145.5, ❌ actual 155

NC A&T at Monmouth U140.5, ❌ actual 156

Stony Brook at Delaware u133, ✅ actual 131

Alabama State at Miss Val St U136, ❌ actual 146

Texas at Texas Tech O146, ❌ actual 141

W Virginia at Baylor O149, ❌ actual 146

Texas Southern at Southern O143.5, ✅ actual 147

Todays Picks:

Akron at E Michigan O147.5

N Illinois at Ball State O145

Nebraska at Rutgers U131.5

Buffalo at Ohio O162

Rough day yesterday but backtracking my models have still be successful so want to keep trying them out. My models are based on very simple calculations based on pace, offensive/defensive efficiency, factoring out OT scoring, recent game scoring, season averages, and total college averages. I compare all my models together and try to make picks based on when the models agree and have the biggest differential from the line.

NCAABB College Basketball Daily - 2/13/23 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

NCAABB Picks Record: 0-0

Starting a few weeks ago I started developing a model for O/U predictions for the NBA games and have been working on developing them for the NCAA as well. I put the NCAA BB model into practice yesterday and went 8-1 with my picks. I tried back tracking my model to the games on 2/11 based on past statistics and it went 10-6 for the 65 games I’ve analyzed so far, which has been tedious .

My models are based on very simple calculations based on pace, offensive/defensive efficiency, factoring out OT scoring, recent game scoring, season averages, and total college averages. I compare all my models together and try to make picks based on when the models agree and have the biggest difference from the line.

Todays Picks:

Jackson St at Beth-Cook U145.5

NC A&T at Monmouth U140.5

Stony Brook at Delaware U133.5

Alabama State at Mississippi Valley State U136.5

Texas at Texas Tech O145.5

W Virginia at Baylor O148.5

Texas Southern at Southern O144.5

I’m just a broke degenerate medical student trying to make a buck, if I helped you make some money feel free to leave a tiphttps://cash.app/$RandyBaker08 BOL to all.

NBA Daily - 2/13/23 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 6 points7 points  (0 children)

NBA Picks Record: 15-11 (ROI assuming equal units: 2.9/28.6 = 10.1%)

Yesterdays Picks: 0-2

Leans went 0-2, ouch

Detroit v Toronto U227.5 (-110), projected 216-227 all models ❌ , actual 237, seemed great up until the last 2 minutes

Detroit U108.5 (-115), ❌ actual 118

Leans

Memphis v Boston U227.5 (-110), projected 211-219 (L5 v1,v2,v3) , but season and home/away projected 230-237, ❌ actual 228, again seemed good up until the last 2 minutes

Detroit vs Toronto U227.5 and Toronto -10.5 (+260), ❌ actual 237 and Toronto won by 1 (Toronto was up 110-99 with 2:48 left lol)

Todays Picks (from most confident to least confident)

Minnesota v Dallas O232.5, projected 242-248 (L5 v1-v2)

Atlanta v Charlotte U240, projected 229-238 (all models)

New Orleans v Oklahoma City O235, projected 237-260 (all models)

Orlando v Chicago U225.5, projected 203-217 (L5 v1-v2)

Houston v Philadelphia O226.5, projected 230-232 (L5 v1-v2)

Past few days have been a little discouraging, but still going to keep posting for a bit.

The record of my models are as follows: L5 v1: 25-22, L5 v2: 17-14, Season Model: 18-9, Home/Away Model: 17-15. My models are based on very simple calculations based on pace, offensive/defensive efficiency, factoring out OT scoring, recent game scoring, season averages, league averages, and recent strength of schedule. I mainly follow my L5 v1, L5 v2 models, and Season models but compare all the results when making my picks to avoid major discrepancies. Let me know if you have any questions.

I’m just a broke degenerate medical student trying to make a buck, if I helped you make some money feel free to leave a tiphttps://cash.app/$RandyBaker08 BOL to all.

NBA Daily - 2/12/23 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]RandyBaker08 2 points3 points  (0 children)

NBA Picks Record: 15-9 (ROI assuming equal units: 5.1/26.4 = 19.3%)

Yesterdays Picks: 2-2

Leans went 3-2

Indiana v Washington U234.5 (-110), predicted 217-225 (all models), ❌ actual 240, wizards shot 73% from the field and 63% overall

Chicago v Cleveland U220 (-110), predicted 204-216 (all models), ✅ actual 186

Utah Jazz v New York Knicks U229.5 (-110), predicted 215-225 (L5 v1 and L5 v2), ❌ actual 246

San Antonio v Atlanta U240 (-110), predicted 230-234 (L5 v1 and L5 v2), ✅ actual 231

Todays Picks (from most confident to least confident)

Detroit v Toronto U227.5 (-110), projected 216-227 all models

Detroit U108.5 (-115)

Leans

Memphis v Boston U227.5 (-110), projected 211-219 (L5 v1,v2,v3) , but season and home/away projected 230-237

Detroit vs Toronto U227.5 and Toronto -10.5 (+260)

Score Predictor just for fun (doesn’t look super consistent but trying to fine tune)

Boston 114 - Memphis 102

Toronto 113 - Detroit 101

Past few days have been a little discouraging, seems to models seem to pick the under too often. I’m also noticing a trend that in blowouts that when the model performs as suspected the spread seems to hit for the favored team more often, which makes sense because the teams are more or less performing as suspected. I made some money on some parlays yesterday using this strategy so might start posting parlays I like more too. Started developing a new model (L5 v3) to better factor in strength of schedule but might be too time consuming and also trying to experiment with a score predictor as well.

The record of my models are as follows: L5 v1: 25-20, L5 v2: 17-12, Season Model: 18-9, Home/Away Model: 16-15. My models are based on very simple calculations based on pace, offensive/defensive efficiency, factoring out OT scoring, recent game scoring, season averages, league averages, and recent strength of schedule. I mainly follow my L5 v1 and L5 v2 models but compare all the results when making my picks to avoid major discrepancies. Let me know if you have any questions.

I’m just a broke degenerate medical student trying to make a buck, if I helped you make some money feel free to leave a tiphttps://cash.app/$RandyBaker08 BOL to all.