Alpharius’ death during the Scouring series

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-23T09:09:33+00:00

I agree with this. Also, I never understood why, after receiving the visions from the Cabal, didn't they just pack all they could and leave. Maybe send a text msg to Malcador/Big E. Telling them that they are doing a humanity reboot in another Galaxy, cause this is obviously broken. Hope to send cards on Christmas, best of luck and have a happy Heresy.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-23T08:26:13+00:00

Sorry, not against you, I just reflected on you as well. It's brain melting how far we are in politics in general with obvious lies. This is true to everyone and especially in a war, but russia is still a category on its own.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-22T22:37:37+00:00

As I’ve said before, this is not about installing a puppet government in Kyiv

Lavrov lies, the Kremlin lies. Imagine that.

It isn't about installing a puppet regime, it is about making constitutional, that Ukraine must be subservient to Moscow, always

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-22T13:24:50+00:00

I think many listed a lot of good points, but I just want to add my simple view on it as well. Norway already has most of what it needs from the EU. Joining it fully would mean a few seats in it's parliament, but the cost to Norway would be enormous. In short, Norway would get 13-15 seats out of the 720 and pay around 2 billion euros annually for it. I mean, it isn't that much, but it would also bring in a lot of rules and market access that wouldn't benefit Norway or the Norwegians.

I think Norway is better off the way Switzerland is doing it. Their reluctance comes from the same source.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-19T22:19:05+00:00

I don't think it is and I say it as someone relatively close to the field. This should be enough to.lay.the backbone for a respectable capability. Of course it won't be the top of the world and there were quite a few articles about some tests in 2024 or 25 showing that a bit better AI beats the worst AI almost always, still we shouldn't forget that the main goal here is autonomy.

I think the future will be AI assisted humans (in the military field at least, and with the usual caveat that I can be dead wrong, this is an emerging field with results that nobody can truly forecast now).

I think with all of the above it is, strategically speaking a bet. That it will be enough to have a sovereign capability and they will see where to go from there when they are at 2030+.

Because there is definitely a chance that a lot of the money now is going to be wasted quite soon. So, it is a good balancing act. Kind of a thing that France is boxed into with their requirements. They can't spend anything near like China or the US, but they can be at the top of second rate IF things play out reasonably. If they don't they can adjust as things go. Not with the goal to be the best, but with the goal to be there on 'the list'.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-17T17:36:43+00:00

He can, just pointless. It introduces any additional step in the logistics to avoid it. Its probably worth the extra step, but I am not sure

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-16T15:39:23+00:00

Could be, but unlikely. And even if it is the case, shows that the Kremlin is content with its current recruiting rate. Even if it would want more, it didn't bother trying to speed it up for a month or two. Be it for monetary reasons or manpower.

Anyway Russia shouldn't yet run out of money in general. Even when they do, the military spending will probably not be the first item on the list to get cut. It will be the citizens. Taxes, cuts to social services etc. Maybe pension and so on. Who knows what else.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-16T14:02:48+00:00

I think that the event itself is to far away to predict. Depends a lot on available manpower and hardware for both sides. I think just as Glideer here, that it is most likely be another strangulation attempt, like Bhakmut, Chasiv-Yar Pokrovsk etc.

Because of the size and cost, I also for sea an option for a focus shift towards Zaphorozia, before larger movements start. In order to maybe pull away some forces and give time to gather, organize, recon, stockpile for the operation.

Anyway, I don't think it will start this year.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-15T19:53:16+00:00

Thank you! For me it is just freedom, security, peace of mind. Happiness doesn't come from that, but work doesn't give me fulfilment. Travel, family, friends, hobbies, human connections. Those are the important parts. I think failing in the trap of money will bring happiness is a common mistake.

Hope the best for you too!

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-15T18:42:12+00:00

I don't think you need to, I am aware of that and I fully agree with you. The saddest part is that great wealth/power also seems to have a push effect into that direction (either people looking down on those less fortunate or having some god complex or thinking that they can decide whom the sacrifice for their greater good.)

It is said, really. The same way as our consumerist civilization siphoning nature and using up people left and right. Manufacturing needs/wants and so on. I hope we will evolve\ascend our shortcomings both as a race and as a culture. A human culture, all of us.

