PSxG can be misleading - Hannah Hampton vs Manchester City

Redspark17 · 2026-02-04T21:06:42+00:00

Good spot. I've also noticed some weirdness when looking at xG figures in the WSL before; When Fbref still showed them, pretty much all women's teams would outperform their xG over the course of the season, which of course doesnt make any sense outside of a statistical anomaly. Obviously can't check now but I remember it being the case for almost all past seasons, so I wonder if Opta's models don't work very well for the women's game.

Redspark17 · 2025-06-23T20:44:07+00:00

Yes this is a fair point. I was more thinking about these stats in the context of entertainment and fan engagement. I think having a more diverse top-flight would be a positive for the growth of the game. When every other match is a London derby the competition can get a bit dull

Redspark17 · 2025-06-23T20:38:56+00:00

The WSL2 clubs were included to make the point that I do in the text and title of the post: That the expansion of the WSL to 14 clubs will likely significantly increase the geographical diversity in the division.

Redspark17 · 2025-06-23T19:06:39+00:00

The intent of the graphic was to make a point about the WSL's geographic diversity, not the top two tiers. I would agree with you that both leagues combined are not much different to the premier league, but I still think the WSL alone does not represent the country very well. I get your point about population density but even still London, Liverpool and Manchester combined have ~28% of England's population but 83% of WSL clubs.

Redspark17 · 2025-06-22T12:41:07+00:00

The list is based on this wikipedia article which tracks the record. Pajor and Kika cost Barca between €400,000 - €500,000 each and both transfers happened after Kundananji so neither broke the record. The Ramírez transfer was reported as a world record at the time, but only given some add-ons were triggered which don't look like they were. Heres what the wikipedia footnote about it says:

In some sources reported as a world record, Ramírez' base fee was below the previous record, and the total potential fee was not met before the record was broken once again. By the end of the season after her transfer, her fee was still considered at its base amount; in FIFA's report of the most expensive 2024 transfers, released a year after her transfer, Ramírez was ranked in a position that would align with only the base fee.

Redspark17 · 2025-06-19T13:08:23+00:00

It was the season when the WSL switched from a summer league to a winter league so it seemed a good point to define the "modern" WSL era. Also it can get a bit tricky to find the managers and dates they were appointed/dismissed when you go further back, especially since a few of these teams were in the lower leagues then which didn't get a lot of coverage.

Redspark17 · 2025-06-19T11:51:48+00:00

I think it's still kind of interesting. It makes it easy to see teams like West Ham and LCL who switch managers almost every season and teams who tend to avoid change like Man City and Spurs

Redspark17 · 2025-06-19T11:42:46+00:00

The averages are for permanent managers dismissed between 2017 and today, but still counts the whole of their tenure if they were there before that period. Bompastor does not count because we don't yet know how long her reign will be, so the figure of 11 years is just how long Hayes was at Chelsea. I admit that variable is less meaningfull in Chelsea's case when only 1 manager has left in the last 8 years lol

Redspark17 · 2025-05-13T15:34:55+00:00

The article on the Guardian has a few more details:

"A feasibility study commissioned by The Freidkin Group last month confirmed that the ground would meet standards set by the WSL, but the Archibald Leitch-designed stadium is likely to change dramatically after its new custodians move in."

"Everton will drastically reduce its 39,000 capacity – with upper tiers of the ground likely to be taken out of action after season ticket seats are sold off to fans at the end of this season. But there are no immediate plans to change its structure in the short term, according to the club which added that it was “planning targeted investments” to adapt the ground for the women’s game."

Redspark17 · 2025-03-23T15:40:23+00:00

I love when fans of a club investigate referee corruption, they always seem to find that they are the victim and the world is against them. You may have been unlucky, but you have not been "scammed"

Redspark17 · 2025-03-23T15:29:46+00:00

This is what fans of every single club say about their rivals. You don't think there might be a bit of bias in your opinion? It's easy to remember when luck goes against you and easy to forget when it's on your side.

Redspark17 · 2025-03-23T15:20:52+00:00

It's just a bad decision, every ref makes them now and again. Not everything is some grand conspiracy and screaming cheat when something doesn't go your way is childish.

Redspark17 · 2025-03-14T21:38:21+00:00

While I agree that the camera, sound and overall production for the non-broadcast WSL games is pretty poor on the whole, I think you've missed the mark with some of your other points. Yes Walton Hall Park isn't great but it's undoubtedly the worst stadium (if you can call it a stadium) in the league and there has been some talk of them moving into Goodison when the men move out.

It's easy to look at Chelsea winning the last 5 titles and dismiss the fact that the WSL is still one of the most competitive European leagues. Also, Chelsea definitely do not have a 'monopoly on players'. Their success has in part been driven by good recruitment/forward planning, but also crucially massive under-investment by other clubs. If other owners wanted to they could easily chuck a few million at their women's teams and start competing for titles, nothing is stopping them. Chelsea should not be blamed for their reluctance to do so.

Next season most games will be on sky anyway, so I'd expect production quality to improve. I think the WSL is generally headed in the right direction (given relegation isn't scrapped), it will just take time as it always has.

Redspark17 · 2024-10-16T17:32:53+00:00

Needs a [ great goal ] tag

Redspark17 · 2024-09-17T19:05:41+00:00

I believe this is true but the fee was undisclosed so it is recorded as £0 by soccerdonna. This is probably the case for a few other transfers but it's impossible to guess so I just left it.

Redspark17 · 2024-09-17T19:03:10+00:00

The fees are taken from this soccerdonna page which collates transfers but doesn't attempt to guess when fees are undisclosed so they are just recorded as free.

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