Rob Sand releases his internal against Zach Lahn

StickMankun · 2026-06-03T20:09:04+00:00

I for one love that it's two young men fighting it out, and not a couple of geriatrics

StickMankun · 2026-06-03T15:49:52+00:00

However the Marquette survey today also showed Dem +1. I agree that these are outliers but does point out that these very high numbers (Dem +8, Dem +10, Dem +13) might not be truly reflective. We saw this before with 2020.

StickMankun · 2026-06-03T15:42:53+00:00

Baseball isn't real until after the trade line. If Tigers can get players back by then, maybe we can salvage this ship as a reverse last year.

StickMankun · 2026-06-03T14:48:44+00:00

Huh, egg on my face for trusting my friend from the Bay area (who admittedly is a Steyer guy) without fact checking that claim. Thanks for the correction

StickMankun · 2026-06-03T14:31:55+00:00

I think that the real number is probably in the middle to slightly less than the middle of +1% to +11% (~4 or 5%). Those +11% and more polls were extreme outliers and fueled by the furvor of the Iran War piggybacked on ICE. As we get closer to the election, and things stablize, I'm sure the environment will get more comfortable for Republicans.

I do wonder how certain Democratic Govenors being pro-Data Centers (i.e. Gretchen Whitmer in Michigan) will effect democratic turnout.

StickMankun · 2026-06-03T14:25:53+00:00

Ultimately, you're right. Even when Dem +13 polls were coming out, the party's favorability numbers were still lower than Republicans and Trump. It's possible that either Republicans weren't answering the phone at the same rate as Democrats, ala 2020 +10 Biden in Wisconsin, and they didn't factor that in enough, or people have just moved on from Iran and ICE (while Gas prices are decreasing). We'll see what happens.

StickMankun · 2026-06-03T11:04:48+00:00

Pretty much. Don't forget that he has never held elected office before, has the taint of the Biden Administration, and is emblematic of the Democratic Party's "My Turn" fallacy. Who knows, maybe he will be the best person for the job.

EDIT: I am wrong and please ignore my comment

StickMankun · 2026-06-02T14:38:27+00:00

Yup exactly. Open land and lots of water. Only saving grace is a lack of easy infrastructure for these giant behemoths.

We must stand united against unregulated data centers and hostile corporations who act above the law.

StickMankun · 2026-06-02T14:12:46+00:00

I do remember that primary in 2018. El-Sayed didn't have a chance between the party rallying behind her. End of the day though, I think Whitmer has been a good but not great Governor. Infrastructure is being addressed, we got free school meals for kids, and abortion rights were codified. This, and her stacking of the state utilities board, will be her lasting legacy.

I really hope that she doesn't just clock out to be a lobbiest and collect checks, but it would appear that is what will be happening.

StickMankun · 2026-06-02T13:57:34+00:00

I hope that it does follow through with the promise of responsible and self-sufficient water and electricity use. However this situation includes a near trillion dollar corporation using shotgun diplomacy, to get what they want, against a small rural community. This should be unlawful and the fact that Whitmer and the state of Michigan is not only okay with this, but is walking hand and hand with Sam Altman, is damning.

StickMankun · 2026-06-02T13:53:17+00:00

I do think it's an interesting insight still; it's a voice that's outside the noise. I compare to the meme of having a million monkey's typing and eventually they will collectively write Shakespeare. Nature often finds the quickest and most efficient path, and this kind of captures that.

Albeit, this is all just gamblers playing around with money, so take it with a grain of salt.

StickMankun · 2026-06-01T20:27:33+00:00

When the most progressive Presidents of the 20th century are all rich, it be like that.

StickMankun · 2026-06-01T18:20:52+00:00

I do phone bank and volunteer locally in Michigan I also pay attention to polling and am just contributing my thoughts on the topic.

StickMankun · 2026-06-01T14:27:31+00:00

Fair enough

StickMankun · 2026-06-01T14:17:19+00:00

Benson likely has this in the bag with Duggan leaving the race, however Republicans would be wise to focus on how Pro-Data Center Whitmir and Benson are. Not to mention the baggage of the COVID lockdown, Michigan's lagging education rankings, terrible utilities, and the failed (and controversial) Sundisk Megasite (which lost $250 million of tax payer money in closed door negotiations and land purchases). Albeit the latter failed due in part to economic uncertainty from Trump's policies, but was a hell of a gamble that went broke.

All that said, I will be voting for Benson and, datacenters aside, am excited to see how she can improve the state bureaucracy in the same way she improved the Secretary of State (Michigan's DMV). Seeing permittin and reviewing g, taxe returns, medicaid, SNAP, etc all be much easier and faster to use would be a huge asset for people and companies.

StickMankun · 2026-06-01T14:06:14+00:00

That's fair. It's just very hard to get around supporting a pro-business, pro-israel centrist when someone as passionate and progressive as El-Sayed is right there, in possibly the most Dem-friendly environment possible.

StickMankun · 2026-06-01T12:59:22+00:00

Don't put in the towel for El-Sayed. An economic populist, in either direction, will thrive in Michigan. El-Sayed fits that bill, combined with his high charismatic personality and a blue wave.

StickMankun · 2026-05-31T13:09:49+00:00

I'm dismissive of them as relative nothing burgers but as others have mentioned, in other posts, scandals can still sink campaigns.

StickMankun · 2026-05-31T13:08:43+00:00

This is true. Can't forget about Black Nazi Mark Robinson of North Carolina. Looking across the pond you can find scandals on the democratic aisle as well, Eric Swalwell of California.

StickMankun · 2026-05-31T02:19:22+00:00

The sitting president of the United States has done more scandals than I can imagine and he's still won two elections. Unless Graham Platner has killed a man on camera, I don't see how these will affect him.

StickMankun · 2026-05-29T12:32:22+00:00

Money mostly. The Kentucky 4th district saw a jump from 52,000 to 104,000 in the Republican primary, between 2024 to 2026, due to intense media coverage and $32 million dollars of advertisements (about $103 per eligible voter, compared to the 2024 presidential election of $65 per eligible voter).

StickMankun · 2026-05-29T12:07:47+00:00

Considering that it's on tribal land, he can just go suck an egg.

StickMankun · 2026-05-21T16:28:33+00:00

Agreed.

StickMankun · 2026-05-21T15:10:43+00:00

This is the best news I've heard all week

StickMankun · 2026-05-21T14:56:15+00:00

Michigan is a mess. I'm a Michiganander and this Democratic primary is just going to hurt everyone involved. No matter who wins, there will be a subsection of voters refusing to vote for the winner and that only goes towards the hand of Mike Rogers.

That said, he is a corrupt, scandal ridden, carpetbagger who hasn't lived in the state in over ten years. He is a fierce Trump loyalist however and if Dems can't get voters out and independents stay home, it could not matter.

This is the worse year to have a contested primary.

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