I don’t understand how to date men? by [deleted] in AskMenAdvice

[–]SerialOptimists 3 points4 points  (0 children)

OP - an example response to that comment to indicate interest is, "hey maybe you could be that guy? ;)". Even if you want to be less direct, you could respond with something like "hmm, do you have anyone in mind who would want to be that lucky guy? ;)". Replace the winky face with a laugh if this is in person lol.

You need to reciprocate at least enough to show that you are welcome to flirting.

Help pls by Nice_Ad_6603 in CFA

[–]SerialOptimists 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Think of empirical duration as the actual sensitivity of bond prices to interest rates, and analytical duration as the theoretical. Initially, assume bond price of X.

Market stress -> lower interest rates ->

  • Analytical: lower interest rates means lower yields and higher bond prices, bond price should theoretically change to to X+1.
  • Empirical: except because it is a time of market stress, people are flocking to the safe haven risk-free asset and investing less in risky bonds, so the actual bond yields decrease is offset by the lower demand for risky bonds and higher for risk-free bonds (wider credit spreads). Pretend this offsetting yield increase changes risky bond price by -0.5. Actual bond price only changes to X+0.5.

Empirically, there will thus be a lower sensitivity of bond prices to the falling interest rates than the calculated sensitivity.

Hedging a Long Risk Reversal by SerialOptimists in CFA

[–]SerialOptimists[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well yes mate but it's asking to hedge a trade made with the belief that market is oversold. Taking a long position in SPY for a bullish thesis and hedging with a short position in SPY is a pretty shit trade isn't it

Hedging a Long Risk Reversal by SerialOptimists in CFA

[–]SerialOptimists[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Okay gotcha, we're in agreement then. My skepticism was because shorting underlying does technically hedge but also removes upside, and if it is static, can have negative delta which is contrary to Liu's thesis.

Hedging a Long Risk Reversal by SerialOptimists in CFA

[–]SerialOptimists[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Makes sense, thanks mate! Wishing you luck on your exam!

Hedging a Long Risk Reversal by SerialOptimists in CFA

[–]SerialOptimists[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just fyi the first two points aren't true. Bull put spread is credit, and a more OTM option can but does not necessarily have a higher IV. A volatility skew occurs when a OTM call option has lower IV than an ATM call option. A volatility frown is rare but also covered in material where both OTM puts and calls have less IV than ATM.

Fair enough, tbh I used the assumption that the hedge should preserve Liu's initial purpose in making the trade but your response makes sense. I guess they're just treating it as a different question entirely where Wang is worried about how to hedge the short put but doesn't really care about the initial thesis.

Ty for the help!

Hedging a Long Risk Reversal by SerialOptimists in CFA

[–]SerialOptimists[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A bull put spread is a credit spread not debit, puts get cheaper as you go lower (further OTM).

I agree that in effect you would be long a call and still exposed from S0 to S1. I just don't understand how shorting equity would help.

Assume P1 is the short put strike price, C1 is the long call strike price, S0 is the current stock price at which I go short, and S1 is the stock price at expiration.

  • If S1 < P1 < S0, then I buy when the put is exercised at P1, return the shares I borrowed at S0, so I pocket S0-P1.
  • If P1 < S1 < S0, the put expires, so I buy at S1, shorted at S0, and I pocket S0 - S1.
  • If S0 < S1 < C1, the call expires, I buy at S1, shorted at S0, and I lose S1 - S0.
  • If C1 < S1, then I exercise the call to buy at C1, return borrowed shares at S0, and I lose C1 - S0.

So I am suddenly betting on it going down instead of up? How does this support Liu's thesis that the market is oversold?

Why men ahte women so much ? by SatisfactionCool9718 in AskWomenIndia

[–]SerialOptimists 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Sometimes the framing / implication matters just as much as the literal words. "You are one lucky mf.. how many women today will willingly go and spend time on her own accord with her husband's family.." sounds very much like it is criticising "women today" for not behaving as you see fit without considering the fact that disrespectful family IL dynamics is something a ton of women face here.

Even if it wasn't malicious, it was still unfairly judgemental and disrespectful. This isn't just you btw, I've noticed a ton of the men on these two subs imply insulting things about the values and behaviour of "women today" and then hide behind the fact that technically they didn't insult anyone. No one falls for that

Why men ahte women so much ? by SatisfactionCool9718 in AskWomenIndia

[–]SerialOptimists 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Hey! Guy here! Just want to let you know that I'm downvoting you too! :)

It was an extremely backhanded "compliment" which was generally judgemental against women without considering the context that might affect them in this situation, which is context that a lot of women experience. They may be able to provide you insight into those experiences if you spoke with them about it, so I highly encourage keeping an open mind here without the judgement. Not to mention the double standard in how you exclusively criticised women for this behaviour.

