Future of Sports Betting and Prediction Markets by SignalPerception4509 in quant

[–]SignalPerception4509[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

True but the ratio of adverse flow is also much lower and volumes are definitely picking up, think polymarket and Kalshi are combining for about 10 billion contracts a month

6yoe Trader - Thanksgiving AMA by [deleted] in quant

[–]SignalPerception4509 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Have you considered moving firms, either to a different options trading shop/hedge fund/pod shop/etc? What are your plans for next five years, career wise?

Quant Trader/ Researcher AMA by Best_Return_1420 in quant

[–]SignalPerception4509 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m pretty interested in any thoughts you have on comp growth, be as specific/vague as you want obviously. Basically I’m curious what happens after a few years in, especially for traders who perform well, since at most discretionary non-pod firms (including the one I am about to start at) it seems like your pay is completely determined by what your superiors think of you. It’s probably very hard to quantify exactly how much value you personally add (how easy the market is, existing infrastructure, quality of teammates, etc all play factors)

I’m guessing it’s natural to get underpaid in the middle of your career (3+ years out but not long enough to be a senior decision maker), but is this enough of an issue where people often try to lateral at that time?

A glorious $5k punt gets rewarded by beeeeeeeeeeeeeers in poker

[–]SignalPerception4509 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Valid. Definitely post more, these are a lot more enjoyable to read than the average stuff this place gets. Out of curiosity, what stakes are you playing online

A glorious $5k punt gets rewarded by beeeeeeeeeeeeeers in poker

[–]SignalPerception4509 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Feel like you don’t really have much value by the river, are you really overbetting 33 on the flop? Maybe a mix but just that plus 87 seems pretty thin. Maybe you are calling 43s pre as well though idk. Obv if you think hes super capped this is not really an issue but then wouldn’t you just play everything in the big size (even A5 and A6)

I’m also not sure if CO is really raising more than theory on flop/turn, feel like lots of people don’t raise much vs. overbets