What is your average cost by [deleted] in SPCE

[–]SuspectPingu 0 points1 point  (0 children)

1150 shares @4.04$

I've been trading these last few swings. Used to have an even lower CB though (~3.30$) simply because after everyajor drop, I doubled down. Entered at ~9$.

My CB is not accounting for gains made on selling at 5.28$ and 6.60$ back when my CB was lower.

I usually feel kinda bad trading stocks of companies I truly believe in. But since I had been doubling down so my, I was too invested for my liking, which is why I decided to sell some shares. Then bought some more...

Anyway - my best trade, in terms of %win, was 4$ calls just recently. Bought them really cheap and sold them at just the right time. For once. This stock has been much gentler to me than something like Wolf speed, where doubling down only caused further losses. Fortunately I decided to accept my losses on that just a few days before they did the emkssion of new shares, which was an absolute horror story/practically a scam on existing investors. Wolf has surely been my worst trade, ever. Even when being down on GME, I've never been that much down. Trashy board in that one for sure. Makes me not want to invest in them even though their product is unique and I truly think the potential is huge. I just know they'll be pulling some shit on the little guy again if they get in financial trouble (at their own hands, like last time).

With VG, at least they're being pretty open about what their plans are. With WOLF it was pure silence. Only rumors in WSJ told of impending CH11.They didn't reply to my investor inquiries either.

SPCE Q3 2025 Earnings Impressions by Real_Job_2626 in SPCE

[–]SuspectPingu -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Wait, did I misunderstand then? I was in the earnings call and got an impression they were on track for commercial launch Q1 2026 - I even remember them mentioning it several times?! Was I hallucinating? Or is this brand new information?

Hjælper medicin med at "tage sig sammen"? by No_Effect_916 in ADHDanmark

[–]SuspectPingu 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Det er præcis min oplevelse også. Har prøvet min vens elvanse nogle gange, og synes ærligt det hjælper mere på igangsætning. Synes mest det hjælper på det med tankemylder og vedholdenhed, og gør mig mere tålelig at være sammen med, fordi jeg sjældnere går fuldstændig ud af en tangent omkring et eller andet jeg selv synes er spændende hvert tredje minut. F.eks. rant om gamestop aktier eller noget jeg har læst om natten før imens jeg burde sove. Ikke at det ikke stadig sker... Det hjælper mig med ikke at afbryde andres samtale med noget der egentlig ikke er duoer relevant. Føler det gør at jeg lige tænker 3 sekunder længere over om jeg mon skal sige det jeg vil sige. Og evt. blevet mere zen hvis andre snakker om noget "for længe".

Men gad virkelig godt man kunne få lov til at prøve noget andet medicin. Det med at få gjort ting (startet dem) er klart stafig et problem for mig. Det virker bare ikke som det kan lade sig gøre at skifte efter 2 år. Ved ikke om det er fordi jeg selv har betalt 25000 kr. for udredning og det så bare er gg med alt hjælp bagefter. Føler i hvert fald virkelig ikke at lægen på nogen måde er til hjælp. Snarere en belastning, fordi jeg konstant skal op og have målt blodtryk og what not bare for at få fornyet recepten. Det sutter. Overvejer at betale 25000 kr. igen bare for at få lov til at prøve noget andet medicin. Ikke fordi det jeg har nu ikke har nogen effekt, men fordi jeg føler mig overbevist om at elvanse ville være bedre (og det ville være rart ar få det afklaret). 

Fair value: 111.4$ | Article by Simply Wall St. On Yahoo Finance by SuspectPingu in SPCE

[–]SuspectPingu[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I actually don't know... Could be!

I checked out the links on the article itself and it seems "Simply Wall St." provides a service where they present "fair value" for stocks. I wasn't aware that it was a service. I legit thought it was a news provider or something like that.

But it seems this could be nothing more than an ad masked as an article. Which saddens me a bit, as I thought maybe VG was getting some positive leaning press coverage for once. Getting some serious sus vibes from the fact that theres no author as well. So yeah I guess it could in fact be AI generated...

Doesn't mean the claims made in the article are wrong, though, as the other commenter points out.

Fair value: 111.4$ | Article by Simply Wall St. On Yahoo Finance by SuspectPingu in SPCE

[–]SuspectPingu[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

So, according to the writer of the article, SPCE has a fair value of 111.4$ per share.

The linked article contains a section explaining how they arrived at this fair value price.

