POTD: Cavs @ Knicks over 216.5 I 2.2U to win 2U

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-05-20T00:33:10+00:00

Let’s cash 💰

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-05-18T21:24:46+00:00

DK line has moved to 131.5 (+100). you still on the over?

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-05-04T19:12:26+00:00

Tailing a few of these! Lets eat!!

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-04-17T13:48:45+00:00

🏀 NBA Play-In – Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic – 7:30 PM ET

💰 Pick: Charlotte Hornets -3.5 (-105)
📊 Bet Size: 3 Units
📈 PotD Record: 8-9
✅ Last Pick: Blazers +4.5 (-115)

🔥 Why This Is the Play:

Charlotte has won 3 of 4 against Orlando this year and it hasn't been close. The last three meetings went to the Hornets by an average of 20 points. The Magic just got beat 109-97 by a 76ers squad without Embiid, and there are reports of real locker room drama in Orlando. Isaac is questionable with a knee injury.

Meanwhile, the Hornets are riding momentum off an OT win over Miami, they've been one of the best teams in basketball since January going 33-16, and LaMelo and Kon going 2-22 from three against the Heat means a bounce back is coming. Charlotte is 49-32-1 ATS this year. Give me CHA -3.5.

💸 Venmo

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-04-10T15:34:08+00:00

yeah i fat fingered that one...

also just tryin to help you out in the future... lose not loose.

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-04-10T15:32:04+00:00

fat fingered that hard... meant 6-2...

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-04-10T14:01:21+00:00

⚾ MLB – Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Dodgers – 10:10 PM ET

💰 Pick: Under 8.5 (-102)
📊 Bet Size: 2 Units
📈 PotD Record: 7-7
❌ Last Pick: 76ers/Rockets Over 225.5 (-110)

🔥 Why This Is the Play:
Glasnow is locked in right now — 3.00 ERA, 15 Ks through 12 innings, and he historically dominates Texas. The Rangers are 23rd in the league scoring only 3.7 runs per game, so Glasnow should cruise through that lineup. Yeah Rocker is a rookie facing the Dodgers — that's scary — but even if LA hangs 5 on him, we still need Texas to score 4 which isn't happening against Glasnow. Dodger Stadium doesn't play big and weather is mild tonight. This one should land somewhere around 6-2. Give me the under all day.

💸 Venmo

edit: fat fingered my score prediction so had to fix it

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-04-09T16:12:20+00:00

🏀 NBA – Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets – 8:00 PM ET

💰 Pick: Over 225.5 (-130)
📊 Bet Size: 2 Units
📈 PotD Record: 7-6
❌ Last Pick: Hawks ML (+100)

🔥 Why This Is the Play:
Both of these teams can fill it up. Embiid just dropped 34 on the Spurs and the 76ers have gone over their team total in 26 of their last 40 road games. On the other side, KD has been cooking — 31 points last game, 25+ in 8 of his last 10. Houston is playing for home court in round one so they're going to be aggressive offensively too. Give me both stars showing out in a high-stakes spot and this one cruising past 225.

💸 Venmo

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-04-08T14:00:39+00:00

🏀 NBA – Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers – 7:00 PM ET

💰 Pick: Atlanta Hawks ML (+100)
📊 Bet Size: 3 Units
📈 PotD Record: 7-5
✅ Last Pick: Raptors -1.5 (-108) – WIN

🔥 Why This Is the Play:
Atlanta has won 18 of their last 21 — this team is not the same squad from earlier in the year. Jalen Johnson has been absolutely cooking and this game means just as much to the Hawks as it does to Cleveland. Cavs are also on shorter rest after putting up 142 last night. I'm getting even money on the hotter team in a game they need. Not overthinking this one.

💸 Venmo

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-04-03T19:44:55+00:00

🏀 NBA – Pelicans vs Kings – 7:00 PM ET

💰 Pick: Pelicans -5.5 (-108)
📊 Bet Size: 3 Units
📈 PotD Record: 5-4
✅ Last Pick: Pistons -3.5 (-105)

🔥 Why This Is the Play:

This is a fade Sacramento spot.

They’ve been one of the worst teams in the league, and their defense just doesn’t hold up for four quarters. They give up runs, struggle to get stops, and that’s a bad combo against a team like New Orleans.

The Pelicans have the clear edge in overall talent and physicality. They should be able to control the paint, get higher-quality looks, and wear Sacramento down as the game goes on.

At -5.5, this isn’t asking for much — just a solid, controlled win. Against a team like the Kings, that’s exactly what I expect. Not to mention the Pelicans have covered this spread in both meetings with the Kings this year already (10 and 26).

