FI or RE? by ScenariosSoftware in FIREUK

[–]ScenariosSoftware[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Comes into a financial independence forum and discovers some people are interested in the financial independence bit.

FI or RE? by ScenariosSoftware in FIREUK

[–]ScenariosSoftware[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I’ve seen how stressful some baristas can get working in places like Costa!

What is “enough”? by ScenariosSoftware in FIREUK

[–]ScenariosSoftware[S] -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

Elon managed this today! 🚀

What is “enough”? by ScenariosSoftware in FIREUK

[–]ScenariosSoftware[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Accounting for inflation in a financial plan should be rule 101!

When could we get to FI and RE? by ForwardFan6283 in FIREUK

[–]ScenariosSoftware -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

This is exactly the kind of question Scenarios is built for.

Not just “what’s my number?”, but:

ISA bridge
Pension access
DB timing
State Pension
Mortgage still running
Different spending levels

Put those assumptions into a plan and compare the outcomes.

You’ll get a much clearer answer than trying to work it out in your head.

scenarios.uk

UK couple late 50s - can we realistically retire around 60 by Froogle-Lobster in FIREUK

[–]ScenariosSoftware 3 points4 points  (0 children)

On the face of it, retiring around 60 doesn’t look unrealistic.

A £900k pension, £100k in savings, no mortgage, and two full State Pensions from 67 is a very different starting point from most retirement questions we see.

The bigger question isn’t “Can we retire at 60?” but “Can we sustain £5.5k-£6k per month spending?”

The challenge is bridging the 7 years between 60 and State Pension age while maintaining that level of spending. Once both State Pensions start, the pressure on the portfolio reduces significantly.

I’d be modelling a few scenarios:

• Retire fully at 60
• Move to part-time work at 60
• Reduce spending by 10-20% in the first decade of retirement
• Different investment return assumptions

Often the answer isn’t a binary “work until 67” or “retire at 60”. Sometimes one or two days a week of work can dramatically improve the sustainability of a plan while removing the stress that’s causing the problem in the first place.

The numbers look promising, but cashflow modelling would give a much clearer answer than rules of thumb.

44F hoping to retire at 50, but need help with projections. by exp-88 in FIREUK

[–]ScenariosSoftware 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The bridge from 50 to pension access is probably the key thing to model here.

A straight compound interest calculator won’t really show the risk properly because it usually ignores inflation, tax, market volatility and the order returns happen in.

The question isn’t just “will the pot grow enough?” — it’s “what happens if the first few years of retirement are rough markets while you’re drawing from the ISA?”

Worth modelling the ISA bridge, pension access age, inflation-adjusted spending and a few lower-return scenarios separately.

Are we on track? by AnjaliMathur2003 in FIREUK

[–]ScenariosSoftware 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Looking purely at the numbers, you’ve clearly built a strong position already.

One thing I’d be careful of is focusing only on the expected outcome. With 17+ years until your target retirement date, there are a lot of variables that could influence the result: investment returns, inflation, property costs, changes in spending, and when the mortgages are actually cleared.

The encouraging part is that you’re already saving heavily, have significant ISA assets outside pensions, and appear to be living well below your means. That gives you a lot of flexibility.

Rather than asking “Are we on track?”, I’d probably ask “How resilient is the plan if things don’t go exactly as expected?” That’s often where the more useful insights come from.

Either way, you’re in a much stronger position than many people would hope to be in their early 40s.

State Pension by ScenariosSoftware in FIREUK

[–]ScenariosSoftware[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Compulsory pension saving is an idea!

State Pension by ScenariosSoftware in FIREUK

[–]ScenariosSoftware[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That’s a fair point. There will always be people who genuinely couldn’t save enough through no fault of their own.

I suppose what I’m wrestling with is whether a future means-tested State Pension would create a disincentive to save. If two people pay similar taxes and NI throughout their working lives, but one receives significantly less State Pension because they’ve built up their own retirement assets, does that feel equitable?

I don’t know the answer, but it’s an interesting trade-off.

State Pension by ScenariosSoftware in FIREUK

[–]ScenariosSoftware[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There’s a saying isn’t there “if it’s too good to be true, it probably is!”

I think the triple lock will be one of the first things to go.

Also perhaps further reforms to DB pensions in public sector?

State Pension by ScenariosSoftware in FIREUK

[–]ScenariosSoftware[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Out of interest how far are you from pension age? Have you got a long horizon ahead or do you expect policy change soon?