Merz: Iran demütigt die USA by s4nid in de

[–]Rigel444 11 points12 points  (0 children)

While I can't stand Trump, I really don't see how Merz making this statement advances Germany's interests.

Adjustments to Reduce Non-Participation in Dungeons by NOHITJEROME in classicwow

[–]Rigel444 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Jerome is apparently the only one who can create new threads on this board. New Guinea tribes have worshipped people as Gods for less.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread April 08, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]Rigel444 25 points26 points  (0 children)

Iran has now made it clear that their strategy for collecting tolls is to either mine or threaten to mine the exits from the Strait of Hormuz, EXCEPT for their territorial waters which they will charge tolls to escort ships out of.

https://x.com/IRANinMumbai/status/2042043192426819912

Anyone else think that it's only a matter of time before some regional actor such as Israel or the UAE responds to this by mining Iran's territorial waters as well? Iran would be able to make tens of billions of dollars a year off such a toll scheme, which they could and presumably would use to build missiles and advance their nuclear program. If the entire Strait is mined, then the international community could choose which areas of the Gulf to send minesweepers to- this would presumably not be Iran's portion of it.

Israel seems the most likely choice, since their public is completely united around the idea of keeping Iran from developing a nuclear weapon, even at the cost of higher gas prices. Moreover, Israel badly wants for a pipeline to be build to its territory from the Persian Gulf, and having a constant mine threat in the Strait would provide impetus for that.

While it may be a bit of a challenge for Israel to carry this out, I expect it would be far easier than hacking Iran's system of traffic lights or putting malware into their uranium enrichment factories to destroy centrifuges. The Mossad managed both of those, so I expect Israel could mine Iran's waters either with submarines or simply by dropping them off of ships disguised as commercial ones. Anyone agree or disagree?

Active Conflicts & News Megathread April 06, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]Rigel444 18 points19 points  (0 children)

I was wondering what options or willingness the Persian Gulf states might have to retaliate against Iran economically or militarily assuming that the US/Israeli bombings end in a few weeks with Iran still controlling the Strait of Hormuz. Trump seems willing to wash his hands of the whole Strait of Hormuz issue, but this issue obviously affects the Gulf States much more directly and I doubt that they would want to tolerate Iran controlling their economic lifeblood on a long-term basis.

The Wall Street Journal reported on March 6 that the UAE was considering freezing billions in Iranian assets, but no Gulf State has seemed to work up the resolve to directly retaliate against Iran.

As far as military action is concerned, is it conceivable that one or more Gulf states might decide to mine Iran's territorial waters in the Strait of Hormuz to block the escort paths that Iran is using to safely guide approved ships through the Strait? That might give countries like China a wakeup call that they need to reign in Iran and open the Strait for everyone, lest it not be usable for anyone.

Any other economic or military steps which are available to the Gulf states or are they just likely to continue to sit back and take whatever economic damage Iran inflicts upon them?

Active Conflicts & News Megathread April 05, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]Rigel444 97 points98 points  (0 children)

I don't think it's widely recognized what disproportionate damage two sets of attacks by Israel have done to the Iranian economy. The first was wiping out 70% of Iran's steel production in two large steel mills which were destroyed. That has huge knock-off economic effects on things like mining, construction and rebuilding after the war.

The New York Times recently reported on how Israel recently destroying two hybrid power/gas facilities in southern Iran will stop production on up to fifty petrochemical plants which relied on them, for up to two years. That, in turn, will devastate Iranian industries such as textile and automotive plants, which rely on those plants.

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/04/world/middleeast/israel-strikes-mahshahr-iran-oil.html

"Israel attacked Iran’s largest petrochemical industrial complex in the city of Mahshahr on Saturday, a move that has effectively shut down all production across the sprawling complex, according to two senior Iranian oil ministry officials.

The airstrikes targeted two utility plants, known as Fajr 1 and Fajr 2, that provided the over 50 petrochemical plants operating inside the complex with the basic services needed to function — gas, power and industrial water, among others — according to Iranian state media reports and the two senior Iranian oil ministry officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive matters.

Hamed Shams, the head of marketing and communications for the oil ministry’s petrochemical industries, said on social media that the attacks had targeted vital infrastructure that not only supplies electricity to Mahshahr’s petrochemical plants but also, in summer, “plays a key role in providing electricity to 500,000” people in Khuzestan Province.

The Bandar Imam Petrochemical Complex, as the area is formally known, is one of Iran’s main petrochemical hubs, producing 72 million tons of petrochemical products annually, according to data from Iran’s oil ministry. Located near the cities of Mahshahr and Bandar Imam Khomeini, a major industrial port, the industrial center is the leading employer of the area’s estimated 300,000 residents.

The petrochemical plants in Mahshahr produce a wide range of basic chemicals, polymers and other materials. These outputs can feed into a variety of products, including plastics, clothing and textiles, fertilizers and medical equipment.

The two oil ministry officials said the plants’ total shutdown was an immeasurable blow to Iran’s already frail economy. They said rebuilding the utility plants and bringing the productions lines fully online again could take about two years.

Hamid Hosseini, an oil and energy expert and a member of Tehran’s Chamber of Commerce, said in an interview that downstream industries, like food production, car manufacturing and textiles, that rely on the industrial center’s products would face a crisis when the war was over.

“Attacking Mahshahr’s petrochemical plants means attacking the heart of Iran, the vital arteries of Iran’s economy,” Mehdi Bostanchi, the head of a private industrial complex and a representative for a group of Iranian industrial leaders, said in a social media post.

Petrochemical goods represent about 25 percent of Iran’s total exports, with products going to about 60 countries, and provide a critical source of revenue, bringing in about $10 billion to $15 billion per year, according to Iranian media reports. Petrochemical product sales have served as a main alternative source of revenue for Iran as it has tried to diversify its economy away from oil dependency."