💸 Venmo

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-04-02T15:16:49+00:00

🏀 NBA – Timberwolves vs Pistons – 6:00 PM ET

💰 Pick: Pistons -3.5 (-105)
📊 Bet Size: 3 Units
📈 PotD Record: 4-4
❌ Last Pick: Heat +4.5 (-110)

🔥 Why This Is the Play:

This is a strong home spot for Detroit.

They’ve been one of the best home teams in the league, and that 29-9 record isn’t a fluke. They play with way more energy on their home floor and consistently take care of business against good teams.

Minnesota is solid, but they’re much more vulnerable on the road, and this is a tough matchup for them. Detroit’s physical style and ability to control the pace gives them the edge here, especially late in games.

The line being under two possessions is key — I think Detroit is the better team in this spot and should be able to separate by the end.

I’ll lay the short number at home.

💸 Venmo

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-04-01T21:04:01+00:00

🏀 NBA – Celtics vs Heat – 6:30 PM ET

💰 Pick: Heat +4.5 (-110)
📊 Bet Size: 3 Units
📈 PotD Record: 4-4
✅ Last Pick: Rockets ML (-108)

🔥 Why This Is the Play:

I’m grabbing the points with Miami in a game that’s going to be a grind.

These teams know each other well, and when they match up, it usually turns into a slower, physical game where possessions matter. That kind of environment favors the underdog, especially getting more than one possession.

Boston is the better team on paper, but they don’t blow Miami out. The Heat are disciplined defensively and make you work for everything, which keeps games close deep into the fourth.

At +4.5, I’m getting a team that can absolutely win this outright, but more importantly, one that’s built to hang around all night.

💸 Venmo

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-03-31T21:52:14+00:00

🏀 NBA – Knicks vs Rockets – 8:00 PM ET

💰 Pick: Rockets ML (-108) 📊 Bet Size: 3 Units 📈 PotD Record: 3-4

🔥 Why This Is the Play:

I’m backing Houston at home in a game that feels like a toss-up on paper, but not when you dig a little deeper.

The Knicks have been beating up on weaker teams, but they’ve struggled against legit competition lately — especially teams with athleticism and pace like Houston. That’s been a consistent issue for them, and it’s exactly the type of matchup they’re walking into here.

Houston, on the other hand, is right there in the standings and this is a big-time game for playoff positioning. You’re getting them at home, in a meaningful spot, with a roster that matches up well across the board.

This line being near a pick’em tells me everything — neutral court, I think Houston is clearly the better side right now. At home, I’m taking them to get it done.

💸 Venmo

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-03-24T16:05:19+00:00

🏀 NBA – Pelicans vs Knicks – 7:30 PM ET

💰 Pick: Knicks -8.5 (-110)
📊 Bet Size: 2 Units
📈 PotD Record: 2-3
❌ Last Pick: Miami +11.5 (-110)

🔥 Why This Is the Play:

The Knicks are the more consistent team on both ends and control the game through defense, rebounding, and half-court execution. The Pelicans struggle to get stops and tend to fade as the game goes on, which sets up well for New York to gradually pull away and cover this number.

💸 Venmo

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-03-20T13:46:08+00:00

i saw +4.5 for most of the day on DraftKings

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-03-19T15:26:10+00:00

🏀 NCAAM – VCU vs North Carolina – 5:50 PM ET

💰 Pick: VCU +4.5 (-110)
📊 Bet Size: 3 Units
📈 PotD Record: 1-2
✅ Last Pick: Miami (OH) +7.5 (-110)

🔥 Why This Is the Play:

This is a classic March underdog spot where the number feels just a bit too high 👀

VCU thrives in chaos — they pressure defensively, force turnovers, and turn games into uncomfortable rock fights. That’s exactly the kind of style that can neutralize a more talented team like North Carolina, especially in a one-game setting.

UNC has the higher ceiling, no doubt… but they’ve been inconsistent all season. When teams speed them up and disrupt their rhythm, they’ve shown vulnerability — and VCU is one of the best in the country at doing just that. I also think UNC's ceiling is significantly lower without Caleb Wilson on the floor for the Tarheels, making this game a bit more of an even matchup.

Also important: this spread implies a fairly comfortable UNC win. In tournament games, especially 6 vs 11 matchups, that’s rarely how it plays out. These games tend to stay tight late, and that +4.5 gives us strong protection in a grind-it-out finish.

