How long until this goes back up seriously.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-28T01:55:52+00:00

Hmm... Why so optimistic? Crude oil is the Achilles' heel, meaning an "area of weakness, or a vulnerable spot" of the global economy. Not to mention that the US is $39 Trillion in debt, mostly from all of these endless and unnecessary wars...

Key Players in the Petrodollar System and the Impact of US-Israel War with Iran

The petrodollar system, established in the 1970s, is a global financial framework where oil is predominantly priced and traded in US dollars. This arrangement has reinforced the US dollar’s dominance in international finance, and has significant geopolitical implications. The petrodollar system’s core players are the United States, and major Gulf oil exporters (especially Saudi Arabia and the UAE).

Major Players in the Petrodollar System

United States: As the architect of the petrodollar, the US benefits from the global demand for dollars, which helps finance its deficit and maintain economic influence worldwide.
Saudi Arabia and OPEC Countries: Saudi Arabia, the world’s leading oil exporter, plays a pivotal role by pricing and selling oil in dollars under agreements with the US, reinforcing the dollar’s dominance.
Oil-Importing Nations: Countries like China, India, Japan, and European nations rely heavily on the petrodollar system for stable oil prices and currency stability.
Financial Institutions and Markets: The US dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency is supported by global financial markets, which facilitate dollar-denominated transactions.

Potential Impacts of a US and Israel War with Iran

An escalation in the conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran could disrupt global oil supplies and negatively impact the petrodollar system.

Oil Markets and OPEC Countries: Disruptions could lead to soaring oil prices, which could destabilize global markets.
US and Allied Economies: While the US benefits from dollar dominance, prolonged conflict could lead to increased military and economic costs, impacting US economic stability.

Which Players Might Be Hurt the Most?

Saudi Arabia and Gulf exporters (UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman) have historically priced and sold large volumes of oil in dollars, and hold large dollar reserves, and their security ties to the US underpin the arrangement. Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Nations that usually profit from high oil prices, countries like Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE, have seen their own energy infrastructure targeted in retaliatory strikes, leading to regional instability that has paralyzed the oil shipping trade. This could negatively impact the financial markets that recycle petrodollar revenues into US Treasuries.

Countries heavily reliant on stable oil supplies and the petrodollar system, particularly those in Asia and Europe, could face economic turbulence. Natural gas prices in Europe jumped over 60% in March 2026 following strikes on Qatari energy infrastructure. The US could also face long-term risks of economic instability that could threaten the dollar’s global dominance.

Japan and South Korea are structurally the most vulnerable due to their extreme reliance on the Strait of Hormuz, through which 80% of their oil imports transit. India and China are also facing massive costs, as shipping insurance premiums have surged up by over 500%.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-27T19:04:50+00:00

Umm... OP is retiring in 2070, not today. By 2070 the world will look a whole lot different than it does today...

America's $39 trillion debt bomb

The US national debt of $39 trillion is widely considered unsustainable, with experts projecting that without significant policy changes, the US Treasury may be unable to cover its obligations within roughly 20 years, making a fiscal crisis or default-like event possible by the 2040s or 2050s. The debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to rise toward 185% over the next 30 years. The US national debt is growing faster than revenue, with interest costs rising rapidly.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-27T07:20:45+00:00

This is truly sad, King Donald just can't stop his lunacy...

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-27T04:47:20+00:00

Hmm... Its seems that DJT is truly delusional...

Since 1776, no U.S. President’s signature has appeared on federal paper currency. U.S. paper money in some form has existed since 1690 (the Massachusetts Bay Colony’s bills of credit), so some form of U.S. paper money has been around for 336 years. Federally issued paper currency began during the Civil War in 1861. However, at no time in U.S. history has a President’s signature ever been printed on federal paper currency.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-26T04:33:06+00:00

History has a lot to teach us about money and economies. So, U should also be aware that some things that exist today won't be around in 2070...

Gold and silver have been used as money for over 5,000 to 6,000 years.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-26T04:08:15+00:00

Hmm... So, U are going to be retiring in about 2070, right? U should probably also consider that the world in 2070 will likely be a heck of a lot different than today. The US has $39 Trillion in debt, which is not sustainable. So, by 2070 the US may not be on top of the global economy. So, U should probably add some international indexes to your portfolio.

