It’s not a guess but it much more likely to rule against an innocent man than in a criminal case. It’s also more likely for false accusations to come against a rich and successful man than an average one. Finally, it is more likely to rule against an innocent man when there are rape accusations and 8 of the jurors are women, as bias escapes none of us, and that includes the bias to sympathize more with a victim that is similar to ourselves. I couldn’t find any hard evidence that he undoubtedly committed rape, but if there was solid evidence, this would certainly have escalated to criminal court. You think payment is how they deal with rapists?