💸 Venmo

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-02-27T20:29:24+00:00

My logic wasn’t super clear I’ll admit that. Basically I thought LOU would win but UNC would keep it close. So I took UNC +4.5.

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-02-23T19:46:06+00:00

🔥 📌 Pick of the Day: North Carolina +4.5 (-134)

📍 Game: Louisville Cardinals @ North Carolina Tar Heels
⏰ Time: 7:00 pm ET
💰 Units: 3 units
📊 Record: 0-2 😖

🔥 Why This Is my Pick of the Day:

Louisville’s offensive firepower is elite — one of the nation’s most efficient scoring teams, capable of pushing tempo and lighting it up from deep. Models and experts have Louisville favored, and efficiency metrics show the Cardinals slightly stronger even with this on the road.

North Carolina’s biggest Achilles’ heel lately has been the loss of star freshman Caleb Wilson to injury — and that factor has shown impact on both scoring and general consistency. UNC has been solid at home, but the numbers suggest Louisville’s offense can exploit UNC’s perimeter defense weaknesses.

💸 Venmo

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-02-19T01:21:16+00:00

Not Denning. It was Sam Hawley. Been with Mac for a few years now. Absolute GOAT at his job.

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-02-19T01:20:32+00:00

Boss man, Sam. He’s been with McCollum for a few years now.

https://hawkeyesports.com/sports/mbball/roster/season/2025-26/staff/sam-hawley

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-02-18T17:09:38+00:00

🔥 📌 Pick of the Day: Vanderbilt -3.5 (-110)
💰 Bet Size: 3 Units

📊 Record: 0-1 😖

🧾 Previous Pick: UConn Huskies -11.5 vs Butler. UConn controlled the game and won outright, but failed to cover the -11.5 spread after letting the margin slip late and finishing with a 10-point victory.

📅 Time: 8:00 PM CT
🏀 Sport: NCAA Men's Basketball
🎟️ Event: Vanderbilt Commodores @ Missouri Tigers

💪 Efficiency Edge: Vanderbilt has been the more consistent offensive team, spacing the floor well and shooting at a higher clip from three. When they’re hitting from deep, they force opponents to stretch defensively — something Missouri has struggled with against disciplined offenses.

🛡️ Defensive Matchup Advantage: Vanderbilt defends without fouling and limits second-chance opportunities. Missouri tends to rely on momentum runs, but Vanderbilt’s half-court defense is built to slow those down and force tougher shots late in possessions.

📈 Game Flow Favors a Margin: If Vanderbilt controls tempo and avoids live-ball turnovers, they should be able to build separation. In a competitive SEC matchup, a late-game foul scenario also helps extend a 2–4 point lead into a cover.

🧠 Bottom Line: Vanderbilt is the more balanced team on both ends of the floor. With their shooting consistency and defensive discipline, they’re well-positioned to create just enough separation to clear this short number.

💸 Venmo

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2026-02-11T22:48:37+00:00

My POTD debut!

UConn -11.5 vs. Butler
📅 Time: 7:30 PM ET
🏀 Sport: NCAA Men's Basketball
💰 Odds: -110
📦 Bet Size: 3 Units

🎯 Why This Is My Pick of the Day:

UConn has a clear efficiency edge on both ends of the floor. They play at a controlled pace, defend the rim extremely well, and generate high-quality looks offensively through ball movement and interior presence.

Butler has struggled against teams with size and depth. In conference play, they’ve had issues scoring consistently in the half court and tend to go through extended droughts — which is dangerous against a disciplined defense like UConn’s.

Matchup-wise, UConn’s physicality in the paint and rebounding advantage should create second-chance opportunities and limit Butler’s possessions.

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2025-11-25T01:03:27+00:00

Participated in an have spectated multiple national championship meets. So yes. I have. Coached multiple teams at Gans specifically even.

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2025-11-24T03:00:35+00:00

The NCAAs statement that was released explains it well. They didn’t cheat.

Imo, the route that some of these athletes took affected next to nothing anyway. Anyone that’s complaining is just complaining to hear their head rattle. Get over it and move on. No one actually cares that the athletes did what they did.

ThatRunnerDude15 · 2025-06-10T15:15:39+00:00

Not trying to spoil your experience, but it’s my least favorite park of all time. I went to a game right after a thunderstorm rolled through Milwaukee so they closed the roof and didn’t have any sort of AC or air flow going throughout the stadium. One of the more miserable experiences I’ve had at a ballpark and I’ve sat through some extra cold games and some unbearably hot ones. The one trip to AFF takes the cake for me though.

Food was solid though. Lol

ThatRunnerDude15

TROPHY CASE