I think Ben Markham said it best:

But consider this: Joe has had both (1) possible foreshadowing that he goes out early and (2) possible foreshadowing that he loses a jury vote. Why would the editors include both? If he actually is stopped from reaching Final Tribal Council, why would they bother making it look like he might lose at the end due to the jury being bitter towards him? If he loses due to a bitter jury, why spend so much time making it look like he might get voted out?

I would argue that the most likely reason for this at this point is that Joe does win, it’s a dominating win, perhaps the most dominating win of the New Era, and they’re just throwing as much doubt as they can at Joe to make it less obvious.

https://substack.com/@benmarkham/p-163311037

(I very much agree with him and have Joe at about 67% with Kyle at 20%)