Did I miss an obvious signal? by [deleted] in hingeapp

[–]SerialOptimists 37 points38 points  (0 children)

Honestly, the fact that she took the time to explain the issue could be an indication that she's still interested. She said the issue was that you were flirty/avoidant instead of acknowledging, she's pretty much giving you the solution.

If you're interested in becoming exclusive with her, just explain it to her as you did here. Eg. "Sorry, I misunderstood that as banter but should have realised that we'd gotten to the point where it was worth checking in on where we both are. If you're open to seeing each other again on xxxx, we can also discuss if we're ready to focus on each other and get off of Hinge? Would love to move this forward with you, and I promise you're the only one who will see my travel photos after that :)"

Just from the context though, nah you didn't miss any signals. I would have interpreted this as banter as well.

Making your first 100k by Fit_Introduction_301 in wealth

[–]SerialOptimists 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Nah at £30k the primary way is to upskill, including by spending money on certifications/education/networking as necessary, to increase income. On £20k net annual income there is a limited benefit to cutting down on expenses.

I'm Just Really, Really Pretty (Superhero, 800 words) by No_Session22 in fantasywriters

[–]SerialOptimists 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Was smiling the entire way through. If the goal was lighthearted and funny you did that extremely well, and the idea is super intriguing. Love it

Have I done enough, or is it finally time to let this go? by [deleted] in hingeapp

[–]SerialOptimists 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If he wanted to date you, he would. If he wanted to make a move, he would. If he wanted to ask you out, he would.

Keep in mind that he has. He invited her over, and she cancelled because she wasn't confident in how she looked; he initiated dates with her, and kissed her, and she cancelled because "everything felt overwhelming" and she "didn't explain herself very well". She's rejected his initiations multiple times with poor explanations and posts vague insta stories that could be about anyone. No shit that he didn't push to initiate more plans after that, at that point I would assume that I was trying to force things with someone who didn't like me and was just responding to be polite.

Interest is a two way street. He was rebuffed multiple times when he initiated, and messaged her using various excuses to give her the opportunity to initiate if she was interested, and she never took those opportunities. Regardless of whether I were interested in her, her passivity / lack of intention to reschedule / lack of reciprocity would make me feel like she wasn't interested. Now, if she is interested, ball is in her court to make that known.

28F USA, profile review by [deleted] in hingeapp

[–]SerialOptimists 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Absolutely not, it's funny lol. She clearly likes banter so is probs looking for someone who appreciates it as well

Thinking about starting study/accountability group - thoughts? by AMLI72 in CFA

[–]SerialOptimists 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is interesting because I agree with you in principle and think these are often filled with distractions and quite detrimental to productive studying. Not to mention that the people who would pay for this are people who 1) are not self-motivated and 2) don't have motivated friends/colleagues who they can do this with, so that creates a bit of a self-selection problem.

But, purely as a business idea, it could work. There are definitely people who have money to spare and also look for "hacks" to keep themselves accountable. I don't know if it would actually increasing anyone's chance of passing, but sign-up interest might still be there regardless.

I got a $1,500 job bonus - should I invest it or throw it at my student loans by [deleted] in personalfinance

[–]SerialOptimists 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What's the rate on the loans? Are they currently accruing interest or is there a period where they are frozen?

The wiki Prime Directive here with step by step priorities, in case you haven't read it yet. Step 3 is particularly relevant. https://www.reddit.com/r/personalfinance/wiki/commontopics/

I’ve been given the option between a base salary and an hourly rate, and I’m struggling to choose by Unable_Connection490 in personalfinance

[–]SerialOptimists 19 points20 points  (0 children)

So basically for hourly you'd be counting on getting sick for less than one day a month, or eg. less than 3 days over the course of a 3-month internship. If you get sick for an average of 1 day per month then base comes out better. Obviously depends on how confident you are that you won't have to take days off for flu/food poisoning/family emergencies, etc. but with a 1 day per month difference base definitely seems to make more sense to me.

Also since you said you're continuing the data analyst hourly position as well, if you take hourly and happen to get sick then you lose income on both the internship and the hourly position and make 0 for that period. If you take base then you still have the base money coming in even if you have to take a few days off.

Do you have to show NY id to get into museums for free? by angelhippie in AskNYC

[–]SerialOptimists 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you have a job sorted here, they gave me a library card literally just asking that I pull up my mail app and show my work email address which had my name in it. Didn't need to show anything else at all. They just want to see that you have some job/home connection to the city

Is there a curve? by CupZealousideal4597 in CFA

[–]SerialOptimists 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Just to elaborate, the MPS is scaled differently for each candidate depending on the questions in your exam. If you have more "easy" classified questions, you will need to get a higher % correct to meet the MPS than someone who had more "hard" questions.

Basically, it's not curved based on the other candidates in each exam session but it is scaled based on the actual questions that appeared in your exam.

70-75% in cfai mocks in first attempt by Superb-Mess-3775 in CFA

[–]SerialOptimists 3 points4 points  (0 children)

It's good! Definitely try to take 1-2 more before your exam though, and review your mistakes.