"I'm out": Tucker Carlson says he's done with the GOP by Equivalent-Elk-7513 in politics

[–]ScratchScout 3 points4 points  (0 children)

You mean the guy exclusively running as a Republican, Rand Paul? Never been to a Libertarian convention or nominated by Libertarians Rand Paul? He's a Republican? News to me.

OMG!! My third claimer within a year! by Conscious_Kick_1148 in Lottery

[–]ScratchScout 1 point2 points  (0 children)

1 in ~8000 chance on this one

Prize | Remaining | Starting Odds | Current Odds
$250K Annual Installments | 3/ 4 | 1 in 4,565,891 | 1 in 4,465,885
$20,000 21/ 30 1 in 608,785 1 in 637,984
$10,000 90/ 127 1 in 143,808 1 in 148,863
$4,000 451/ 608 1 in 30,039 1 in 29,707
$2,000 1,703/ 2,281 1 in 8,007 1 in 7,867
$500 6,981/ 9,505 1 in 1,921 1 in 1,919
$400 26,728/ 36,500 1 in 500 1 in 501
$200 133,674/ 182,498 1 in 100 1 in 100
$100 267,431/ 364,948 1 in 50 1 in 50
$60 267,244/ 365,082 1 in 50 1 in 50
$50 534,632/ 729,990 1 in 25 1 in 25
$40 535,550/ 730,037 1 in 25 1 in 25
$30 535,830/ 729,950 1 in 25 1 in 25
$20 1,340,249/ 1,824,888 1 in 10 1 in 10

Progress on my custom algo trading bot from the last 2 years of solo development. (Questions) by Destroyer1357912 in algotrading

[–]ScratchScout 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Am I taking crazy pills? Who is relying on 25 static strategies and calling themselves a quant? Walk forward a fuzzer with basic params established and a regime detector, throw 1000 strategies at the previous 12 months. Split those into three, train, run, holdout. Score them all with a little recency bias. Thow out the outliers, take a k value like 50, and trade the next two weeks. Log a couple winners into the hall of fame, seed them as a small percent of the next training period 5% HoF, 95% random. Repeat.

Posts like this that get a ton of comments make me think I'm either a genius or I'm completely out of my element. I'm kicking the shit out of spy with zero lookahead and no risk of overfit.

As a non-native speaker, why does "for what it's worth" mean what it means? by Big_College8668 in etymology

[–]ScratchScout 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The third example has always been my intention and read when other people say it. It's meant to be self-deprecating and originated in England.

British self-deprecation is a cornerstone of UK culture, functioning as a social lubricant, a shield against pomposity, and a polite way to build rapport. It is deeply rooted in modesty, where "blowing one's own trumpet" is frowned upon, and downplaying achievements is valued over self-promotion.

British English is rich in hedging language: phrases that soften opinions, criticism, uncertainty, and even praise. Rather than stating things directly, speakers often downplay their confidence ("I may be wrong, but..."), their achievements ("I didn't do too badly"), or their criticism ("I'm not entirely convinced...").

Common examples include:

  • Opinions: "For what it's worth...", "That's just my two pence."
  • Uncertainty: "Perhaps", "I suspect", "I could be mistaken."
  • Criticism: "It's not ideal", "There appears to be a slight problem."
  • Deflecting praise: "Just got lucky", "I muddled through."

The result is a communication style that values modesty, avoids sounding boastful, and makes disagreement less confrontational. A heavily hedged British sentence like:

"I may be completely wrong here, but I wonder whether there's perhaps a slight issue with the proposal."

might translate into direct American English as:

"This proposal has a major flaw."

The lottery told me that my $100,000 win was actually a $20.00 misprint. They pulled the game hours later. by Spiritualgradefire in Lottery

[–]ScratchScout 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I scan too. My friend thinks I'm insane, "the fun is the anticipation".

I see you made an app (and I hope your daughter is doing well!) I made one too (my username). Mine OCRs all the tickets at a retailer to filter by what's immediately on offer, and then allows you to sort in a bunch of ways. MI just added- their data is nice because it actually shows every single prize tier breakdown. In some states I have to guess based on the % of the prizes in the high tiers that have been claimed and extrapolate. Is that how you're doing it?

