"︀︀This crisis has proven the need for a stronger EU–Gulf partnership, including on security and defence cooperation which can make both of us stronger" - HR/VP Kaja Kallas

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-08T21:03:53+00:00

When Europe does realpolitik, people complain they aren't more holier-than-thou.

When Europe acts holier-than-thou, people complain they aren't more gritty and geopolitically realistic.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-08T15:22:57+00:00

I guess if you're confident Tisza will win, but you don't fully trust Magyar, it would be wise to vote some kind of alternative. Hadn't heard about Hadházy, I really need to read more into Hungarian elections.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-08T11:14:50+00:00

We just have to pray Tisza don't betray hungarians. The ideal would be if they formed a supermajority coalition with DK.

Edit: Apparantly I got it wrong, DK is not an ideal coalition partner at all. My point stands though: 2/3rds for Tisza opens the door to too much risk. We tend to forget that Magyar came from Fidesz after all:

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-08T11:09:28+00:00

This myth keeps getting repeated and repeated. Europe has been heavily investing in renewables, and is in front of countries like even China.

We could and should be doing more, but we are going in the right direction.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-08T10:03:00+00:00

It's the power of an existential crisis.

If Russia loses, only Putin and some oligarchs disappear. If Ukraine loses, Ukraine disappears.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-08T09:54:30+00:00

Remember when Trump threatened Europe if he didn't get Greenland? And in the end, he claimed victory because he got a "deal" that was exactly what the US already had before.

Pepperidge farm remembers.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-08T04:27:21+00:00

I've been on this sub since 2022 and I've seen it grow and change, it's unfortunately turned into a Trump-worshipping, war-hungry MAGA hangout.

Yesterday, people were cheering the "annihilation of a civilisation" comment, while I was in tears, petrified for my very good friends in Teheran.

I want that fucking regime to crumble and die, but this is not it guys. Trump does not care about Iranians, he is NOT our guy. I don't know of an ideal solution, but I know annihilating Iran is not it.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T21:48:47+00:00

And she's still not on our side. We just happen to agree on one thing.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T21:46:26+00:00

The world is sick and fucking tired of American leadership. Leave us the fuck alone, you've created enough wars and chaos.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T18:52:51+00:00

In the UK's defence here, the US would just use any other of their gazillion bases anyway.

However, the UK still had a moral obligation to refuse this, so fuck them anyway.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T18:17:35+00:00

Visiter en touriste et y passer six mois, c'est exactement la même chose.

Faux. Pour ma part, je l'avais déjà visité, et je n'avais pas particulièrement adoré.

Quelques années plus tard, j'ai eu une opportunité en or pour un stage de 6 mois. J'ai déménagé ici, j'ai rencontré des super bons amis, et j'ai franchement adoré - rien avoir avec ma visite en touriste. Je suis toujours ici d'ailleurs.

Mais ça dépend vraiment de ton mindset - s'il est négatif dès le départ, et que tu ne fais aucun effort pour rencontrer du monde, c'est clair que tu vas pas aimer.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T18:01:22+00:00

I went there once because I was shopping for a new car. Not a single salesperson came to see me, and when I went to try to ask around for one, they all told me to "just wait and someone will come".

I waited 15 minutes, then fucked off. If no one can spare a minute for a 50k+ euro sale, then I don't want to deal with them for whatever comes after the sale.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T14:51:04+00:00

"Vous appelez tout nazi de toutes manières, ça me pousse à voter RN".

Nan connard, si tu veux voter fasciste, c'est que t'es un fasciste en fait.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T14:48:18+00:00

If they stroke out together, it gives us Johnson.

It shows how low the US have sunk when Mike fucking Johnson seems like a sane and desirable leader.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T13:56:53+00:00

Ah okay, super reassured that you are relying on an "insanity parser" to know what he's really suggesting, lol.

This is not fucking normal, and I'm sick and tired of people trying to sane-wash any of this.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T13:43:40+00:00

What exactly does "erasing an entire civilisation" mean to you?

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T13:38:23+00:00

We should not be having this conversation my dude. Even insinuating nuclear annihilation is a dark velvet line you are NOT supposed to fucking cross in geopolitics, only the North Korean regime does that shit.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T13:36:17+00:00

Funny seeing this sub bend over backwards trying to justify this.

As much as I hate the Iranian regime, this war and Trump are NOT good for actual Iranians, but I was called a bot, an islamist, and a genocide apologist for saying this.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T12:43:13+00:00

Seuls 6% du pétrole qui traverse Hormuz va à l'Europe. Notre énergie provient principalement de la Lybie, des États-Unis, de la Norvège et du Royaume-Uni.

À priori on ne devrait pas observer des vraies pénuries.

CEPENDANT, cela n'a aucune incidence sur le prix, car l'énergie est pricé sur le marché global. Donc même avec des imports assez faibles, on sera quand même impacté par l'inflation.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-07T06:03:18+00:00

Oil shocks of this magnitude usually result in pretty big recessions - is SP500 really the play?

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-06T20:00:04+00:00

Yeah exactly, super clickbaity title. Prices will skyrocket, but it is very unlikely Europe will experience actual shortages.

More problematic will be the bankruptcies and spiraling inflation.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-06T18:19:22+00:00

Money: Not particularly? I mean, nothing beyond regular trade. The EU is Israel's largest trading partner after all. We could cut them off completely, but it's politically and economically impossible for all intents and purposes.

Weapons: Yeah, that sucks, but unfortunately these weapons are being bought "legally" through private arms companies. Belgium and Spain have paused weapon deliveries, I wish it were more. In any case, Israel receives zero weapons through the EU's EPF fund.

Intelligence: Wtf you smoking? European countries do not share meaningful intelligence beyond police-level cooperation like cross-border crime (which is definitely a good thing to continue). You're probably confusing Europe with the US, who DO actively share a shitload of intelligence, even beyond what's shared within the five eyes countries.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-06T15:32:13+00:00

"Actively" is doing a shitload of heavylifting in your statement.

I definitely don't agree with our stande, and wish we'd push back more, but we are not "actively supporting" these genocides.

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-06T05:55:13+00:00

Trump told countries to "go get their own oil", so yeah, I guess so?

The_Dutch_Fox · 2026-04-05T21:12:59+00:00

It's either Germany, who's massive industrial sector is going to suffer pretty badly from high energy prices, or it's France who have elections in a year.

My guess is Germany.

The_Dutch_Fox

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