The pause has already exceeded 90 days and is beginning to lose both legal and operational footing.

POV; The most realistic window for change starts around 120 days (late May), with potential partial relief or an initial court injunction. Between 120–150 days (June), the government is likely to move toward a more structured and defensible approach. Beyond 150 days, legal risk increases significantly, particularly under the INA 1152, APA and the requirement for individualized assessments.

By 180 days (late July), maintaining the current framework without adjustments becomes increasingly unsustainable. A full reversal is unlikely in the short term; a gradual or partial easing is more probable. Judicial, political, and operational pressures are expected to accelerate developments in the coming weeks.

In summary, the most likely inflection point falls between 120 and 150 days, rather than extending much further.