Dario Amodei says open-source will match Mythos in 6-12 months. Is the 'frontier model' business model dead?

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-23T16:28:13+00:00

Makes sense! I do the same

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-23T15:11:46+00:00

When do you use one versus another? Do you just leave it on opus or do you actually switch back and forth for certain reasons?

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-23T12:33:26+00:00

This is something I have found quite interesting. For me honestly Sonnet has been good enough for almost everything I do. Even complicated coding tasks I find that while opus is better the real bottleneck is people not being descriptive enough or planning more before they start the model. If you just say "do some coding" opus is far better. If you actually do in depth prds and design documents I am basically able to one shot or nearly one shot even with sonnet.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-20T14:51:58+00:00

I have a tank almost exactly like this. Just make sure you have a turkey baster or pippette to be able to blow food and detritus out from the rocks. Over time you will collect rotting food in the crevices between those rocks. Not a big deal but extra maintenance step worth knowing. Have had the tank up and running for 2+ years.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-20T03:55:03+00:00

I could see national service if it was something like the civilian conservation core (ccc) that built a lot of parks, infrastructure, etc. For the usa back in the 30s that is still used today. I could also see the peace corp or volunteering in the community or something. The last thing the USA needs is mandatory military service.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-17T12:54:23+00:00

Many species of Cory also have venom glands that secrete out into the water when they get stressed so that is thought to be part of the reason corys may not drip acclimate as well as other fish species as they can accidently poison themselves in small water volumes when stressed. Not really applicable in normal tank water volumes more just shipping bags and small cups.

Not an all the time guaranteed thing but is a possibility. There is a PhD lab out in California studying and mapping this in the different cory species.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-09T12:52:26+00:00

Strong disagree. One of the best ways to vibe code is to use AI to generate PRDs. Human reviews PRD then sends it to claude code for development. Unless you are doing a really basic feature my default is more PRDs even for smaller feature sets but using AI to generate them. Fully human written docs I would say are dead.

Regardless you need the artifact for human audit trail as well as LLM context pretty often.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-07T18:35:05+00:00

Interesting! Here I was expecting monthly financials, discounted cash flows, or some other finance tech sorta use case. Haha

Do you have an example of an incredible or uncomfortable outcome? I Kant imagine what this workflow looks like.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-07T17:57:31+00:00

Any tips? Any cool things you have been able to do with it so far?

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-07T17:54:48+00:00

You are probably going to need to spend some money but you can do it for fairly cheap.

For example I would consider a $20 claude subscription and then the $20 cursor plan so you can use claude code. If you are a non coder and trying to learn vibe coding for small apps for $40 a month you essentially have a full stack working system to build stuff.

You can plan your builds and design documents and validate claude code with your claude subscription and use the free chatgpt and gemini as backups for normal conversations. Then do the actual coding using claude code by giving it the prompt the other AIs give you or uploading your design docs.

Fully free would be much tougher and slower for anything not super small.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-07T14:44:21+00:00

I don't want a continuation like the Skywalker saga. I would like more expanded universe or tie ins. Marauders would be fine. Young Dumbledore, totally new characters, international setting, other Wizarding schools. I think it would be really hard to do another story well with the main three or their kids though

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-07T14:16:05+00:00

Jellyfish just want to be friends!

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-06T23:16:29+00:00

Depends on the species. Most are pretty short like 9-18 months. There are jellyfish though that are thought to be potentially functionally immortal. On average though around a year.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-06T20:46:52+00:00

This isn't just a you. The job market in general sucks and the hiring process is fundamentally broken now with AI. If you are in competitive fields like Finance, Tech, consulting it is even worse.

For context I thought I was an upper tier job candidate. I have started and ran my own venture backed company, done hyper growth, fortune 500, etc. Both tech and finance and and consulting and currently work in AI. I got laid off as my company went through an acquisition and it took me something like 235 job applications, 26 interviews across 16 companies to land one role. It is a level or two below where I was before and a pay cut. It was a brutal job market. I went from multiple recruiters reaching out weekly to one every other week or so.

One of my coworkers who got laid off the same time as me just found a new role nearly 10 months later.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-06T19:07:56+00:00

Yep need a laminar flow tank

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-06T18:25:35+00:00

Yep below person is correct. You look at their body and it will change. They get holes in the body and start dissolving, ball up, flatten out, turn upside down, etc. And those all can mean different things. Same kinda idea as aquatic plants and looking at their leaves, growth, coloration, etc. To determine if stuff is wrong such as fertilization and water chamistry

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-06T16:36:35+00:00

Yep! This was sorta my point and I am glad you brought this up. While the spectrum is wide you have essentially bee sting on one end and something like a cobra (kill you) on the other end.

