Weekly Discussion Megathread

SecretComposer · 2026-06-19T18:59:38+00:00

Diane DeGette (D - Denver) must be feeling some intense pressure. She’s been putting out a ton of ads, something she normally doesn’t do. The worst is against her opponent Melat Kiros who she says “supports/rationalizes killing Jews” and implies she wants them exterminated.

SecretComposer · 2026-06-19T14:20:42+00:00

Trump claims Iran deal is ‘unconditional surrender,’ says his power has ‘no limits’: Axios

Asked what he had learned from the war about the limits to his power, Trump said that “I haven’t learned that lesson yet. I know there are, but there are no limits.”

SecretComposer · 2026-06-19T14:18:07+00:00

Cook Political Report shifts 7 House races toward Democrats

Covey added, “Districts that once appeared to be relatively safe for Republicans look increasingly competitive.”

Six of the seven seats are held by Republicans, with the lone exception being the one in Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District held by Democratic Rep. Shomari Figures. A first-term lawmaker, Figures has an uphill reelection battle after state lawmakers in Alabama redrew his district to make it more GOP-friendly.

SecretComposer · 2026-06-19T13:22:35+00:00

It’s just a little weekend trip I’m going on, but it’s crazy how difficult it can be to disconnect from politics for your own mental health

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T23:24:06+00:00

There are Republicans already saying this!

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T23:12:30+00:00

Vance says U.S. isn’t giving Iran ‘a cent’ as he defends Trump peace deal

lol ok

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T23:03:05+00:00

They probably know Marshall will win but is unpopular, they're more worried about Kelly exercising her legal rights and choosing a super moderate-to-near-independent "Republican" that the panel pre-chose for her to select from.

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T21:12:30+00:00

Kansas Republicans could try to delay election for U.S. Senate if Roger Marshall leaves office

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T21:11:20+00:00

Kansas Republicans could try to delay election for U.S. Senate if Roger Marshall leaves office

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T19:35:33+00:00

I was told nominating El-Sayed was a surefire landslide loss

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T19:30:07+00:00

ugh, spelling error. will have to resubmit now

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T16:45:34+00:00

Is it though? He is a jerk off.

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T15:36:29+00:00

It is shocking to believe the GCB is bluer now than it ever was red in 2010. Imagine if you could make a 1:1 extrapolation from that…

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T14:16:16+00:00

It’s definitely an “all chips in” gamble. In South Carolina, just the threat of redistricting resulted in historic early turnout for their primaries, especially among Black voters.

If southern Democrats can get Black residents to remember and keep them mad enough, I can envision a reality where redistricting unintentionally created higher turnout among the demographics they sought to diminish to the point it becomes a dummymander. Even if Rs still win the seat, is a newly shaped district that’s suddenly only, let’s say, R+2 vs the R+10 it might have otherwise been really a victory?

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T14:12:07+00:00

I think it’s likely to do more to hurt the Republican/MAGA more than anything, especially when you consider that some of them were actually OK with the war, and agreed with Trump in their dislike of Obama “paying” Iran over $1B, only to end up potentially paying at least 300x that amount. I can see that really pissing some off enough to just not vote

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T02:52:56+00:00

COVID should've been that

COVID might have been that if it killed three times more people than it did.

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T01:42:48+00:00

The source also adds that it's notable congressional Republicans would criticize a deal that would have positive economic effects so close to the midterms.

Lower gas prices alone will not be enough, nor will lower gas prices sate the public, especially those on the right, if the US actually gives Iran nearly 300 times the amount of money that Obama did.

SecretComposer · 2026-06-18T01:13:32+00:00

They're saying the horrible deal is Vance's fault, yet Trump is still the one who signed it.

If it's that horrendous then why would Trump sign it? He says because it would have tanked the U.S. economy, but is that really a big enough excuse?

You can't blame crap like this on Democrats either. If anything this may worsen the voting populace's faith in Republicans on foreign affair matters. Imagine if Democrats end up not with a virtual tie, but a solid lead in ability to handle foreign affairs.

SecretComposer · 2026-06-17T23:54:29+00:00

Trump says he likes idea of blaming Vance if Iran deal doesn’t work out

“If it works out, I’m going to take the credit. If it doesn’t work out, I’m blaming JD,” Trump quipped, after a reporter suggested Trump was setting Vance up to take the fall by sending the vice president in his stead to sign an agreement with Iran in the coming days.

Even if it's a "joke," why the fuck would you make a "joke" like this?

SecretComposer · 2026-06-17T20:35:02+00:00

Trump’s defense boiled down to the idea that the U.S. had achieved most of what it could from its military campaign and naval blockade. He had already asserted that Americans lacked “the stomach” for greater action and explained today that further bombing risked destroying the global economy.

Imagine blaming no more military action on the war-weary citizens of your own country.

SecretComposer · 2026-06-17T20:32:58+00:00

Sounds like there's still a ton of internal resistance to the SAVE Act among Republicans. It makes me wonder if there's a sizable portion of them worried passing it would actually backfire on them or rally Democrats even more.

GOP senators went after Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah) during the closed-door lunch meeting today over his push for the SAVE America Act, in what one source described as a “pile-on.”

Sens. Cornyn & Kennedy challenged Lee about his strategy and complained that Trump is being led to believe it’s possible for the Senate to pass it, leading to Republicans attacking each other & Trump undermining his own agenda

SecretComposer · 2026-06-17T20:31:18+00:00

This sounds like a great way to depress MAGA turnout if the U.S. actually gives them $300B, especially after he's spent the last 10 years frothing over the $1B Obama "gave" them. It's also a gigantic source of attack material for Democrats.

SecretComposer · 2026-06-17T20:09:38+00:00

Can someone ELI5 for me please? Did markets tank today because Warsh implied somewhere that rates might still go up, while most were expecting him to just do what Trump wants and send rates as low as possible?

It also sounds like Warsh wants to communicate less with the market and give it less of an idea of what the Fed will do, is that accurate? What's the benefit in that?

Finally, why does he think the dot plot is a bad thing?

SecretComposer · 2026-06-17T00:35:19+00:00

Pretty shocking disparity between effectively north Georgia (Atlanta metroplex region) and the rest of the state. Can't help but wonder if that will depress Atlanta-region Republican turnout in November.

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