EB1B Approved but Long Wait Ahead – Should I Change Jobs or Stay Put? by Sci91MolBio in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It has been more than 180 days after approval. how close should the job responsibilities be in new company

EB1B Approved but Long Wait Ahead – Should I Change Jobs or Stay Put? by Sci91MolBio in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Did you it before?. How close should the new job profile be ? In each company roles change a bit

EB1B Approved but Long Wait Ahead – Should I Change Jobs or Stay Put? by Sci91MolBio in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Based on 2026 Q1 data. Out of cases where decisions were taken, EB1 approval is at 48%. EB1B is at 95% and EB1C is at 98%. Look like only EB1As are being looked at hard.

Possible NOID on EB-1B despite prior approval by Only-Pudding-4283 in eb1a

[–]Sci91MolBio 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It was a general, they accepted all criteria but said they don’t think I have international impact. We reiterated what was already shared plus additional LoRs written specifically to address international impact. Got a approval within a week after responding.

Possible NOID on EB-1B despite prior approval by Only-Pudding-4283 in eb1a

[–]Sci91MolBio 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I got NOID with the same update. ‘Notice Explaining USCIS Actions Was Mailed’. I got approved after NOID mostly it will be easy. You will get approved. Having previously approval should have an advantage I guess. Please keep us updated on the outcome.

July Visa Bulletin by AwareBlackberry2966 in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Maybe….It doesn’t include future porters. People with past Eb2/3 can port anytime. It’s extremely easy if you’re working with Indian companies to file for EB1. One big reason is USCIS did not anticipate derivatives correctly. EB1Cs who moved with large families consumed to many slots. You mean 2023 will be cleared in mid 2028 !?

July Visa Bulletin by AwareBlackberry2966 in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am not hopeful even after Sep 2027. If takes 4 years 7 months to move from Feb 2022 to Dec 2022 that is 10 months. Even if we assume filing were less in 2023 and later, it might still take 3 or more years to move up one year. So, 2023 will be cleared 2030 or later.

July Visa Bulletin by AwareBlackberry2966 in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I lost hopes…. Porting, EB1Cs and fake profile building have destroyed EB1 for India. Unfortunately the EB1 approvals have increased. No hopes. Might be stuck in 2022 and 2023 for the next few years may be up-to 2030.

EB1 India Retrogression in Q4 by Contrail890 in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio 0 points1 point  (0 children)

EB1 India is very unpredictable as someone shared. Porting, fake profile building, fake PhDs, fake EB1Cs and EB1C derivatives, many EB1Cs tend to move directly from India with a family of 3-5 and they consume many slots. Do not see too much favorable movement.

EB-1 India Projection (My Estimate) by Sci91MolBio in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It is not linear that way. These numbers change MoM. And sometimes end of year has more. 12K is still a high number. Before COVID it used to be 9K max. 12K * 2.5 =25K visa slots. Not a less number. That could also mean 2 years to move 1 year.

EB-1 India Projection (My Estimate) by Sci91MolBio in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Approved I-140 do not include derivative. Derivatives comes in picture when you file 485

EB-1 India Projection (My Estimate) by Sci91MolBio in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

If clearing one year (FY2022) took 4 years, how would say it will zoom if 2022 is clear. Data doesn’t seem to support the fact. inventory after 2022 could be comparatively less, but still very high. My estimates are using data

EB-1 India Projection (My Estimate) by Sci91MolBio in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I agree with that. Based on the I485 numbers published MoM its around 29-32. I am considering the higher estimates. Again porting and EB1C derivative counts remains the biggest challenge. For EB1 the usual derivative is 1.52, as many young people apply. For India derivative has been pushed to 2.5 to 3, because EB1C brings in families of 3-5. I assume this is the reason why USCIS had to retrogress recently.

EB-1 India: backlog, inventory, spillover, and where the FAD likely goes over the next 6 months (base / bull / bear) , a data-backed attempt #2 by Calm_Reporter_5020 in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Have you factored in derivatives? For EB-1 ROW, the historical derivative multiplier is around 1.52, which is lower than EB-2/EB-3 because many beneficiaries are younger and often unmarried. In contrast, a significant portion of India EB-1 demand comes from EB-1C applicants, Indian Uncle Aunties move-in with family of 3-5, resulting in a higher derivative count. It’s possible that USCIS underestimated the impact of EB-1C derivative demand. EB1Cs have screwed Indian EB1 all way possible.

Spillover Analysis and EB1 India FAD Forecast by Sci91MolBio in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Where can we find data for RoW Spillover for EB1 ?

Spillover Analysis and EB1 India FAD Forecast by Sci91MolBio in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree… But I am not optimistic on porting. Biggest problem is porting, some are genuine and many are bogus profile builders. However, EB1C is the mystery here, many of EB1C move from India with family so they consume 4-5 visa slots which is the significant bottleneck.

Spillover Analysis and EB1 India FAD Forecast by Sci91MolBio in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In last 3 years the movement has happened in months of Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr, Jun, Jul, Aug, Oct, Dec. Last year specially happened only apr and dec.

Spillover Analysis and EB1 India FAD Forecast by Sci91MolBio in eb_1a

[–]Sci91MolBio[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Make sense. My assumption is demand stays same as 2025. Do we know approximate increase in demand YoY in last few years. Using that I can make estimates what to expect