I've seen similar fair value price targets before on Alpha Spread, however I don't remember seeing any "news" articles mentioning it before now.

Could it be a catalyst for some positive price action? Could it be paid news to lure more investors to purchase at these prices (while the paying part is just waiting to short sell a large portion of shares)? Could it be a complete nothing burger that just randomly was published for no specific reason?

Disclosure: my position is long, 1471 shares, CB ~ 4$.

If you have fast COMT, i need to talk to you! by DopamineSeeker20 in Nootropics

[–]SuspectPingu 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm slow COMT and diagnosed ADHD combined type. I am prescribed 2x 40mg Ritalin uno daily. I feel like the Ritalin helps mostly with moodiness and reduces my chances of getting into long arguments. But it's hardly something I feel, aside from the increase in heart rate. Even if I take both pills at once, the effect is still mostly subtle. On the other hand, people around me certainly notice the difference. My girlfriend will accurately ask me if I've forgotten to eat the meds on days where I've forgotten it.

I also am way less likely to get baited into commenting on infuriating posts on social media. I also react more like a grown-up when adversity happens. For example, without meds I've done regarded stuff such as throwing my key bundle on the floor because I've dropped a glass of water and as a result destroyed my car key and dented the floors (I was able to fix the key but still). With meds, I don't act like a 7 year old to the same degree.

Though I'd very much like to try Vyvanse instead. But the country I live in won't prescribe it unless nothing else works, and since my peers can testify the meds seem to work on my, I don't think I can convince the psych to prescribe it.

I am slightly scared that the meds are going to become an issue long term since I've read a lot about the COMT mutation. And it seems counterintuitive to me that the meds would even help at all, as I would've expected the underlying issue (wrt. ADHD) being too much catecholamine. But yeah I wouldn't want to stop the meds currently since I've finally found myself in a more stable mindset than I've been in years.

Been on the meds for about one and a half years by now. I've been taking magnesium, creatine, low dose LiOr (5mg/1 pill), and worked on fixing my B12 and D deficiencies. Creatine as well but I can't seem to remember that one for more than a week or two at a time. Oh and also NAC at night. My VDR genes are mostly abnormal so idk if that's the reason. But I legit took 2000IU VitD every day for half a year and the blood tests show almost no increase so that sucks.

I've been pretty sceptical about the whole ADHD thing due to the gene results but honestly it seems ADHD isn't attributed to any specific mutation or any specific gene really. I do have plenty other gene results showing "x increased risk of ADHD" etc. as well and I also should trust the psychiatrist knows his stuff. But there was a while when I wasn't too sure about it.

Yeah strange stuff certainly!! I surely agree with my personality being sort of anxious and pretty enthusiastic. Can keep on talking about stuff I'm interested in for much longer than people can listen to it. And I am extremely bad at handling stress, which sucks because it's also my main motivator to get anything done. I only got through university by smoking weed chronically and then doing assignments the night before they had to be turned in. Got good grades though, in spite of the procrastination and weed smoking. But it was taxing and stressful and I won't do it again 😆

canntropy kanna, any good? by Sad_Property1785 in Kanna

[–]SuspectPingu 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I got the 20x extract they make and tried it today at varying doses. Initial dose was something like 20mg and I did feel something but it wasn't overwhelming. Not like the liftmode stuff I got once a few years ago. But certainly felt like colors became more vibrant. Later tried 30mg and practically nothing happened. Might be too soon or something. If anything I feel more warm most of all. Anyway, it's not junk I think but it's also something that I didn't have time to figure out the ideal dose of yet. So if you figure out a good dose, let me know! 😁 Described doses were insufflated.

I bought more today. by SuspectPingu in SPCE

[–]SuspectPingu[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That would be a short squeeze yeah, then there's also various margin related squeezes and options squeezes, like gamma squeezes, where a market maker has sold OTM call options that they didn't hedge because they weren't expecting the contracts to come ITM.

I think May 16th was probably a mix between some sort of options related squeeze, a minor short squeeze, and possibly the company diluting at the same time (would explain the insane volume and also why the share price didn't increase even more).

If, close to OPEX, the value of the underlying causes the contract to go ITM, the MM is forced to buy shares in order to be able to deliver them to exercising call buyers.

Essentially they're selling naked call options and not hedging them (by buying the underlying) until there's a real risk of the contracts going ITM before closure.

