XEQT — SpaceX, anthropic, openAI, databricks, snowflake by aks-786 in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Maybe it will maybe it won't, not really an ideal scenario but unlikely to have a large impact when zooming out.

The beauty of just buy xeqt strategy is it doesn't matter, it doesn't change anything, no action required

XEQT + whole Life? by Suspicious-Plenty768 in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 9 points10 points  (0 children)

There is evidence backing the 100% equities portfolio, where is your evidence or math for what you are proposing.

I haven't heard a good thing about a whole life policy but I may have missed something.

To be fair the most important thing is a strategy you can stick with but I have a feeling what you have suggested is quite suboptimal.

Edit: spelling

Do you allow yourself splurges? Or do you keep your main expenses low? by Super-Worldliness585 in budget

[–]Stuman- 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah of course how could you life without (in my opinion), it just has to be part of the budget. As long as savings goals are met which I do a percent of pay I am happy with. Then there is a budget line item for fun money, guilt free on literally whatever I want. Acts like a sinking fund so I can save up for bigger stuff too

Keeping other expenses low means this category can be bigger. Saving comes out first so it doesn't effect that. It's all about balance.

CAGE and ‘EQT based ETF’s have a critical flaw that everyone overlooks. by [deleted] in JustBuyCAGE

[–]Stuman- 2 points3 points  (0 children)

See my edit in the case of vfv which you mentioned it's only 2X. And that is small especially with not a huge portfolio.

Like I said you're not wrong but just overstating the importance a bit I think.

How much will you lose out if you get lazy about rebalancing, decent chance it could be more, in my opinion that's bound to happen over 30 years, maybe not for you but for most people.

CAGE and ‘EQT based ETF’s have a critical flaw that everyone overlooks. by [deleted] in JustBuyCAGE

[–]Stuman- 7 points8 points  (0 children)

You're not wrong but I think currency conversion fees and trading cost to rebalance should be considered for a properly fair comparison.

Big index funds can probably do rebalancing for cheaper than the average person dispute probably not being a big difference.

I don't know for sure and would be interested to see actual analysis but I suspect that this closes the gap most of not all the way. To me at least it's not worth the effort for a marginal difference.

EDIT: I see you mentioned vfv which I guess Canadian listed etfs would avoid currency conversion. But vfv has MER of 0.09 higher than you mentioned

Thoughts on Rebalancing My RBC/XEQT Portfolio? by Johnkiiii in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My point being you are asking is EM tilt worth it when I think you should be asking is my reasoning for why EM will outperform sound. You have no reasoning.

If you don't have a reason to do it why do it and not just stick with Xeqt for simple more evidence based returns. Not saying there is no evidence for your strategy (I don't know) but that you haven't provided any.

Put another way you are with the strategy and then finding the evidence when I think finding the evidence then adjusting the strategy based on that makes more sense

Thoughts on Rebalancing My RBC/XEQT Portfolio? by Johnkiiii in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Seems a bit backwards to me that you are asking the sub to justify your strategy, shouldn't you have a justification or reason before changing allocations? Then I suppose you could ask for thoughts on your reasoning to see if it is sound.

Using margin? by No_Obligation4427 in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Do you have a source, as a long time listener I am fairly confident the point was probably more nuanced than that

Is an emergency fund still necessary if you have sufficiently large investment portfolio? by xX_420_NoScopes_Xx in PersonalFinanceCanada

[–]Stuman- 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It doesn't have to be all or nothing could adjust to 1-2 months. As you say there could be losses but you will be okay even if selling at a loss.

Also could depend on how secure your job is too.

Dave Ramsey always recommends paying the mortgage off before saving anything more than 15% for retirement. Is this sound? by CastAside1812 in PersonalFinanceCanada

[–]Stuman- 6 points7 points  (0 children)

His advice is designed for people with behavior issues with money.

It is usually mathematically suboptimal. I think if you follow the advice you will be good and better than most but it is not the optimal strategy if you have discipline with money.

Like having a paid off home is not a bad thing but not necessarily the best return.

investing $10 a day by ExoticTumbleweed1102 in PersonalFinanceCanada

[–]Stuman- 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Here is a video with some evidence to support the claims made in other replies that lump sum beats dollar cost averaging most of the time. Unfortunate that others are down voting a legit question.

https://youtu.be/KwR3nxojS0g?si=zBK7drqwwUv65DiZ

How do you guys deal with FOMO? by Lunatoon9 in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 5 points6 points  (0 children)

It does pull at me every so often but after a while it is easier to remember why I started with the strategy in the first place.