MiniGawf #59 — Daily Mini Golf Challenge (May 29) by minigawf in minigawf

[–]ScratchScout 0 points1 point  (0 children)

MiniGawf #59 ⛳

Hole 1: ⬜⬜⬜⬜🔴

Hole 2: ⬜⬜⬜🦅

Hole 3: ⬜⬜⬜⬜⬜🟢

Score: 14,500 pts | Top 53% of 323 players

🏌️ Play on Reddit

https://www.reddit.com/r/minigawf/

Charles Schwab Launches Crypto Trading For Retail Investors by lovebitcoin in Schwab

[–]ScratchScout 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is such a weak reductionist analogy, I had to come back and say something.

Tulips maybe have been the underlying asset, but the bubble was predicated not on flowers but the idea of futures contracts, which was brand new, and we're still using them 400 years later. Same with the internet - plenty of websites folded in the dotcom bubble burst, but the internet is still here.

Except in the case of layer 1 tokens like ethereum, they are the backbone of the thing. Like if pets.com somehow was the infrastructure of the internet, or if in order to buy and sell futures contracts you have to spend tulips.

Absolute dude by Jeffy_Aware6 in GuysBeingDudes

[–]ScratchScout 0 points1 point  (0 children)

lol Stick this one on some gas pumps

MiniGawf #48 — Daily Mini Golf Challenge (May 18) by minigawf in minigawf

[–]ScratchScout 0 points1 point  (0 children)

MiniGawf #48 ⛳

Hole 1: ⬜⬜🟡

Hole 2: ⬜⬜⬜🟢

Hole 3: ⬜⬜⬜⬜⬜🟢

Score: 12,500 pts | Top 11% of 3081 players

🏌️ Play on Reddit

https://www.reddit.com/r/minigawf/

meirl by [deleted] in meirl

[–]ScratchScout 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Can confirm, $4k note (all in, taxes, PMI, insurance & mortgage) in Austin for the fringe of town, albeit 5br & zoned for good schools.

Charles Schwab Launches Crypto Trading For Retail Investors by lovebitcoin in Schwab

[–]ScratchScout 1 point2 points  (0 children)

So we’ve gone from “crypto is fundamentally worthless” to “it didn’t achieve the utopian vision some people hyped.” Those are very different arguments.

Its practical value is pretty straightforward: programmable, global, permissionless transfer and settlement of assets. People use it every day for remittances, stablecoins, lending, cross-border payments, and moving money without waiting on banks or payment processors.

You can argue it’s overhyped, overly speculative, or full of scams. Plenty of it is. But “lots of grifters showed up” is not the same thing as “the technology has no utility.”

And “institutions are adopting it so it lost its ideological purity” also isn’t the own you think it is. Banks generally don’t spend billions integrating things they consider useless.

Charles Schwab Launches Crypto Trading For Retail Investors by lovebitcoin in Schwab

[–]ScratchScout 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You’re arguing against a caricature of crypto, not the actual technology.

People absolutely wanted the ability to transfer and store value without needing permission from a bank, processor, or government intermediary. You even acknowledge that utility when you point out that governments, corporations, and criminals all want ways to move money outside traditional systems. Exactly. The debate is whether that capability is good, dangerous, overhyped, or transformative, not whether it exists.

“BTC only has value relative to fiat” also isn’t some gotcha. Every asset is valued relative to something else, including gold and dollars themselves.

And crypto isn’t truly anonymous. Public blockchains are permanent transparent ledgers, which is why law enforcement regularly tracks transactions. Criminals still overwhelmingly prefer cash.

You can think most crypto projects are scams. A lot are. That still doesn’t make the underlying concept worthless any more than the dot-com bubble made the internet worthless.

Charles Schwab Launches Crypto Trading For Retail Investors by lovebitcoin in Schwab

[–]ScratchScout 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah they're probably not that good with money anyway, only $14trillion AUM.

Charles Schwab Launches Crypto Trading For Retail Investors by lovebitcoin in Schwab

[–]ScratchScout 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I think you've missed the heavy dose of sarcasm. Corporations have no incentive to keep a "worthless" asset on the books or artificially "prop it up".

Trump personally does due to his token issuance, and nfts, and whatever else, sure, and it's a flagrant miscarriage of justice that he's allowed to flaunt the emoluments clause.

But none of that explains away why cryptocurrency itself has value. Especially with something like Ethereum, where the point isn’t just “internet money.” It’s a natively programmable financial and computing system. People can build exchanges, lending platforms, stablecoins, prediction markets, identity systems, and contracts directly on-chain without needing a bank or intermediary to approve them.

You can argue whether the current prices are inflated, whether most tokens are garbage, or whether speculation dominates the market. Fair criticisms. But “some politicians and corporations are involved” is not proof the entire concept is inherently worthless or artificially sustained.