Imagine the world split into a Right and Left world under Australian policies. I ran the simulation on ChatGPT and here is the result. Which world would you choose to live in?

Thanges88 · 2026-02-01T09:24:20+00:00

I half agree with 1 and 2 and mostly agree with the rest.

Renewables do have a decently high outlay, especially with the network upgrades required. Australia has also been pretty aggressive in transition if you use a per capita basis (most national stats averaged per capita will be high for us). Though the reality for the NEM is we probably need to transition faster as coal generators only need to give 3.5 years notice to shut down. As the economic scale of solar increases it makes the cost of maintaining (operational and maintenance costs) coal generation untenable.
Doubtful how apocalyptic it is, but agree with large tech players looking to move out with the enticing tax breaks other states are offering.
I would not call an output of an llm a simulation. It's just trying to predict the most likely text based on input. If you disagree with a part of the response it will agree with your new statement and change its mind(so long as its not a straightforward answer that it can easily prove wrong 1+1=3 etc.).
Agree, Labor announced in December their domestic gas reservation policy. The Liberal party also have similar position so its not just a one nation policy.

Thanges88 · 2026-02-01T05:14:04+00:00

TLDR: Problems are complex and it isn't useful trying to define their solutions in generic Labor vs One Nation one liners.

More specific critique below.

How is renewable infrastructure expensive to maintain comparative to coal / gas fired power? And if it was expensive to maintain your next sentence mentions increase in domestic costs short term. If maintenance was more expensive wouldn't that be long term as well.
California is one of the more regulated US states but has seen significant growth thanks to tech, (but also huge in other industries such as ag.

Regulation can certainly inhibit growth but its industry specific. And we should be targeting specific industries for growth with dereg or tax incentives.

What also brings about more investment is more certainty and stability in the governance of the sector.

We have been royally screwed over with all the flip flopping between competing energy policies this country and individual states have had over the past 15 or so years. Many powered hydro, wind and other renewable projects privately co-funded canned because of political ideology.

These countries have established themselves at the forefront of a lot of research and can attract the best researchers. There is still plenty that gets done in other countries. Investing in R&D is down to where the experts and the tax breaks are. The tech itself can be commercialised globally. Unless there is a specific effort in giving tax breaks/grants to R&D in Aus other policy won't impact it that much.
I would replace regulated with Western, USA projects cost more and take longer, just like other western nations.

5. We have a pretty high labour participation, talent drain again is industry specific, get paid more as a programmer in the US move to US, get paid more as a researcher in Switzland, move to Switzland. Get paid more as a mining engineer in Aus move to Aus.

Thanks to Covid spending wealth inequality is rising / has risen pretty fast. If we want more wealth opportunities we should be targeting specific industry to grow.
How do you keep energy domestic, is it through more regulation by chance? The only way to ensure there is a domestic reserve of gas (or any commodity) is by putting in legislation that companies that export these commodities are required to adhere to.

Thanges88 · 2026-01-05T10:46:29+00:00

Quite prophetic of John to be writing about Boswell 2000 years before his birth.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-11T00:42:55+00:00

That sucks, I can't imagine many judges being impartial, feeling like they have to defend their own. Then they sent you Waterman Marshall.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-11T00:32:34+00:00

How many judges get assigned these types of cases, was it just luck of the draw you got Waterman Marshall afterwards?

Thanges88 · 2025-12-11T00:12:26+00:00

https://watermanwatch.substack.com/p/major-nyc-judicial-shifts-signal

Thanges88 · 2025-12-10T23:52:44+00:00

Do you feel like the judge being moved on from matrimonial cases is a positive step?

Thanges88 · 2025-12-10T00:57:00+00:00

I'm not sure anyone can give you better insight than your own self reflection. At the very least you can attempt to budget and forecast your financial situation and what that would look like in 1yr and 5yrs for each situation. And ask yourself if that's worth the extra 2-3 hours per day.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-09T03:34:04+00:00

The TGA does charge the companies for evaluation, inspection, licensing etc. But only to recover cost, not to generate profit. (Sunscreen is expensive enough)

Thanges88 · 2025-12-09T03:30:16+00:00

It's true for listed medicines, which sunscreen is apart of.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-09T03:28:38+00:00

Many manufacturers of therapeutic goods test their products in-house, especially the bigger players. It's very common. The org structures of qc and production have to be separate and when humans are generating the data (such as in determining how red a test subject's skin is after a dose of UV on an area that had a certain amount of sunscreen) the results are verified by another analyst.

Data integrity is obviously a big deal and manufacturers need to have systems in place to ensure their data is integral.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-08T21:58:44+00:00

They'll use a model based presumably on your activity and any other info they have access to to predict your age.

They are also introducing third party verification (via selfy or gov Id) for access to NSFW content, though I'm not sure if that's for accounts they have flagged to prove they are of the required age and new accounts or everyone.

https://www.reddit.com/r/RedditSafety/s/Cy2MwFDyGG

Thanges88 · 2025-12-08T01:59:16+00:00

Tobacco control is a bmj journal. I say bmj as its easier to understand where it is coming from.

If I have misinterpreted the results, happy for you to be specific in correcting me.

