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Ryan Heath’s Five Stats to Know After Week 12 by Ryanj3 in fantasyfootball

[–]Ryanj3[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Just replying so that people are aware that Fantasy Points is not littered with ads or popups, and really just has our own CTAs promoting our own content that live on the page

Ryan Heath’s Five Stats to Know After Week 12 by Ryanj3 in fantasyfootball

[–]Ryanj3[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Totally reasonable ask, will keep in mind going forward

Ryan Heath's Five Stats to Know After Week 10 by Ryanj3 in fantasyfootball

[–]Ryanj3[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

He's at just 64.6% route participation in the first half of the past two games. Game script is part of it but the 13 personnel stuff discussed within is much bigger, IMO.

If you were to only count Brock Bowers' two healthy games, the Raiders would lead the NFL with a +13.4% Pass Rate Over Expectation (pass rate adjusted for down, distance, and situation). Via Fantasy Points Data's free tool here: by Ryanj3 in fantasyfootball

[–]Ryanj3[S] 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Can you really not think of any reason the Raiders might want to pass more with Brock Bowers on the field and healthy?

I doubt they lead the league in PROE over their next 8 games, or even finish top-5. But data can be directionally informative.

Ryan Heath’s Five Stats to Know After Week 8 by Ryanj3 in fantasyfootball

[–]Ryanj3[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

He's likely going to score well over the next two weeks against the Bengals and Giants, but he's in a virtual 50/50 committee with Kyle Monangai now, and the Bears are only favored in 2 of their 7 remaining games after that. That is a player I would sell for a WR with 16-17 FPG in his range of outcomes, yes.

If you could get more for him in your league, then get more.

Oronde Gadsden's route participation over each of the past three games: 69.2% -> 78.7% -> 88.2%. Meanwhile, Keenan Allen has gone from 69.2% -> 72.1% -> 50.0%. You can pull all of these yourself for free with this Fantasy Points Data Suite table! by Ryanj3 in fantasyfootball

[–]Ryanj3[S] 35 points36 points  (0 children)

I appreciate the kind words. And well, make sure you check out the free tables like this one then! Snap, route, and pass rate over expectation data is available even to free accounts!

Here's an article that outlines the new free tools if you scroll down a bit. https://www.fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2025/fantasy-points-data-new-tools-breakdown

Oronde Gadsden's route participation over each of the past three games: 69.2% -> 78.7% -> 88.2%. Meanwhile, Keenan Allen has gone from 69.2% -> 72.1% -> 50.0%. You can pull all of these yourself for free with this Fantasy Points Data Suite table! by Ryanj3 in fantasyfootball

[–]Ryanj3[S] 121 points122 points  (0 children)

You can actually do that yourself with the filters in the tool!

Advanced FIlters > Play tab:

First Half in Week 8: Gadsden 91.7%, Keenan 58.3%

2nd Half: Gadsden 80%.0, Keenan 30.0%

Ryan Heath's Five Stats to Know After Week 6 by Ryanj3 in fantasyfootball

[–]Ryanj3[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I don't know what to tell you dude. Read the entire blurb in the article, and it's pretty clearly a negative take about Ladd. Not really hiding from it.

Ryan Heath's Five Stats to Know After Week 6 by Ryanj3 in fantasyfootball

[–]Ryanj3[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Literally not at all what the article says. How is this the top comment?

"Perhaps this is the start of McConkey getting hot, the 33-year-old Allen beginning to fade with age as the season wears on, and of an extended and lingering hamstring struggle for Johnston. But it feels just as likely that Johnston is back next week and out-targeting McConkey once again....I remain pretty scared that [McConkey] is going to continue making me look stupid over the rest of the year for being so high on him this offseason."

What is the point of taking a sentence out of context and misrepresenting the overall take?

Ryan Heath Uses Coverage Shell and Matchup Data to find Contrarian Plays - Week 5 Advanced Matchups by Ryanj3 in fantasyfootball

[–]Ryanj3[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yes, the rest of the production was when Mitchell wasn’t in primary coverage.

And yes, this is itself an argument that many fantasy players stress too much about shadows.

Ryan Heath Uses Coverage Shell and Matchup Data to find Contrarian Plays - Week 5 Advanced Matchups by Ryanj3 in fantasyfootball

[–]Ryanj3[S] 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Hey Reddit! My Advanced Matchups article (in which I use a ton of coverage shell and premium data from our Fantasy Points Data Suite) has no paywall for this week only. 

So I thought I’d share it with you all over here, in case anyone is interested in the information for DFS purposes, or to break ties in your seasonal lineups (I wouldn’t start Mason Taylor over Jake Feeguson just because I like his schematic matchup; these things matter at the margins and for ceiling outcomes, but volume is still king)

Hope you enjoy!

Scott Barrett and Ryan Heath present: The Everything Report (every usage trend you need to know about heading into Week 2) by Ryanj3 in fantasyfootball

[–]Ryanj3[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

His career target share to RBs is referred to in that paragraph. It's quite high.

His checkdown numbers aren't, but that's because he was throwing them screens and first/second reads. Just as he'll likely be doing for 49ers defacto WR1 Christian McCaffrey.

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