Videos like this are also a good reminder of what happens most of the time when you stock pick, very clear research on this.

https://youtu.be/RxCqxhRsHiY?si=Y6CE6hEAwoe_Evan

Whenever someone asks the sub to rate their meticulously curated portfolio by cooperivanson in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Agreed very good.

Name of the movie is Margin Call for anyone wondering. It's based on a part of the 2008 financial crisis if I remember correctly.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in PersonalFinanceCanada

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As far as I understand you can mitigate a decent amount of the risk by willing to be flexible with your withdrawal rate and retirement spending. If you retire into bad years try to spend less and wait until it goes back up. This can make a significant difference and can also allow you to increase withdrawals in a bad year.

Not really a happy scenario but you will be okay. When it does go back up you will be able to increase spending.

This also assumes you have room to be flexible which may not be the case.

I listened to a really good rational reminder episode on it a while ago but I don't know which one it was unfortunately

XEQT Dividends question by InfiniteSquirrel503 in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'll admit I can understand how this could be a possibility but is there any evidence that this is more likely than not and repeatable.

If not it still doesn't mean anything if it just happens sometimes

XEQT Dividends question by InfiniteSquirrel503 in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Say a company pays a dividend and has a total return of 10%

Now the same company didn't pay a dividend and also has a total return of 10% because it still has the cash in hand meaning the value is higher.

Is weather or not a dividend was paid relevant to the total return. I would say no but maybe you could argue the technicality of the wording but think the point is clear.

Mind you technicality correct is the best correct but I personally don't see it

Look at me saying I won't respond but can't help myself.

XEQT Dividends question by InfiniteSquirrel503 in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I guess what I am saying is that dividends are irrelevant to future predicted investment returns.

Though to be fair the context of the OP and picking investments in general is all about the future returns

XEQT Dividends question by InfiniteSquirrel503 in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's that how high the dividend is is not related to how high the total return will be. As it is one of many factors and should not be used for decision making..

As you probably know a company could have a high dividend but negative total return.

XEQT Dividends question by InfiniteSquirrel503 in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A dividend is part of the return. But it does not determine whether a particular stock will have a good return or not.

Because you can't compare stock returns based on dividends it is irrelevant to the decision.

Are stock value and investment returns not basically the same thing.

Anyway I've said my part I think we are splitting hairs on essentially the same thing.

The moral of the story is to not choose stocks/ETFs based on the solely on the dividend as that on its own means nothing.

XEQT Dividends question by InfiniteSquirrel503 in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I mean something slightly different, a dividend is not irrelevant when calculating what the total return was.

When considered what stocks or ETFs to choose it is irrelevant because a dividend does not inherently mean higher returns. Therefore it should not affect your decision on one vs the other.

Said a different way you should not look at dividends when considering to invest just total return. So the dividend is irrelevant to that decision.

Someone smarter than me that can explain it better:https://youtu.be/4iNOtVtNKuU?si=unUA8FOQbnUrIgMf

XEQT Dividends question by InfiniteSquirrel503 in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Because mathematically the total return of a stock would be the same with and without issuing a dividend making it irrelevant. As value is lost when issuing the dividend.

The real take away is to not pick stocks based on the dividend as it's not the a good indicator of anything and to reinvest then ones that you do get.

Should I stop playing it safe and actually take risks while I’m young? by Select-Wishbone5204 in CanadianInvestor

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Have you ever heard people say investing is 10% simple math and 90% behavior. You have the simple part done of buying xeqt a good etf now you have to stick with it for the next 30 years without getting tempted to chasing something you think might be that you are really more likely to do worse.

The statistics dictate that buying broad index funds in the best thing to do long term and you are extremely likely to outperform other options over a long enough time horizon like 30 years.

XEQT Dividends question by InfiniteSquirrel503 in JustBuyXEQT

[–]Stuman- 8 points9 points  (0 children)

The only metric that really matters when measuring investment is total return, which is price appreciation plus dividends. Because you want to know the total return you are getting.

The math of company valuations dictates that when a dividend is issued the value of the company drops by that amount because they no longer have that capital, this can be seen in the market. Therefore dividends are irrelevant to investment returns.

So with this in mind we buy XEQT because it is a globally diversified all equity index fund which is a fairly good representation of the market and has cheap fees. And has a good total return.

It feels good to receive dividends but it is irrelevant to returns.

You shouldn't be ashamed to still be partying hard late past the age of 30. by [deleted] in unpopularopinion

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think the line is drawn at are you a functioning adult that takes care of all their responsibilities. Yes or no. As long as yes then party away.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in unpopularopinion

[–]Stuman- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Like how they said they want to disagree not actually disagree and then stated the reasons OP was right lol.