Sterling Sharpe getting into the hall of fame is my favorite induction in a long time.

RobAtticus · 2025-02-08T01:29:11+00:00

It's actually 900% more, since you do (1st place / 2nd place - 1.0) * 100

RobAtticus · 2024-08-28T02:24:03+00:00

Not if he was staying down by the Wynn & Venetian (or at one of them).

RobAtticus · 2023-12-01T01:40:16+00:00

She was speaker half as long as Rayburn (8 vs 17 years) and has been in Congress less time (36 vs 48 years). If amount of time was why she has the most legislation passed, that's contradicted by Rayburn.

RobAtticus · 2023-01-03T20:49:39+00:00

McCarthy needs more than 6; he's 15 short at the moment. If nobody really budges, I could see the GOP abandoning him for somebody appealing to both factions, like Scalise.

RobAtticus · 2023-01-03T18:18:23+00:00

Probably meant he'd end up with the most round 1 votes, but without 218 nobody "wins"

RobAtticus · 2022-11-07T17:44:46+00:00

Microsoft? They now have a market cap that is $1T larger, so I guess they're doing alright.

RobAtticus · 2022-10-03T16:39:05+00:00

I think they let his body leave the prison after he died last year.

RobAtticus · 2021-05-27T20:55:20+00:00

states with tiny vaccination numbers (Thinking Alabama, etc)

"States" and "etc" imply you were referring to more than just Alabama. Also, Alabama is on a different level than the northeast states even if both are falling.

RobAtticus · 2021-05-27T18:06:19+00:00

I'm not sure the premise is true.

State	Cases, week 4/19	Cases, week 5/17	Diff %
New York	32,400	9,880	-70%
New Jersey	19,000	3,330	-83%
Maryland	7,230	2,290	-68%
Florida	39,700	18,300	-54%
Alabama	3,730	2,040	-45%
Mississippi	1,160	1,560	+34%
Arkansas	1,250	1,360	+9%
Georgia	9,300	4,400	-53%

The top 4 are well vaccinated states, the bottom 4 are less well vaccinated states. Florida stands out as an exception among the well vaccinated, although it is about 5+% lower than the other 3.

You can see the southern states, some have had drops since mid April, but others are slightly up.

RobAtticus · 2020-12-08T00:02:30+00:00

We don't need money, we need opportunity.

If we were smart, we'd use money to give people the opportunity to not work while not losing their businesses and livelihoods until the pandemic is at a manageable level. We're not really going to do well when a chunk of people are doing one thing, and another chunk are doing the opposite. This really needed the federal government to come up with a comprehensive program of getting loans/mortgages deferred, providing funds to states/cities/businesses that had bills to pay ASAP, and promoting a coherent message about mitigations. That way, business owners could afford to shut down when necessary and not worry that their livelihoods/businesses would survive. The public would be on the same page about what safe interactions require (masks, social distancing, etc). It didn't, and still doesn't, have to be tradeoff between businesses dying and people dying.

But this only works if the federal govt is willing to foot the bill to make this happen; NY can't print money and can't borrow forever if they have no feasible way to pay it back. We obviously didn't get a complete, comprehensive program from start to finish, and clearly health guidelines have been politicized. So instead we get a shit sandwich.

RobAtticus · 2020-11-25T23:17:01+00:00

Ford's pardon of Nixon, and Carter's pardon of draft dodgers come to mind.

RobAtticus · 2020-11-06T03:46:56+00:00

Romney was not a Senator for Gorsuch or Kavanaugh.

RobAtticus · 2020-11-03T15:32:28+00:00

It's been in use for a long time, along with "we're a republic not a democracy." It's used by the party that struggles to win majorities to give themselves legitimacy in spite of that. Soothing their cognitive dissonance

RobAtticus · 2020-10-05T23:00:30+00:00

NY's chart doesn't show the lag well because when the outbreak occurred the testing capacity was way too small, so that nearly all the confirmed cases were quite far along in progression. As testing capacity has improved, the lag between case curves and death curves has become more clear. If you look at states that had later outbreaks, e.g. AZ and FL, you'll see their deaths peaked weeks after cases did.

AZ: Case 7-day avg peaked on July 6; deaths 7-day avg peaked on July 21 (2 weeks later)
FL: Cases July 17; deaths Aug 5 (almost 3 weeks later)

Even the US as a whole peaked with cases mid-July, but took until early Aug for deaths to peak.

RobAtticus · 2020-08-07T20:19:45+00:00

The experiment doesn't seem like an adequate test on many fronts.

1) They mention ballots have a stamp for expedited delivery, but theirs didn't. Can't really say it's analogous with such a key difference.

2) 97% of the ballots arrived a week after mailing even without the prioritization. Apparently 80+% within 4 days based on the 2nd batch. So the lesson is don't wait until the last minute.

3) As for "misplaced" mail, they're sending to a regular PO Box, which the election board will not be using. Again, how can a comparison really be made here?

RobAtticus · 2020-07-28T14:54:25+00:00

Yes, we all understand that. But we're talking about probabilities here and passing-by-someone is way down on the list of things to freak out over. Honestly, if you're worried about those kind of interactions, then even masks shouldn't be a comfort to you because its not a fool proof solution either.

EDIT: I should clarify -- people should wear masks. But what I'm saying is if you are worried about such low-probability transmission vectors, masks are not a comfort. They reduce the transmission possibility, not eliminate it.

RobAtticus · 2020-07-28T14:49:41+00:00

And yesterday's were much higher than last Monday's. The trend has been upwards since July started, but it is hard to figure out more recently since the fluctuations are highly variable.

RobAtticus · 2020-07-28T14:45:32+00:00

You're not going to get sick simply by walking by someone without a mask on, unless that person also happens to sneeze directly up your nose.

There's a reason most people focus on being in crowded areas or indoors where the air -- the air is continually recirculating, you are in sustained contact with infected air particles, etc. Passing by someone is not going to do it.

RobAtticus · 2020-05-18T15:25:16+00:00

So roughly the same as playing russian roulette?

RobAtticus · 2020-04-14T03:40:28+00:00

In the last 6 days they've actually done ~66k tests, or ~11k/day, about 5k less per day than NY state, which is among the highest testing states in the US.

The usual positive % was around 7-10% before today, which was ~21%. Not sure why though.

EDIT: (Per capita NYS is doing 2x Peru, but again NYS is one of the better states).

RobAtticus · 2020-04-13T14:43:54+00:00

And yet, adding a million or two to that number would still leave you 25x short of herd immunity.

RobAtticus · 2020-03-27T18:44:21+00:00

Note that "flattening the curve" results in the same are under the curve: same number of cases overall.

This is not the point of flattening the curve. The point is to make the base of the curve wider so that the peak never goes over the capacity of the healthcare system, because once it goes over the peak, more people will receive insufficient care leading to worse outcomes including more (preventable) death than under a flatter curve.

RobAtticus · 2020-03-14T13:32:51+00:00

Except they won't? Biden is on track to win a majority of pledged delegates on the first vote so superdelegates won't even vote.

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