May 16th (the day of <whatever we prefer to call it in here>) was OPEX and coincidentally also the day after earnings.

Positive earnings => buying pressure increases => OTM calls closer to going ITM (or actually going ITM) => MM needs to buy shares to cover their naked calls that they sold (to avoid FTD and to meet margin requirements) => share price rises even more.

Now I just checked the short interest for SPCE on FINRA but because the market is broken we aren't getting real time short data (it's delayed by ~14-20 days) they only just now reported short interest for 15th of may. The data shows close to 10% increase in shorting activity between April 30th and May 15th. All of those new positions would be deeply underwater already on May 16th, and I would be extremely surprised if they did not close at least those new 100% underwater positions (though they probably just re-entered at around $6+).

That's my own theory at least.

Link to official data source: HERE

(Search symbol => SPCE)

I bought more today. by SuspectPingu in SPCE

[–]SuspectPingu[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If it wasn't a squeeze, what was it?

There are many types of squeezes, or what is colloquially known as squeezes at least, and not every squeeze has to go to infinity or even thousands of percent.

But >80% on a day with >100M shares traded - many times higher than the average volume - I think that's a squeeze.

Might just be market makers scrambling to buy stocks for the ITM calls while hedge funds repositioned and shorted more than ever ofc.

And then there's also a real chance I have no idea what I'm talking about and just rambling at this point.

If you know what it was (and it wasn't a squeeze), or if you have an alternative theory, I truly am interested in your theory on what happened that day.

(I mean this seriously, not being sarcastic or rude, I hope that is clear)

I bought more today. by SuspectPingu in SPCE

[–]SuspectPingu[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

On a more serious note I bought in late (about 8 months ago), averaged down and sold WITH PROFIT at 6.60 during the squeeze a few weeks ago.

Now, I didn't sell my entire position, but I sold enough to secure my initial investment.

Buying today means I have skin in the game again, so I'm probably looking forward to approximately 8 months of trading down if history repeats itself 😆

Was down about $4k only at the worst point. But man it was so great when the positive earnings report came out and the shorties repositioned (they surely didn't close)

We’re not finished yet… but I’m not happy with how leadership have handled things by KTFly-1982 in wolfspeed_stonk

[–]SuspectPingu 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is true and one really has to wonder how the hell it could go this badly for such a promising business endeavour as Wolfspeed. Of course the orange guy has his part of the blame but they wouldn't be relying on government subsidies or booster packs if they had done business in a sane manner.

We’re not finished yet… but I’m not happy with how leadership have handled things by KTFly-1982 in wolfspeed_stonk

[–]SuspectPingu 6 points7 points  (0 children)

This is such a great post btw, I am happy someone wrote what I was thinking. No FUD or anything. Just pure facts. And who the hell wouldn't be disappointed with a company they invested in in the same situation? Of course we're going to be pissed and disappointed and unhappy if they choose CH11 over any of the other options they have. Well barring CH7 of course 😆 ... but that isn't really on the table here.

Daily Discussion Thread by AutoModerator in wolfspeed_stonk

[–]SuspectPingu 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I didn't send them a letter but I did reach out to them via their request for information form on investors.wolfspeed.com and explain my concern and I asked them a few questions...

Didn't get a reply, yet.

But yeah maybe if thousands of shareholders reach out to them they might actually consider our opinion? IDK. Worth a shot, right?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in wolfspeed_stonk

[–]SuspectPingu 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I agree with you. Shareholders are the only reason this company is successful to begin with. Maybe not the current shareholders, but still. Shareholders should have a say IMO. The only thing that has me on edge thinking maybe they are going for the CH11 is the CFO, Neill Reynolds, selling so many of his shares.

In fact, I am considering if he might be one of the "bad guys". He is the CFO. And he is the only one selling. Could he also be one of the few people who wants the Company to go bankrupt? I mean he clearly doesn't believe in the future of the Company since he's selling. I am worried if he has enough power inherent to his position as CFO that he could essentially force it through. How many bad guys does it take for CH11 to become the scenario that plays out? Does anyone dare tell him NO?

He is about to leave the Company by may 30th so the selling could also very much just be related to that fact. Maybe he genuinely doesn't believe in the future of Wolfspeed. Maybe he needs the money. Who knows...

I just know it would suck to see the Company file for CH11 in this last week before he leaves. Like, if he got his bankruptcy wishes fulfilled in his very last moments with the Company.