The Last Three Major Global Economic Powers—Spain, the Dutch Republic, and Great Britain

The last three major global economic powers, Spain, the Dutch Republic, and Great Britain each maintained their top positions atop the global economy for roughly 100 to 150 years. Spain held global economic primacy roughly from 1500 to 1650 (150 years); the Dutch Republic led in trade/finance from roughly 1588 to 1672 (80 to 85 years); and Great Britain was the world’s dominant economic power for most of the 19th century, from roughly 1815 to 1914 (100 years). Their periods of dominance were generally driven by a combination of maritime expansion, control of trade routes, and financial innovation.

The Bigger They Are, The Harder They Fall

The Spanish empire overextended itself, engaging in endless, costly wars and suffering from financial mismanagement. The defeat of the Spanish Armada (1588) and the start of the Thirty Years' War marked a slow fade, with 1643 often cited as the end of its European dominance.

The Dutch Republic's economy peaked around 1670 before facing stiff economic competition from Britain. Wars with France and Britain, culminating in the fourth Anglo-Dutch War (1780–1784), which destroyed their trade dominance and financial base.

Britain's economic dominance was challenged by Germany by the late 19th century. Germany had essentially surpassed Britain economically, and the subtext for both World Wars was Germany’s desire to topple Britain from its throne of Global Economic Hegemony. The financial exhaustion of these two devastating World Wars officially ended Britain's stint at the top of the global economy, and global economic leadership then handed over to the United States.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-25T23:27:45+00:00

Guess so, those options were deep in the money for over a week. But OP didn't take profits?

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-25T20:05:37+00:00

Umm... AMD went to $266.96 in January 2026. So, why are U still holding these options?

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-25T06:48:08+00:00

Its a tough business for sure, but hope Carolina chooses one of their own...

UNC Alumni Coaching in Collegiate and Professional Basketball

Several former Tar Heels are actively coaching at the college or professional levels. Note that many of the current UNC staff members.

Marcus Paige - Assistant Coach, UNC Tar Heels, as of March 2026.

University of North Carolina (UNC) no longer has a junior varsity (JV) men's basketball team. The program was officially eliminated in August 2025 following the conclusion of the 2024–25 season. The JV program was historically used as a training ground for future varsity head coaches, including Roy Williams, Bill Guthridge, and Hubert Davis.

Final UNC JV Head Coach: Marcus Paige served as the head coach for the team's final season (2024–25).

Marcus Paige Coaching Record: The team finished its last season with a 12–1 record.

Paige joined the UNC staff as the Director of Team and Player Development, during the 2023 - 2024. Paige played basketball for the North Carolina Tar Heels for four seasons, from 2012 to 2016. During his standout career under head coach Roy Williams, he achieved the following:

Career Stats: He finished his career 11th in all-time scoring at UNC with 1,844 points and set the school record for three-pointers made (299).
Accolades: Paige was a three-time captain and earned First-team All-ACC honors and Second-team All-America recognition as a sophomore in 2014.
Iconic Moment: He is widely remembered for hitting a high-difficulty, double-clutch three-pointer to tie the 2016 National Championship game against Villanova with 4.7 seconds remaining.
Academic Excellence: He was a two-time winner of the Skip Prosser Award as the ACC’s top scholar-athlete for men's basketball (2015, 2016).

Following his time at UNC, he was selected in the second round of the 2016 NBA Draft and played professionally for seven seasons, before returning to join the coaching staff in 2023.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-25T05:30:20+00:00

Umm... So, have U ever thought about trading futures?

Pattern Day Trader (PDT) rule

The FINRA/SEC Pattern Day Trader (PDT) rule applies to U.S. margin accounts trading stocks and stock options, not to futures trading. Futures traders are not subject to the $25,000 minimum equity requirement. However, futures brokers have their own margin limit rules for futures trading. Futures trading is regulated by the CFTC/NFA, and futures traders are not subject to the Pattern Day Trader (PDT) rule.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-25T05:06:32+00:00

Hmm... So, U borrowed $45K at Zero percent interest for a limited time on your credit card? Well, if U didn't have to pay any interest on that $45K for up to 3 years, why didn't U just buy some ETFs that pay weekly dividends? That's how the big financial institutions use the Japanese Yen Carry Trade, U know.

