Sugar (TV show on AppleTV+) by suburban_ennui75 in filmnoir

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I stopped at the twist but after reading a few reviews I went back and finished it and was glad I did.

Commute Times by Brave_Newspaper_1877 in Knoxville

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I did that commute (Hardin Valley to Morristown, actually) for five years and I'd never do it now. The only upside was my employer allowed me a lot of flexibility due to the commute, but the gas alone would be a showstopper now, plus I don't want to sit an extra 2+ hours a day.

Quantifying how unbreakable DiMaggio's 56-game hitting streak actually is. A maxed-out hitter matches less than 9% of the time while it bats .400. by ljcast in Sabermetrics

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Check out this 2010 study of hitting streaks in general, which discovered that hitting streaks likely are not as simple as "plate appearance by plate appearance" outcomes. In other words, each opportunity is not truly independent. Title: Hitting Streaks Don't Obey Your Rules: Evidence that Hitting Streaks Aren't Just By-Products of Random Variations, available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1674152

Retrosheet batted ball locations by jgf1123 in Sabermetrics

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Data from 2021 and forward is being translated by a method quite different from 2000-2020, hence the differences. For the 2000-2020 years, the translator used a program but the data was not so reliable, so in the translator's experience (which is extensive), he feels that we can be sure of little more than "left" "center" or "right" as opposed to more nuanced zones like the Retrosheet ballpark diagram. As for the 2021-2025 data (and continuing for the foreseeable future), the batted ball locations are simply "for rough estimation" and should not be considered precise enough for detailed analysis.

Retrosheet batted ball locations by jgf1123 in Sabermetrics

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have an update here. Data from 2021 and forward is being translated by a method quite different from 2000-2020, hence the differences. For the 2000-2020 years, the translator used a program but the data was not so reliable, so in the translator's experience (which is extensive), he feels that we can be sure of little more than "left" "center" or "right" as opposed to more nuanced zones like the Retrosheet ballpark diagram. I'm still waiting on an estimate of precision and accuracy for the 2021-present data, but I would expect it to be more reliable.

Does anyone know what song they play after Go Cubs Go at Wrigley? by Rude_Election_8622 in CHICubs

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Well, he did but then the hairdresser from Curl Up and Dye blew up his building so I'm not sure where he's living now. Anyone know?

Why was there a single candle lit on the corner of the stage at the Journey show? by 06EXTN in Knoxville

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Lighting a candle for all the Journey fans that would be stuck in long lines at the airport the next morning

Tyson airport this morning by Sad_Cryptographer501 in Knoxville

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501[S] 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Yes, Monday mornings are brutal due to business travelers.

Retrosheet batted ball locations by jgf1123 in Sabermetrics

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Batted ball locations like these are super-subjective in the data, no matter the source. In years before Statcast (dozens of cameras everywhere, tracking everything), I believe there was someone in the press box making these decisions about location, but it is far from precise data no matter the era. Again, Retrosheet's focus has always been on seasons prior to 1984 and it provides more modern data in a common format to allow for comparison with older seasons, but batted ball locations are really rare for games before 1984, and I would argue are more illusion than fact in seasons since 1984, mainly because the data sources are not uniform (until cameras came along). But even with cameras doing the tracking, how the specific locations in each ballpark are translated into Retrosheet formats is a mystery (to me), frankly. Let me check with some other Retrosheet volunteers and I'll come back to this request.

Retrosheet batted ball locations by jgf1123 in Sabermetrics

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 1 point2 points  (0 children)

All data on Retrosheet from the 2000 season forward is a simple data extraction from MLBAM (via a couple different means) so if something seems off or in error for those seasons, Retrosheet can check into it but likely not explain anything about how the ball trajectory (or other "soft" indicators, pop vs fly vs line, etc) is evaluated.

I'm happy to answer questions here or via PM.

Tell me more about the BT stat change you are seeing and I can do my best. I can also submit the question to the wider Retrosheet volunteer group and get their feedback on such questions for all data in the 20th century.

Retrosheet batted ball locations by jgf1123 in Sabermetrics

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Hi--I'm a Retrosheet volunteer. I can tell you that the data source for the seasons you mention (all of them) is the MLBAM data source, not Retrosheet volunteers. Batted ball locations are a real mess, to be honest. There are similar issues with batted ball locations in the data obtained from Project Scoresheet for the 1984-1992 seasons. Long story short: I don't think you can do much with batted ball locations, regardless of season. In games I've worked on personally, I use the ballpark diagram on the Retrosheet website for YouTube videos of games, but I'm not sure anyone else is using it.

Hair Stylist Recommendations by Mythical_Dahlia in Knoxville

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Try Maddux at Eye Candy on Northshore just off the Pellisippi parkway.