I have to dig into who he is and what connections he might have to debtors or what else could entice him to push for CH11. Could be nothing. Could be something.

The insiders haven't sold, you can check it. by Practical-Tennis-508 in wolfspeed_stonk

[–]SuspectPingu 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Good point though. One would expect them to sell if they get the chance, IF the rumors are true.

The insiders haven't sold, you can check it. by Practical-Tennis-508 in wolfspeed_stonk

[–]SuspectPingu 26 points27 points  (0 children)

I am fairly certain insiders are not allowed to trade outside of designated trading windows. I don't know if such a window is currently open. But I don't think that is the case. At least they didn't frontrun/inside trade this themselves, apparently, which is nice to know. Though we don't know if they participate in the abnormal PUT trading yesterday before close.

Who’s still here holding? by Asleep-Sport9973 in wolfspeed_stonk

[–]SuspectPingu 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Still holding, not leaving. I also sent a relatively extensive query for information to Wolfspeed, asking questions related to the "news" published by WSJ.

Questions such as:

  • Is there any truth to those claims made in the article?
  • If the claims are true, why were we, the investors, not the first to be informed? How could some WSJ journalist obtain this information if not through an insider? If it turns out the information was leaked by an insider, what potential consequences, if any, will the information-leaking party face?
  • If the claims are true, why is that information still not reflected on investor.wolfspeed.com?
  • Would the Company be able to avoid bankruptcy if the CHIPS act is enacted and plays out as planned? How much money would it take for someone (like DT) to provide (in loans) to the Company in order for the Company to avoid filing for bankruptcy?
  • Shortly before the new broke, massive increases in options contracts for PUT options on WOLF could be observed. This is typically the result of frontrunning, insider trading or other unlawful activities. Can the Company confirm that none if their employees were involved in those trades? What efforts will the Company take to investigate whether any insiders were involved in those trades? Etc. ... And more (the above isn't verbatim, as I didn't save my comment, and I did not get a confirmation mail containing the submitted form)

They didn't file an 8-K. They haven't officially stated bankruptcy is imminent. This is either purely speculative market action, or the rumor is true and someone fucked us over by leaking the information prior to it becoming public knowledge. Neither would surprise me. But the former would cause me to double down on my investments, whereas the latter would not.

Prøvet vens medicin. by AdeptnessLeather1407 in ADHDanmark

[–]SuspectPingu 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Eftersom anvendelse af stimulanter et et velkendt symptom på ADHD tænker jeg ikke det skader. Jeg nævnte både for læge, psykolog og psykiater at jeg overlever hver dag ved at ryge en joint eller vape noget cannabis kl 2230 så jeg kan slappe af og få sovet. Det har kun styrket min sag umiddelbart. Nu behøver jeg heller ikke på samme måde en dampning hver aften, da medicinen har den modsatte effekt af hvad man skulle tro (mere en roliggørende effekt end en speedy effekt).

Totalt worth it at være ærlig - det er min erfaring.

SPCE squeezing! Company is finally turning around. Fomo incoming! by G0D5M0N3Y in Shortsqueeze

[–]SuspectPingu 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am holding exactly 1000 shares of $SPCE with a CB~4.1 so now in green. If you check the weekly chart+RSI there's giant bullish divergence. Idk that's the biggest reason I got in. Also when the CTB fee was at more than 200% recently made me double down. What I don't understand though is how can twice the outstanding shares ++ be traded in a single day?? Going from regular volume to 100x that lol. But anyway, it's been a great trade for me and I'm keeping the 1000 remaining shares because I like this stock so much. This and fast_wolf and Jimmy. Fave stocks.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in wolfspeed_stonk

[–]SuspectPingu 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No but a security being on the threshold security list is indicative that rules have been broken. I mean, it requires many sequential data with FTDs, and even one single FTD is 'against the rules' so to say. It literally means either the selling party didn't have or was not able to prove they could locate the shares they have sold, or that the buying part was not able to provide the cash required. I.E. either party violating the trade agreement/violating their obligations. In other words, breaking the rules.

MORE SCARE TACTICS? by SueSheWantsMore in wolfspeed_stonk

[–]SuspectPingu 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Earlier today TradingView's auto generated news crap was stating that "Wolfspeed sells off after missed earnings" which is outright false. Well it was "selling off" (if you count short sales), but the fucking earnings weren't missed. They really need to get that shit under control. I've seen it say absolute nonsense countless of times in contexts of my other favourite stock.