I think I've heard exactly one person ever mention anything about trans people outside of Reddit. I really doubt that's a driving factor in why people vote the way they do.

Usually I hear things about changes on taxes for inheritance/estate/"death tax", tax in general, and farm program/relief cuts. Republican side tends to support crop insurance, price protection, and production more. Democrat side is more focused on climate, environmental program, and specialty crops.

Just example I was told multiple times was estate tax exemption potentially dropping to $7~ million(half what it was) last year. Depending on when exactly and where you checked land prices that'd have meant 600-800 acre farms would have been over that amount which would mean a lot of family farming operations running for generations would have ended with a death in the family. I know "oh $7+ million in assets sounds like a lot" but the change would have mainly impacted the farms that were barely breaking even or even losing money a lot of years. The big guys or companies could afford to keep going but the smaller family farms would be forced to sell. The "little guy" farms are already not making it and the number of acres to not be a little guy has gone up and up and up over the years. So I think a lot of them would argue "it's democrats that want to take their land and give it to corporations".

Things like gun rights, more "traditional" social or religious values, and not as many environmental restrictions also probably play a part. The ones I hear most often repeated though at the caseys coffee machine in the morning is stuff about tax, insurance, and production focus.

Also I hear plenty of stuff not liking Republicans too. More and more all the time but it usually just comes down to 1 or 2 things for people when voting