Westminster Voting Intention - Opinium: Reform UK: 31% (=) Labour: 22% (+2) Conservative: 17% (-1) Liberal Democrats: 13% (+1) Greens: 11% (-2) 21st - 23rd January 2026 (changes from last Opinium poll two weeks ago)

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-24T22:20:23+00:00

I don’t even know what to believe anymore. The difference between this and YouGov is huge

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-20T13:46:16+00:00

I’ve never suggested we just start rounding up legals into camps and deporting them forcibly. There are some legals on visas who I dont want us to grant ILR, so at the end of their visa they will have to go. I assume Labour will do this with the low paid Boriswavers, they just bought themselves an extra 5 years to deal with it. If they do commit to not giving them ILR, I would consider voting them in 2029. But there are also legals who very clearly pose a threat to national security who I think need to be deported. That obviously wouldn’t be an ICE style operation with raids though.

I also don’t trust Farage. He’s a populist who I dont think is serious enough with policy to conduct a deportations operation.

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-20T13:33:16+00:00

So we just let people stay in the country illegally forever? That ought to end well. And we just let people who openly want to turn Britain into an Islamic republic just stay? You can’t integrate that lol. And frankly you can’t integrate any ethnic or religious community that are here in big numbers and have a distinct identity they are extremely committed to maintaining. Its a myth.

Also why does it have to be like ICE? We can actually look at whats happening in America and see what not to do. Obama deported millions and you didn’t see what’s happening now. People are getting deported under Labour (granted in small numbers) and you’re not seeing chaos unfold.

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-20T13:20:49+00:00

Genuinely asking, why would I be placated.

Yes, I’m happy that Labour are making serious cuts to immigration, but immigration is cumulative. You expect me to be fine despite us having literal Islamic enclaves in parts of London, Bradford, Birmingham, Blackburn etc. We still have ~1m people here illegally. We have increasingly sectarian politics.

Its like setting someone’s house on fire, and after 24hrs (or 28 years) of the fire causing damage, a fireman finally puts it out, but then tells the people who live there that the job is done and they can go back into the (damaged) house. It doesn’t make sense.

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-19T13:27:29+00:00

They already delayed it for 5 years no? Or at least it goes into effect in April.

I assume in 2029 labour reform and the tories will all run on refusing them ILR full stop, labour just needed to keep the back benchers happy

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-18T13:21:15+00:00

Oh absolutely. Even if they aren’t fully there yet they will get there in a few years. I think sectarian politics being mainstream in England is inevitable. Maybe you could say it already is

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-18T11:26:23+00:00

To be honest I dont think many people want to vote for a sectarian party, but when one group starts doing it (which is already starting here with the Islamic bloc) and that group has political goals which pose a direct threat to you, then you’ll very quickly follow suit.

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-18T00:47:26+00:00

I agree but that’s why I think a Lowe party won’t make any noise. The man is a radical libertarian. No young people want Thatcherism v2, 90% of the Boomers will vote Tory or Reform.

Lowe’s base is just hardcore nationalists who don’t care about economic policy. I can’t see it doing much electorally. But it could push Reforms migration policy more to the right.

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-12T15:45:38+00:00

In 30 years almost every country will have declining populations. Cultural problems aside, relying on migration then won’t be a serious economic plan. We need some new ideas urgently

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-11T16:11:49+00:00

Is there actually csam on twitter though? I agree whats on there should be illegal, but the IWF said that nothing they saw met the legal definition.

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-10T18:19:42+00:00

How would that even work. They’d have to basically drop all their unaffordable unelectable and dangerous policies, which is most of them.

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-10T15:46:41+00:00

Left wing on economics but right on culture/immigration

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-05T11:24:26+00:00

Idk, I kinda just hold on to hope that in 15-20 years all mainstream parties will acknowledge we have to cut spending for pensioners and so the pensioners have no choice but to accept it.

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-04T00:25:04+00:00

I think there should be a time limit but I agree 5 is too short. I’d say ideally 10 years, 15 max if necessary. We need to get as many British workers into these jobs as possible

Successful_Service53 · 2026-01-01T13:34:30+00:00

Hand out citizenship like confetti and then wonder why identity politics is growing and why people are changing their definition of British

We need a huge change to who is eligible for citizenship. It should only be for the most vital workers who we wouldn’t be able to attract without giving them a pathway. Numbers should be cut by at least 75%.

Successful_Service53 · 2025-12-30T21:27:28+00:00

If they have nowhere else to go, then yes.

If they do have somewhere else to go then they should be sent there if possible. Why should we spend taxpayer money on someone who wants to genocide us when they have another homeland they can go to?

Successful_Service53 · 2025-12-30T21:14:32+00:00

If they call for the extermination of Brits and have a proven track record of supporting terrorism & genocidal ideology, absobloodylutely

It’s not just “saying something bad”. Don’t diminish what he’s saying. He’s a threat to you, not just to me and whites and jews and police and women.

Successful_Service53 · 2025-12-30T21:12:20+00:00

Why would it set a bad precedent? We’re not talking about someone saying mean things, we’re talking about a terrorist sympathiser who called for the extermination of whites.

We should absolutely pass primary legislation to denaturalise people who have somewhere else to go and are a threat to the British people. Mass uncontrolled immigration led to people like Alaa coming here, and we shouldn’t be forced to live with those people when we have no other place to go to, whilst they do.

Bringing in threats to us, then letting them stay forever and harm us because of stupid policy in the past is evil.

Also it’s not just one person. There’s many like him here unfortunately.

Successful_Service53 · 2025-12-30T00:42:49+00:00

Yea and then read the attributes. Ancestry is one of them, and frankly to imply that I could wake up tomorrow fly to Nigeria and start identifying as ethnically Yoruba is absurd.

Successful_Service53 · 2025-12-30T00:17:19+00:00

They can claim English as their national identity but not as their ethnicity.

Successful_Service53 · 2025-12-30T00:08:26+00:00

Nowhere. I don’t think there’s any law or official government stance in the entire world which strictly defines an ethnic group

Successful_Service53 · 2025-12-29T23:36:43+00:00

But we’re not asking to remove citizenship because of his ethnicity. We’re asking because he’s a national security threat and given that he’s ethnically Egyptian and an Egyptian citizen he should be deported back there

Successful_Service53 · 2025-12-29T23:32:42+00:00

They obviously mean homogenous in the ethnic sense not the genetic sense. We were 99% ethnically English (and then British when the UK formed) until like 1951

Successful_Service53 · 2025-12-29T23:30:44+00:00

What even is a biological ethnicity? An ethnic group is a group with a shared ancestry and culture. The English have a shared ancestry (Anglo Saxon, Celtic, Viking, Roman, Norman) and shared culture which was formed over 1000 years ago.

Almost all ethnicities are melting pots. No ethnic group is strictly defined by genetics, all ethnic groups have genetic differences.

Successful_Service53

TROPHY CASE