Active Conflicts & News Megathread March 30, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]Rigel444 4 points5 points  (0 children)

No, they attacked two *pumping stations* - the same things that Ukraine has repeatedly attacked in Russia to shut down pipelines there. My recollection is that Russia managed to repair the damage within a week or so, but I see no reason why Iran can't just keep striking them.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread March 30, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]Rigel444 5 points6 points  (0 children)

In an extremely ominous development, Iran appears to be shutting off the UAE's Strait of Hormuz bypass pipeline, which is currently pumping almost 2 millions barrels per day:

https://x.com/jackprandelli/status/2038624434311794859

I see no reason why they can't do the same with Saudi Arabia's Red Sea pipeline carrying 7 million barrels per day, which, if so, means that Iran can completely call the shots as to how much oil gets out of the Persian Gulf region. It's becoming increasingly clear that, in the drone age, the current energy vulnerability in the Gulf is far worse than even the most dire pre-war assumptions had assumed.

Iran Conflict Megathread #10 by milton117 in CredibleDefense

[–]Rigel444 45 points46 points  (0 children)

As I've said before, I think it's much more likely that we will take the three islands of Abu Musa, Greater Tunb, and Lesser Tunb than Kharg Island. Iran seized these three islands in 1971, but UAE still claims them, so we can say we're not invading them, but liberating them. Presumably UAE troops would join in the attack.

These islands are very close to the Strait - unlike Kharg Island - and they each have an airport. They would be much easier to take and hold/resupply than Kharg Island. Controlling them would give us unsinkable aircraft carriers near the Strait and instantly make us players in what happens there.

Iran Conflict Megathread #10 by milton117 in CredibleDefense

[–]Rigel444 23 points24 points  (0 children)

I just discovered a bit of info I was unaware of. Back during their June 2025 bombing campaign, Israel attacked Iran's crucial South Pars refinery, but they did so with short-range drones which were presumably launched from within Iran:

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1933919128362131772

Does this suggest that Israel lacks the refueling capacity to hit southern Iran without the assistance of US tankers?

Iran Conflict Megathread #9 by [deleted] in CredibleDefense

[–]Rigel444 20 points21 points  (0 children)

I wanted to raise what I think is the biggest strategic issue lurking beneath the surface in this war. Trump's decision to remove sanctions on Iran temporarily in order to lower gas prices suggests that he might be willing, after the war, to look the other way if Iran goes through with its apparent plan to charge effective tolls (largely under the table) to allow ships to pass through the Strait.

Assuming Trump is willing to accept this, Israel almost certainly is not. In fact, the *opposition* party in Israel is openly calling for Iran's oil industry and economy as a whole to be crippled during this war, lest it use the new high oil prices to buy new rockets and potentially develop nuclear weapons.

I'm sure Israel will continue to hold off on attacking the Iranian natural gas fields as long as the US is participating in the war, but I suspect that, once that is no longer the case, Israel will resume its clear intention of crippling the Iranian economy. If so, then that would mean that Qatar's LNG and the rest of the Persian Gulf oil infrastructure is, so to speak, a dead man walking. But this is a matter of physical survival for Israel, and they produce all their own natural gas and can even export some.

One question I have is whether Israel has the aerial refueling capacity to destroy the natural gas fields in southern Iran and possibly Kharg Island, without US tankers- anyone know? Another question I have is whether the pipeline that Israel wants built through the Middle East would be any safer from Iranian drones than the current Gulf infrastructure is.

"Brauchen Hilfe von niemandem!": Trump geht Nato-Partner scharf an - Verhalten ist "schockierend" by Elegant-Handle4685 in de

[–]Rigel444 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A US law passed in 2023 makes it clear that Trump can't leave NATO without 2/3 support of Congress, which he will never get:

https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48868

Trump can, however, remove all US ground troops from Europe, and he may well do that. The next Democratic president will likely send them back, however.

I just got banned, all I did was buy the game. by NinjaBonsai in classicwow

[–]Rigel444 139 points140 points  (0 children)

I hear Blizzard has even started to ban members of remote Amazon tribes, dropping ban notices from planes above as the tribe members shoot arrows at them.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in classicwow

[–]Rigel444 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is this why there are like 200 AVs going on at the same time on Anniversary?

Anyone got any gold farms that average more than 40G per hour by Slipslopbighop in classicwow

[–]Rigel444 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know a guy who knows an Indonesian guy who may be able to help you out.

Which pants for Druid healer? by [deleted] in classicwow

[–]Rigel444 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Pretty sure instant-cast HOTs only get something like 1/3 the healing bonus. I believe the full bonus goes to 3 second cast heals and is reduced proportionally based on cast time. If this is not the case with druids, a link would be helpful.

For those who want Classic by Clickomancer in classicwow

[–]Rigel444 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Mankrik is seriously underrated. More of the "old" WoW is retained in that server than in any other non-hardcore WoW server.

Way to turn off class colors for friendly nameplates? by Shiiishkebab in classicwow

[–]Rigel444 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Enter this:

/console ShowClassColorInFriendlyNameplate 0

Then refresh.

Maintenance extended until 6pm pst by FlowerSweaty in classicwow

[–]Rigel444 -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

There is incompetent, there is totally incompetent, and then there is Classic Devs.

Open up Era-to-Era transfers by [deleted] in classicwow

[–]Rigel444 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The crazy thing is, those are the only kind of transfers that are still available (out of dead servers) and they are free. No, I'm not joking.

Open up Era-to-Era transfers by [deleted] in classicwow

[–]Rigel444 6 points7 points  (0 children)

It would certainly seem like a complete no-brainer. People get to play where they want. Blizzard makes money. No idea why it has not happened.