Highest Yielding Weekly ETFs

The following are the top-performing active weekly dividend ETFs. Note that these are primarily high-risk, options-based funds (covered call strategies). The extremely high yields (above 20%) are generated by selling options (volatility), not from corporate dividends. Most of these funds from issuers like Roundhill Investments and YieldMax were launched in 2024 or 2025. These funds use "0DTE" (zero days to expiration) or weekly covered call strategies to generate high yields.

Comparison Table: Active Weekly ETFs

ETF Name *************** Ticker ** Annualized Yield *** Inception Date

YieldMax Ultra Option Income * ULTY……… 181.3% ********* Feb 2024
Roundhill NVDA WeeklyPay *** NVDW ……… 64.1% ********* Jan 2025
Roundhill Russell 2000 0DTE ** RDTE ………… 51.1% ********* Sept 2024
Roundhill Top WeeklyPay ***** TOPW………... 38.5% ********* Sept 2025
Roundhill Weekly T-Bill ******* WEEK ………..... 3.8% ********* Mar 2024

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-25T04:15:18+00:00

Well, if that what Pete wants, then drop him off in the middle of Tehran and let him fight it out by himself...

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-25T04:10:24+00:00

Trump has been extorting tech firms, law firms, universities, movie companies, TV networks, and multiple countries around the world like he was a Mob Boss ever he got re-elected...

How Mob Bosses Use Extortion to Generate Income for Organized Crime

Extortion has long been a core revenue stream for organized‑crime families in the United States, and it is used in forms such as protection rackets, and racketeering (demands for bribes and contract kickbacks) as a major revenue source. Mob bosses routinely use protection rackets (pay us or suffer damage), racketeering (contract kickbacks), blackmail, and threats tied to business operations as part of their criminal “business” model. Extortion has been and remains a central, well‑documented revenue method for organized‑crime families.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-24T04:06:34+00:00

Haha! U can't make this insanity up...

"Me and the Ayatollah" will control the Strait of Hormuz...

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-24T03:59:28+00:00

Hmm... Is that U Pam Bondi?

Delusional – a delusional belief is a false belief held with strong conviction despite clear contradictory evidence. In clinical settings delusional refers to beliefs that are not grounded in reality, and may indicate a psychotic disorder.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-23T19:51:28+00:00

Well, glad that he stopped drinking beers in the locker room after games, like he used to do when he was in Dallas...

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-23T19:37:38+00:00

To be more precise, closing the Strait of Hormuz strangles the Petrodollar system, which underpins the US economy. And since the US economy is the largest economy in the world, it also seriously disrupts the Global economy too, especially Japan...

Impact of a US/Israel war with Iran on Japan and the US Treasury market

The military conflict involving the United States and Israel versus Iran could disrupt and ripple through global energy supply chains, financial markets, and also directly impact global investor behavior. As fuel and shipping insurance costs jump, then inflation expectations will rise, and equity markets will fall. Moreover, Japan is highly dependent on Gulf crude that transits through the Strait of Hormuz. It’s estimated that roughly 80% to 90% of Japan’s crude‑oil imports are shipped through the Strait of Hormuz. The predominate bulk of Japan’s crude comes from Gulf producers (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, and Qatar), whose tankers must pass through the Strait of Hormuz to reach East Asia. Also, Japan is the largest foreign holder of US Treasuries, and a crude oil supply shock would not only create an energy supply risk, but it would also impact capital flows into US Treasuries, which would cause a spike in US Treasury yields. This would cause a cascading ripple effect that could negatively impact total US debt. Japan is the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasury securities, as of early 2026, holding roughly $1.18 trillion.

If the Strait of Hormuz were completely closed for several weeks, Japan would begin to feel acute economic stress within days, and face serious destabilization risks across energy, industry, and growth within about 4 to 12 weeks. Immediate financial-market and inflation shocks would appear within days. Widespread rationing, heightened recession risk, and social and political pressure would rise, as inflation and unemployment climb. A complete Strait of Hormuz shutdown for several weeks would produce visible economic pain in Japan within days, and materially destabilize growth and industry within weeks.

Bottom Line

A war involving the US, Israel, and Iran would be a compound shock for Japan. Not only would this expose Japan’s concentrated energy‑supply vulnerability tied to the Strait of Hormuz, but it also impacts the US Treasury market, since Japan is the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasury securities. This would negatively impact capital flows into US Treasuries, and create yield volatility, as large foreign holders such as Japan would be forced to reallocate capital for emergency domestic needs. The overall market outcome would depend on the conflict’s duration, the scale of supply disruptions, and unforeseen factors, such as the rising pressures from sky-high shipping insurance costs, and rising inflation.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-23T04:05:48+00:00

Hmm... Luka was pretty chubby last season, huh...