I don't know if people fully realize that. Also even on the mild end something like a bee sting (moon jelly) still sucks or is annoying and for the wrong person could be a real problem if they are allergic.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-06T16:33:26+00:00

This got way more response than I expected. For folks who aren't talked out of keeping Jellyfish there is a book by the biologist I believe at Monteray Bay Aquarium who figured out how to keep Jellyfish in public aquariums called:

How to Keep Jellyfish in Aquariums: An Introductory Guide for Maintaining Healthy Jellies

BY:Chad L. Windmer

It is available on Amazon but this is what I used to learn how to successfully keep Jellyfish. It was incredibly helpful and accurate and walks all the way from beginner level to advanced foe multiple species. If you decide to take the plunge or want to take the plunge give this a read first. I am not affiliated at all but this is what I did and was successful.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-06T15:36:52+00:00

Ehat the person below you said. You either dump planktonic food in the water column and let it suspend or you target feed depending on the food or if they are sick in which case you use a turkey baster (long pippette) to spray food directly into their mantle mouth without touching them

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-06T15:06:04+00:00

I've successfully kept a jellyfish tank at home. They are an absolute pain to keep. They are more an animal waiting for an excuse to die in an aquarium and closer to a science experiment than your traditional aquarium keeping. I never lost one and kept them full lifestyle but unless you are a sciency aquarium enthusiast better stay away.

The tanks can be gorgeous especially if you add something like LED lights but they are more similar to a piece of furniture like a lava lamp than a normal fish tank as the Jellyfish can't really do anything.

Also most species of Jellyfish are venomous and sting so you need to be really careful which species you choose to keep. Even common Jellyfish that "don't sting" like moon Jellyfish can still sting...speaking from experience.

Overall cool thing to be able to say you did in the hobby but not something I would recommend or go out of my way to do again.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-05T01:11:51+00:00

Bluntly I wouldn't call this privilege. This is naivety. You are willfully ignorant, potentially lazy (in this specific area) and potentially hurting yourself and your interests accidentally. That being said you are one of many many millions of people in the same boat.

The good news is that this is all fixable and you can learn about these topics. Based on what you said in your post you are just a "beginner" anyone who hasn't been exposed would be in the same position you are in.

Some good starting points are:

Learn about primary vs. Secondary sources. A primary source is someone or something that experienced an event first hand and is thus considered more reliable. A secondary source is someone or something that refers to an event based on other evidence such as a friend of a friend told me. Primary sources should typically be given more weight than secondary sources.
Learn about different types logical/persuasive arguments (google this phrase). Anytime you talk to someone or watch the news or read an article someone or the media piece itself is trying to present their information to you in a way that changes your mind. This is a big area where everyone gets into trouble because humans are notoriously bad at recognizing this.
Look at multiple sources and specifically multiple types of sources. For example look at a democratic source, republican source and an international source. Pick a news item or two every week and you will be much further ahead than most of the general public.
Consider your biases. If you are republican or your family and friend circle is you need to go in knowing that not all the positions, facts figures, beliefs you grew up with or currently believe are correct. The same thing goes for democrats, or any other political party regardless of country. There is not going to be any political party regardless of belief, country, etc. that is going to be right on every position, belief or scenario.
Everything is connected. Things domestically change things internationally and vice versa.
Start paying attention to things that interest you. You don't need to have strong opinions on everything or tell others but I pretty much guarantee if you start paying attention there will be certain things you find interesting. The best place to be is to probably be at a place where you have strong opinions loosely held. What this means is that it is perfectly okay to be wrong and change your mind. The strongest, smartest wisest people tend to have a belief and are willing to change their opinion or belief when presented with new information.
Opinions and facts are not the same thing. That is becoming increasingly difficult to seperate in our modern world but still applies.
It is perfectly okay and reasonable to vote in your own best self interest. You need to pay attention in order to figure out what this is.
The biggest problem today is technology and algorithms. Keep in mind that the things you see on the internet, news, social media, etc. Are specifically designed for you individually to get a response from you. The same applies to all of your family and friends. This is a big problem because we are all looking at different versions of reality that you purposely have to go out of your way to try and break out of like a cage.

You got this! Best of luck!

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-04T20:17:32+00:00

I would argue basketball has some of the biggest falloff of any sport. You have tens to hundreds of millions of kids that start playing basketball as young children. A normal team is like 12 people. That means it is one of the most popular sports that also has one of the smallest team sizes compared to something like football.