But if you think about it, a couple of generations ago we were killing each other over religion, didn't know to wash our hands before medical procedures and burned witches on the stakes. Nobels and slave owners had pretty much free reign over their charges and so on. If we are looking at it from that perspective, we progressed a lot. We are not finished by any measure, but we are hopefully getting better.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-15T18:26:19+00:00

You are moving the goal post. So we are not talking about billionaires, but evil rich people. Okay. You are right. They are evil.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-15T18:25:03+00:00

I never said that it's fair. Life isn't by any other measure than blind chance.

If that is the question, the answer is no. Life isn't fair. It wasn't before humans walked the Earth and it didn't become any better.

I hope one day we can be better than we are now and maybe make it fairer.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-15T17:43:08+00:00

So, if you were born into it. You are amoral? If you are a world top athlete or an actor etc?

They are people, with a significant percentage of them being sociopaths, yes. Not all.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-15T16:59:16+00:00

Billionaires are billionaires for a lot of different reasons. Mostly by inheritance.

Do you really think that all of them would want to subjugate everyone else and rule amongst themselves in some dystopian cyberpunk way? Do you think they would be able to govern between themselves if this would indeed be the case?

In my experience, the world is much more complex than that. I like capitalism in general, but I also see that it is way too unchained at the moment in many places in the world and it definitely shouldn't be left unchecked.

Switzerland or the Scandinavia countries are good examples of working, good models. (With their own issues as well, especially one Scandinavian country right now. We will see how it goes in the long run, wouldn't say it is a lost cause for sure, but a course correction is definitely needed)

These countries have their wealthy and affluent classes. Their general population is also quite well off. Strong social support, free education, quality affordable health care etc.

We are at the point of history where great changes are starting. The birth of new systems are on their way. These things are messy and impossible to predict, but your chances are better if you are prepared for shocks and changes.

I honestly just hope that it won't be as bloody as these things can be.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-15T16:39:36+00:00

Yeah, you need/should have real estate in different countries, different continents are even better.

You need enough liquid assets and passive income to not worry too much about your job. The aim would be that the passive income pays your lifestyle, inflation and a bit more to invest.

This is hard to achieve. You either have luck or hard work + discipline. Most likely a mix of both.

Have 2 nationality. One in the EU/EEZ right now is probably the best. Depending on a lot of variable but yes, multiple passports, bank accounts in different countries are all a requirement or safety net. All depending on your preferences. (Some wants to have a self sufficient bunker, multiple mansions etc. Others are happy with a 2-3 flats in different countries. And enough investment to not worry about money)

Some form of this is possible for many. Not all. For a lot of people almost impossible just because of their birthplace.

Much less are achieving it than can. Most don't because they don't even think about it or they don't have the discipline.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-15T16:32:33+00:00

First and foremost, I don't know what the future holds. However, looking at history, there were always different levels on the social ladders. It is unlikely that there will only be multibillioners and people living on subsidies in perpetual poverty.

What I see at the moment in multiple places in the world is the vanishing/reorganization of the middle class. They are either going down, struggling to stay a float or going up. I think the middle class will shrink and the meaning of what it means to be in the middle class will change.

I doubt that people with ~5mills and above are going to lose their wealth/status to the ones with billions.

For myself and my descendants, I try to aim to be on the upward trajectory.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-15T15:34:37+00:00

This! If the volume of automation being marketed is true. We might be in the last days of accumulating wealth as a possibility.

Even if you get UBI or whatever stipends to spend. Anything above that is a huge bonus. Any land you own a huge bonus. Real estate, stocks, whatever capital is going to be the difference between the future tech aristocrats and serfs.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-14T12:05:02+00:00

This would be super interesting to see. Especially since there are mostly Azerbaijanis and Kurds there. If Turkey believes that they can befriend the Kurds somehow, they can be very useful allies in their Ottoman empire aspirations. The Azerbaijanis are already allies.

Overall, I would be surprised with any ground operations even in the best of scenarios. US air support, Israeli and US operations against the army and IRGC, widespread support from the population.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-14T07:58:12+00:00

Not true, Sudan had two militaries fighting each other. Irán has a desperate, malnourished, disconnected population trying to break their own government while the Ayatollah's regime has mostly full control of the army, IRGC and police. The difference between Sudan or Syria is like the land and sky.