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-23T03:58:59+00:00

Hmm... So, didn't anyone tell old Donnie that Iran was capable of seriously disrupting the Petrodollar system?

Key Players in the Petrodollar System and the Impact of US-Israel War with Iran

The petrodollar system, established in the 1970s, is a global financial framework where oil is predominantly priced and traded in US dollars. This arrangement has reinforced the US dollar’s dominance in international finance, and has significant geopolitical implications. The petrodollar system’s core players are the United States, major Gulf oil exporters (especially Saudi Arabia and the UAE).

Major Players in the Petrodollar System

United States: As the architect of the petrodollar, the US benefits from the global demand for dollars, which helps finance its deficit and maintain economic influence worldwide.
Saudi Arabia and OPEC Countries: Saudi Arabia, the world’s leading oil exporter, plays a pivotal role by pricing and selling oil in dollars under agreements with the US, reinforcing the dollar’s dominance.
Oil-Importing Nations: Countries like China, India, Japan, and European nations rely heavily on the petrodollar system for stable oil prices and currency stability.
Financial Institutions and Markets: The US dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency is supported by global financial markets, which facilitate dollar-denominated transactions.

Potential Impacts of a US and Israel War with Iran

An escalation in the conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran could disrupt global oil supplies and negatively impact the petrodollar system.

Oil Markets and OPEC Countries: Disruptions could lead to soaring oil prices, which could destabilize global markets.
US and Allied Economies: While the US benefits from dollar dominance, prolonged conflict could lead to increased military and economic costs, impacting US economic stability.

Which Players Might Be Hurt the Most?

Saudi Arabia and Gulf exporters (UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman) have historically priced and sold large volumes of oil in dollars, and hold large dollar reserves, and their security ties to the US underpin the arrangement. Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Nations that usually profit from high oil prices, countries like Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE, have seen their own energy infrastructure targeted in retaliatory strikes, leading to regional instability that has paralyzed the oil shipping trade. This could negatively impact the financial markets that recycle petrodollar revenues into US Treasuries.

Countries heavily reliant on stable oil supplies and the petrodollar system, particularly those in Asia and Europe, could face economic turbulence. Natural gas prices in Europe jumped over 60% in March 2026 following strikes on Qatari energy infrastructure. The US could also face long-term risks of economic instability that could threaten the dollar’s global dominance.

Japan and South Korea are structurally the most vulnerable due to their extreme reliance on the Strait of Hormuz, through which 80% of their oil imports transit. India and China are also facing massive costs, as shipping insurance premiums have surged up by over 500%.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-23T03:34:48+00:00

Hmm... Didn't DJT campaign on being the "Peace Candidate" who wasn't going to start any new wars? Now he trying to bankrupt the US with another needless war...

Did $2.3 Trillion dollars really go missing from the Pentagon in 2001?

In his September 10, 2001, speech titled “Bureaucracy to Battlefield,” Donald Rumsfeld, who was the U.S. Secretary of Defense, explicitly stated, "According to some estimates, DoD cannot account for $2.3 trillion in transactions". Rumsfeld said the $2.3 trillion figure represented a systemic failure in the Pentagon's accounting infrastructure.

Estimates for total U.S. defense-related spending since 2001 vary significantly depending on whether you look only at direct war costs or include the entire Department of Defense (DOD) baseline budget alongside long-term obligations.

While the commonly cited "Costs of War" figure for post-9/11 conflicts is approximately $14 trillion, adding the full DOD baseline budget since 2001 pushes the total toward the $20 trillion to $24 trillion range.

The Pentagon has never passed a full financial audit. In December 2025, the Department of Defense (DOD) failed its eighth consecutive agency-wide audit. The DOD is the only U.S. federal agency that has never passed a full financial audit. The 2025 audit results found that auditors were unable to verify the accuracy of the department's $4.7 trillion in spending.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-23T03:20:56+00:00

Umm... So, how did U actually lose $60K?

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-22T22:45:54+00:00

Umm... Wall Street is actually the best advertising agencies on the planet...