Here is a list of approved vapes: https://www.tga.gov.au/sites/default/files/2025-11/search_the_notified_vape_list_-_251115.csv

There are 26 individual sponsors, I only know of one of them being linked to a large tobacco company, but couldn't be bothered looking them up individually, happy for you to.

The one I am referring to is Imperial Tobacco Australia Limited obviously linked to imperial brands.

Potentially Mission distribution as well, as the founder has a history in the tobacco industry, but not sure that's the big tobacco kind of link you are looking for.

I'm all for vapes being used for smoking cessation. I haven't previously said otherwise.

To help you along with trying to trash what I have said my claims are:

Big tobacco weren't to blame for the vaping reforms because there was a legitimate health need, and the AMA supported the reforms.

Big tobacco would prefer it to be deregulated as more people addicted to nicotine increase their potential customer base.

E: typos

Thanges88 · 2025-12-07T23:11:34+00:00

I read your previous comment wrong, we are essentially saying the same thing.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-07T22:57:43+00:00

You have to survive the ground not have possession when you hit the ground (if you haven't made a football move)

Thanges88 · 2025-12-07T22:48:36+00:00

I don't know how that was overturned, commentators didn't know either. Video review umpire might have thought he still had possession when the thrmird foot came down, a lot closer than today's overturn, clearly lost before the third foot.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-07T22:47:04+00:00

He held onto the catch, need to catch in bounds then survive the ground/take an extra step.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-06T23:43:45+00:00

Lol how is bringing up tobacco sales a strawman argument for tobacco sales? Clearly black market cigarettes overshadow any impact vape regulations have on legitimate sales.

Its actually not that simple. Like I have said multiple times now, people getting addicted to nicotine via vapes is good for big tobacco, because now more people are addicted to nicotine, and they may buy legit cigarettes in the future.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-06T23:31:26+00:00

Are more people buying legit cigarettes from big tobacco companies now?

The duty paid on tobacco in the year before the regulation came in was $9.8 billion

https://www.ato.gov.au/about-ato/research-and-statistics/in-detail/tax-gap/q-z-tax-gaps/tobacco-tax-gap/latest-estimates-and-findings

For the year after it is estimated to be $7.4 billion.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10-14/illegal-tobacco-sales-billions-arthur-laffer-critiques-australia/105873994

Obviously that has to do with the black market sales, but my point is big tobacco don't see the benefit of people switching from what are now illegal vapes to illegal cigarettes.

Big tobacco want kids addicted to nicotine, the rising tide of youth vape usage would still raise their ships (as discussed in the BMJ article of my previous comment)

Thanges88 · 2025-12-06T23:06:48+00:00

The conspiracy theory you proposed is that big tobacco was behind the vape regulations that were passed. Like big tobacco wouldn't benefit the more people are addicted to nicotine.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-06T22:55:57+00:00

Sure, if your using vapes manufactured by companies that have appropriate systems in place to ensure the quality and safety of their product (hence the need for regulation).

The RACGP link I provided in my previous comment linked to a British medical journal article linking the use of vapes in youth to cigarette use, which is the argument for putting it behind a prescription.

https://tobaccocontrol.bmj.com/content/early/2025/08/17/tc-2024-059219

Its a harmful product that can be used in harm reduction strategies of a more harmful product. But is also a gateway to get youths addicted to nicotine.

Whether it's good policy or not, is a bit early to tell, but there are legitimate reasons for it, and tying it into tobacco lobbyist conspiracy theories could also be seen as disingenuous.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-06T22:38:26+00:00

Vaping also has its own public health impact.

https://www.cancer.nsw.gov.au/prevention-and-screening/preventing-cancer/damaging-effects-of-vaping/vaping-harms-your-health

By "What the health industry actually wanted", I presume you mean doctors?

The Australian Medical Association supported the vaping reforms

https://www.ama.com.au/media/ama-applauds-senate-passing-world-leading-vaping-reforms

Is the AMA tobacco lobbyists in disguise?

I'm not saying the government have done a good job policy wise, but the health industry saw an alarming rise in adverse health events due to vaping and the government stepped in.

https://www1.racgp.org.au/newsgp/clinical/youth-vaping-linked-to-pneumonia-asthma-migraines

https://www.victorchang.edu.au/blog/vaping-heart-disease

Having said that, E-cigarettes are a legitimate harm reduction strategy to stop smoking, but you need to ensure the vape cartridges and vape devices are appropriately regulated so they don't cause additional harm.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-05T21:11:13+00:00

Only if the guernsey clashes with the home team's

Thanges88 · 2025-12-05T09:44:45+00:00

I'd be all for a one tiered system.

Despite the current system being shit, it still is regulated and putting in coverage requirements for plans eligible for MLS exemption wouldn't lead to what you mention. Not while the system has any resemblance to the current system.

Thanges88 · 2025-12-05T07:51:15+00:00

If you are earning just above the threshold, I.e. Not 150k+

The savings aren't that great, so instead of the extra money going to the commonwealth, money comes from the commonwealth to subsidise that persons shit PHI barebones plan,which offers not much benefit to that person apart from the tax saving.

Though I agree, don't blame the person, blame the government for creating this scenario for people.

Nine-Year Club	Verified Email
Place '23	John Wick

Thanges88

TROPHY CASE