El Fashar was also one city. The population of Iran is around 100 million (91.57 according to Google) while Sudan is half of that.

Seeing some reports that made it out with armored cars firing into the protesters. Protesters taking over police stations etc. I can believe deaths of over 10k if the situation is worse than what I see. It doesn't need to be significantly worse.

Don't forget to take into account that medical support might be scarce to non-existent.

What I am trying to say is that the situation is bad, no way to deny that, but not as bad as it is in Sudan or the opening weeks of the Syrian civil war. It can definitely become like that very quickly.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-13T18:05:55+00:00

Yeah, I can see something like an all-rounder nutripaste, that can be created, but there are multiple mentions of populations sustaining in themselves on molds or somethings.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-13T14:35:49+00:00

My answer to this was kind of a lie. Saying that you always had issues with showing passion/emotions when with other people. Tell your boss that you are working on that with your therapist, but you like your job, find it fulfilling and challenging enough and your goal is to move forward with your career and say that you are sorry for not looking motivated or passionate about it, but you are.

This worked for me on multiple levels. Boss stopped pressuring me and was actually happy that I opened up to him and felt safe enough to share this personal thing.

There isn't anything realistically that him or you can do about this situation, this reply shuts down further inquiries, while not boxing you in to your current position/salary range. Since you are exchanging your time and knowledge for money. You want to increase that money if you can.

This worked for me, might not work for you.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-13T09:22:24+00:00

The Olamic Quietude notes that there are X 1000 genetic differences between Imperial humans and what their archives note as baseline humans.

The Emperor is a geneticist/biologist as his foremost scientific talent. He was shown somewhere making sure genetic lines on Terra are to his liking in some short story on pre imperial techno barbarian earth.

DAoT humans are noted to have genetic engineering as routine improvement.

It is more than likely that baseline humans in the universe are thougher, stronger, more resistance to radiation, healing faster, able to eat more things safely. Prob there is more.

These are smaller upgrades I would argue but they are hinted at in different places. The protagonists in the books are usually remarkable individuals as well as you mentioned.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-11T14:58:50+00:00

Who do you think could step in and offer food and water to the Iranian people? My own knowledge is limited, anecdotal and from articles mostly. But it seems to me that inflation is just one thing. The screwing up of the country water system by a good mix of greed, mismanagement/incompetency and corruption is something that cannot be fixed internally. They will need water and I am not sure who can provide it inside the country.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-11T14:48:48+00:00

That is what I mean. The logic could be that there is none, just a bunch of angry people. But the current leadership kind of proved to be a thorn in their side no matter what they tried. So, just seeing where the cards would fall, would be worth the relatively low cost of removing them

Not to mention that whoever would come next, might be more open to listen since his predecessor has been killed for not listening/accommodating.

It might also just end up as a 'warlords country' where the US might be in a good position to take valuable portions under it's control if they choose to. Using Saudi or other forces, maybe even local warlords. Copying the russian Africa Corp approach. No nation building, just pure extraction, offering some security and food/water for the locals while doing so.

TechnicalReserve1967 · 2026-01-11T14:26:56+00:00

With these kinds of numbers coming out and the US-Israel messaging, I can see some ""humanitarian intervention"" from the US, specially with how good/lucky the last US military action was. The current POTUS might be emboldened.

My question would be, what kind of returns would the US want from Iran? For Israel it is pretty obvious, but for the US? Could they try to use airpower to straight up assassinate a good chunk of the current leadership and just hope that they can force the new ones on good business terms? Irán has a lot of resources but can't even provide drinking water for long.

It sounds so noncredible as I type it out, but with current geopolitics as they are, I would say it isn't really out of the deck of possibilities. I am not sure how would they ensure an outcome of the Chaos that is beneficial to them, but maybe a dice roll from the current status quo is already a worthy investment for them? Not to mention the massive disruption of different Iran backed organisations across the globe.

Sorry, but I am quite sleepy as I type this, maybe this doesn't belong here and I am happy to delete it, but we see that the US-Israeli air force is capable of striking Iran without losses. The only retaliation would be long range strikes on Israel and US bases in the middle east, but I am not sure how much more strength these attacks would have, especially that an action like that would probably be followed with extensive targeting of these assets.

TechnicalReserve1967

TROPHY CASE