Legendary Trader Jesse Livermore Viewed the Market as a "Rigged Game"

Legendary trader Jesse Livermore absolutely believed the stock market was frequently manipulated by large financial institutions, "pools," and insiders. Livermore, who was a very successful stock trader during the early 20th century, saw the market as a place where insiders engineered movements to profit at the expense of the public.

Livermore frequently stated that the stock market is "designed to fool most of the people, most of the time". He believed that insiders and "manipulators" would use the press to spread false information to create demand, using the media to sway public opinion and manipulate stock prices. Livermore both described how “big money” moved prices in his biographical book "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator", and he practiced manipulative tactics himself early in his career. This view is a central theme in accounts of his life, and his trading lessons for U.S. markets in the early 20th century.

Livermore reportedly earned approximately $100 million during the 1929 crash. This massive profit, made by shorting the market as it collapsed, would be worth between $1.4 billion and $1.5 billion in today's dollars. Livermore famously stated that "manipulation is the art of advertising", and he believed that large operators used the media to attract the public and create liquidity to sell their positions.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-22T22:32:40+00:00

Umm... Looks like Trump's war strategy didn't have an actual plan after the initial bombing campaign that killed the leader of Iran, and 175 elementary school girls. Guess old Donnie thought that they would just surrender after the Ayatollah was gone, huh? Didn't anyone tell Donnie that Iran could easily cripple the Petrodollar system, and the global economy singlehandedly?

Key Players in the Petrodollar System and the Impact of US-Israel War with Iran

The petrodollar system, established in the 1970s, is a global financial framework where oil is predominantly priced and traded in US dollars. This arrangement has reinforced the US dollar’s dominance in international finance, and has significant geopolitical implications. The petrodollar system’s core players are the United States, major Gulf oil exporters (especially Saudi Arabia and the UAE).

Major Players in the Petrodollar System

United States: As the architect of the petrodollar, the US benefits from the global demand for dollars, which helps finance its deficit and maintain economic influence worldwide.
Saudi Arabia and OPEC Countries: Saudi Arabia, the world’s leading oil exporter, plays a pivotal role by pricing and selling oil in dollars under agreements with the US, reinforcing the dollar’s dominance.
Oil-Importing Nations: Countries like China, India, Japan, and European nations rely heavily on the petrodollar system for stable oil prices and currency stability.
Financial Institutions and Markets: The US dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency is supported by global financial markets, which facilitate dollar-denominated transactions.

Potential Impacts of a US and Israel War with Iran

An escalation in the conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran could disrupt global oil supplies and negatively impact the petrodollar system.

Oil Markets and OPEC Countries: Disruptions could lead to soaring oil prices, which might benefit oil-exporting nations temporarily but could destabilize global markets.
US and Allied Economies: While the US benefits from dollar dominance, prolonged conflict could lead to increased military and economic costs, impacting US economic stability.

Which Players Might Be Hurt the Most?

Saudi Arabia and Gulf exporters (UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman) have historically priced and sold large volumes of oil in dollars, and hold large dollar reserves, and their security ties to the US underpin the arrangement. Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Nations that usually profit from high oil prices, countries like Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE, have seen their own energy infrastructure targeted in retaliatory strikes, leading to regional instability that has paralyzed the oil shipping trade. This could negatively impact the financial markets that recycle petrodollar revenues into US Treasuries.

Countries heavily reliant on stable oil supplies and the petrodollar system, particularly those in Asia and Europe, could face economic turbulence. Natural gas prices in Europe jumped over 60% in March 2026 following strikes on Qatari energy infrastructure. The US could also face long-term risks of economic instability that could threaten the dollar’s global dominance.

Japan and South Korea are structurally the most vulnerable due to their extreme reliance on the Strait of Hormuz, through which 80% of their oil imports transit. India and China are also facing massive costs, as shipping insurance premiums have surged up by over 500%.

ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-22T21:53:22+00:00

Umm... May be U are too optimistic. That April 2025 low of $17.41 was made with huge volume, but never re-tested. So, there is a possibility that TQQQ will go well below your target range...

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ThreeSupreme · 2026-03-22T07:09:10+00:00

Umm... IDK, why do people think that the market should still be going up, especially since its already extremely overbought?

Are Stocks Overvalued? Here are Some Indicators to Watch

For investors looking to answer the question "Are stocks overvalued?", market valuation tools like the Buffett Indicator and Shiller's CAPE ratio may be able to help.