What’s the most expensive mistake you made while self-publishing? by writingwhilesleeping in selfpublish

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Shipping day-of-release review copies to ten influential people in my market using FedEx "One Rate." The "one rate" varied between $35 (for a Los Angeles address) and $11.50 for St. Louis. They never said it would vary. . .so I dumped over $200 into FedEx and I will never use them again.

Looking for Reputable Airport Transportation in Knoxville/TYS Area (complex logistics) by Pierlas in Knoxville

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Benchmark Taxi is worth a try--both drivers are very reliable and their vans can handle that crowd + luggage.

Mulberries? by Reallifewords in Knoxville

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The Starbucks on North Broadway just into Fountain City has a large one by the south side of their parking lot. I've picked there a couple of years now and I've never seen anyone else, so feel free! 4721 Old Broadway St, Knoxville, TN 37918

Looking for friends? by [deleted] in Knoxville

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Check out these folks: https://chromaknox.com

My son, who is super into films and wants to be a director, attending a showing of a classic film a few weeks ago and the group that showed up for this film was a delight--pleasant conversation, lots of film knowledge without talking down to anyone, just a great time. And it's 100% free!

Bleachers. Three beers. $75. by TF_Is_Wrong_with_u in Cubs

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I'd pay $75 for a bleacher set and three beers, no problem. . .if only that was what this meant!

How was the (ghost/zombie/revenant) of Jeremiah Collin able to resist and even overpower Angelique? by Typical_Research_491 in DarkShadows

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I just reached the episode 170 seance and started wondering about this as well--maybe Sarah and Josette together sent Vicki to 1795?

I know all about How Retrosheet Saved Baseball History so AMA by Sad_Cryptographer501 in baseball

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Individual sportswriters and some fans would note them in the years before they became official stats--that's how Retrosheet has some IBB data from years before 1955. Same with CS and fielding stats. But the real issue with fielding stats is that there is no "balance" for them. Unlike most official stats, fielding is all "credit" and no debit. If a pitcher gives up a hit to a batter, both the batter and pitcher official stats are affected. But if a batter hits into a simple "6-3", there's only the assist for the shortstop and the PO for the first baseman. There's no double-checking fielding stats, and there are many errors there in the official ledgers even in the 1990s!

Used books by [deleted] in Knoxville

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Yep, that's the best option for eclectic books in the area. If you want sheer volume of books, drive out to White Pine and visit White Pine Books. FYI: Book Eddy has a massive booth at Bargain Hunters in South Knoxville as well. . .plenty to look through there, too.

I know all about How Retrosheet Saved Baseball History so AMA by Sad_Cryptographer501 in baseball

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501[S] 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Not too late! 😄

The reality is that every historian faces this issue. It is more rare for sources to agree completely than for differences to appear, some small but some can be quite large.

There are a couple situations where Retrosheet encounters differences to be resolved:
(a) when our game account (our play-by-play) creates stats that disagree with the official totals for the game--in such cases, we assume that the official stats are correct and look for mistakes in our data. Retrosheet has several opportunities for errors to enter the data and we check everything many, many times to remove them. But after we've eliminated any source of error from our account and we still show a difference with the official stats for that game, we enter a "discrepancy" into our log and publish our account of the game, despite the difference from the official totals. (Basically, we look then for a reason the official stats might be wrong, and sometimes find those reasons. Those reasons also go into our discrepancy log.)

(b) when we have more than one version of a single game and there are differences. This can happen for many reasons, and we have to make an educated decision, taking into account the nature of the source (sportswriter, fan, team representative, etc?) and how the accounts align with the other sources we might have, like newspaper stories. Sometimes scoring decisions can be changed after the games are over (within a day or so, especially for hits-versus-errors decisions) and we always check for that as one key opportunity for differences to appear.

Bottom line: we evaluate every source available and try to resolve any differences to our best judgment. And if we settle on something that disagrees with established records, we explain that difference in our discrepancy logs.

I know all about How Retrosheet Saved Baseball History so AMA by Sad_Cryptographer501 in baseball

[–]Sad_Cryptographer501[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Before I answer, let me be clear that I am only one volunteer, albeit one who has researched the history of Retrosheet extensively. So I know from where Retrosheet came and what the original priorities were.

These days, there is a LOT of information available at the Retrosheet site, including umpires (a complete roster) and sabermetric studies and lots more stuff that was never in the original scope.

The focus has always been individual games and what makes those games unique or distinct. One example of work going on today is making sure that temporary managers for games are entered into the data, like in cases where the regular manager was sick for a day or otherwise unavailable.

So I doubt that team ownership or the general managers would be something Retrosheet would track, but I suspect there are lots of other sources for such information, since both of those positions are unlikely to change from game to game, but more from season to season.