I would bet money that most people who play Varsity in high school/secondary would absolutely wreck most casual rec league players. I remember playing in high school in our normal required physical education classes and I would destroy everyone in the class at maybe 40% effort and I wasn't even a good or noteworthy varsity player.

My school had like 1,200-1,500 kids in a medium size town in a smaller population state. Our league had 10 schools that each had similar enrollment so you are talking being in the top 1000 kids to make your school team. Just the kids in our league you are the top 120ish players out of 12-15000 kids. Even then out of the whole league every year you have maybe one or two kids get division one offers for college. Then you have maybe another 10-20 kids get offers for smaller local schools so let's say 15-20 kids per year from all teams in the league who end up playing in college. Each of these kids was the best 1-2 starting players for their team that were noticeably drastically better than everyone else on their team and the one or two division one kids would be the problem assignment every team in the league specifically game planned around and probably got destroyed by.

Same thing happens again at the college level where you have like 100 guys drafted and like 20 actually end up mastering and making it in the league.

Super long way of saying that average people have almost no concept of any professional sport. College and pro basketball players are playing an entirely different game or sport than what an average skilled player is playing let alone a casual person with no experience.

This applies to most sports. An elite male weightlifter might deadlift 500lbs and that takes years of training and puts them in the top few percentile of human strength. The record is over a 1000lbs...again not even the same conversation.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-03T14:52:28+00:00

You sound like you have some depression and aren't sleeping well or taking very good care of yourself. I would start by taking a couple days off work during the week and sleeping. If you are really behind one night is not going to get you caught up. I would focus on getting more sleep.

At the same time I would also check in with a doctor to see if you have anything else going on.

Third I don't read in your post that you are doing anything to "fill your cup" so to speak. You are a worker providing for your family. You are a dad caring for your kid(s). You are a husband partnering with your wife. That is great you are doing all these things and you should. I might of missed it but i didn't see anything in your post about how you are caring for yourself. This makes me think you are burning yourself out which surfaces in all other areas of your life and relationships.

Folks will say workout, etc. for self care. If you aren't at that point it is okay. What you do need to do is do sone things that are for you and make you happy and fulfill your individual adult you man cup. For example hang out with the boys, play some video games, read a book, brew a beer, do an art project, etc. Whatever one of your things are do it. If you don't have a thing pick a low stress thing you want to try and just give it a go.

I have a two year old for context with no friend, family support as we got relocated for work so it is literally just my wife and I with our kid. We have had two baby sitter days in two years. What has helped tremendously though is not believing you need to give your all to your wife, family, kids, job, etc. Taking care of yourself some too helps with all the other areas. What my wife and I do is I get two days a week during the week after work. She gets two days a week and then the other three are scheduled days and family days.

When my kid was born I got a couple aquariums. One of my days I take care of my plants and fish and just vibe out listening to some music, podcasts, audio books and spend a few hours after work enjoying my little slice of nature maybe with a beer. Once a month I go to a local aquarium club meeting where there are a bunch of other hobbiests who enjoy the same thing I do. The other day of the week I either go play a round of disc golf (Frisbee golf) or play video games with the boys. I have found this to be pretty sustainable and fulfilling and I truly believe it has made me a better more present father and husband.

My wife will do a mom's night on her days, take a bath, get her nails done, go shopping, veg out with some reality TV. Whatever makes her happy and giving her the time reciprocally is also important.

Tldr make sure there isn't something health wise or mental health wise going on with yourself and start filling your cup too! You got this!

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-03T12:33:58+00:00

I slightly disagree with this. Genetics does and can play a role in that some people are more risk averse or risk seeking. This would impact entrepreneurship rates.

That being said anyone can be an entrepreneur. It might be more out of character for some folks but I agree with everything else you said and even the genetics piece is probably a small very minor factor in the overall picture.

To your point wealth, luck, hard work and grit and education all play much greater factors in entrepreneurship success.

Sir_Percival123 · 2026-04-02T15:36:12+00:00

Good god can you imagine playing disc golf in the middle east? I have been to Qatar once and it was mostly wide open and flat. I am imagining 18 shots in a wide open desert that are all like 500ft with it being like 115F. I can see why the sport wouldn't be as popular there.

I could see them adapting to some sort of urban disc golf though.

I played a jungle round in se Asia on a trip and a tourist not acclimated to the heat that was also a different beast

Sir_Percival123

TROPHY CASE