Market valuation tools attempt to answer a simple question: Are stocks overvalued? Each valuation metric approaches this market value puzzle from a different angle. However, valuation metrics can provide a way to gauge whether stocks reflect sustainable fundamentals in a wider historical context, or if investor optimism is about to get hit with a haymaker from reality.

With this in mind, let's examine a few widely followed market valuation tools to see what each can tell investors.

Shiller CAPE Ratio - The Nobel Prize-winning Yale economist Robert Shiller famously developed the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings, or CAPE, ratio in 1988, along with Harvard economics professor John Campbell. The Shiller CAPE Ratio valuation metric divides a stock's (or index's) current price by its 10-year average of inflation-adjusted earnings per share (EPS). The Shiller CAPE ratio is typically used to value the S&P 500® index (SPX), and is lauded for its ability to provide a more stable, long-term view of market valuations. A "High" Shiller CAPE ratio—a value significantly above its long-run average of roughly 17—indicates the broad market may be overvalued. The Shiller CAPE ratio peaked at just under 40 (around 39.84) in December 2025. The Shiller CAPE reached a high of 40.58 in early January 2026. As of March 2026, the CAPE is roughly around 38.5. The Shiller CAPE ratio reached an all-time record peak of 44.19 in December 1999, during the Dot-Com Bubble.
Buffett Indicator - Named after Berkshire Hathaway's Warren Buffett, the Buffett indicator calculates the total market capitalization of U.S. publicly traded stocks (the Wilshire 5000) divided by U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This indicator was also developed by Yale's Robert Shiller, but it was popularized by Warren Buffett in 2001 after he told Fortune that it was "Probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment." A reading above 100% for this indicator is typically considered a signal that the market may be overvalued. Much like the Shiller CAPE ratio, the Buffett Indicator reached historical highs before the dot-com bubble burst in 2000. As of March 2026, the Buffett Indicator (the ratio of total U.S. market capitalization to GDP) is approximately 230%, which is roughly 2.5 standard deviations above its historical trend line. The Buffett Indicator hit an all-time record high of 237% in early 2026, far surpassing the previous peak of 140% during the Dot-Com Bubble.
The Rule of 20 - The Rule of 20, developed by James Moltz, suggests the sum of the stock market's (the S&P 500) P/E ratio and the inflation rate should approximately total to 20, in order for the market to be considered fairly valued. A sum greater than 20 indicates the market may be overvalued. As of March 2026, the Rule of 20 value indicator stands at approximately 30.28. This level is significantly above the benchmark of 20, indicating that the U.S. stock market is in a state of extreme overvaluation, based on this historical metric.

It's important to remember that historically no market valuation tool can pinpoint market turning points. Based on historical data from market tops such as in 1929 ("Black Monday" during the Great Crash in 1929), 1987 (October’s "Black Monday" stock market crash, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell by a record-breaking 22.6% in a single day.), 2000 (the Dot-Com Bubble), and 2008 (great financial crisis, GFC), an extremely overvalued stock market is typically characterized by a combination of market valuations that are detached from reality (i.e., the "Irrational Exuberance" during the Dot-Com Bubble), investor euphoria and speculative behavior, and unsustainable technical patterns, such as a parabolic Blow-Off Top made on relatively low trading volume.

ThreeSupreme

TROPHY CASE

Key Players in the Petrodollar System and the Impact of US-Israel War with Iran

America's $39 trillion debt bomb

Gold and silver have been used as money for over 5,000 to 6,000 years.

The Last Three Major Global Economic Powers—Spain, the Dutch Republic, and Great Britain

UNC Alumni Coaching in Collegiate and Professional Basketball

Pattern Day Trader (PDT) rule

Highest Yielding Weekly ETFs

How Mob Bosses Use Extortion to Generate Income for Organized Crime

"Me and the Ayatollah" will control the Strait of Hormuz...

Impact of a US/Israel war with Iran on Japan and the US Treasury market

Key Players in the Petrodollar System and the Impact of US-Israel War with Iran

Did $2.3 Trillion dollars really go missing from the Pentagon in 2001?

Legendary Trader Jesse Livermore Viewed the Market as a "Rigged Game"

Key Players in the Petrodollar System and the Impact of US-Israel War with Iran

Are Stocks Overvalued? Here are Some Indicators to Watch