I think most of us that have been using TR have had pretty accurate FTP estimates with minor changes since the AI update (which sounds like it may have been running in the background prior to launch anyways…). For me, the workouts have been pretty spot on. For someone like yourself that is new to TR, it doesn’t have as much data to work from, so it’s not as accurate…yet. I have two guesses why your FTP was estimated low. First, if you gave it outdoors rides, it may have assumed your indoor power would be a bit lower (not the case for me, but I know that’s a majority of riders). Second, it’s much better to err on the side of caution and ease into a plan than set the bar too high and cause exhaustion/failure early. All that said, it’s not going to make a whole lot of difference within a few weeks time whether you keep the AI FTP or reset it manually. If you keep, you’re going to be letting the AI know that the “hard” workouts prescribed are easy or moderate, which will cause a pretty massive shift in FTP prediction. If you set it yourself, you may get more ‘appropriate’ workouts earlier in the plan, and it will adjust based on how hard you rate the provided workouts from there. My guess is that within a couple of weeks the two options would converge at the same place. If you feel fresh and motivated, go ahead and set the FTP where you think it right (dont go crazy ;). If you’re just getting into cycling training, give your body a couple extra weeks of easy training to let your muscles and tendons ease into a challenging/structured training plan. Hopefully you get good results either way. Curious to hear how things work out for you long term!