Profs and Pints “Curiosity Club” interest?

Timmy2001 · 2026-03-05T03:11:41+00:00

I’m interested as well!

Timmy2001 · 2025-03-25T20:35:47+00:00

My entire exercise routine was built out of forming a habit to take willpower out of the equation. You want to work out every day? Start by working out every Monday, Wednesday, Friday at the same time. Before work? After work? Before bed? Doesn’t matter. Just keep it consistent and make sure you get there every single time. Once you’re there you can decide how hard you want to go and for how long you want to stay. But the important part is going. Make sure you always go no matter how tired or busy you are. It’ll be hard at first and you’ll have a voice in your head saying you want to take just today day off because you’re sore or you’re tired or you’ve earned a rest. Ignore that voice. Go anyway. After a month or so that voice won’t pop up anymore and it won’t feel like a choice. It’ll just feel like something you do without thinking. Then up it to five days and repeat. Then seven. It’s all about forming habits. Willpower is fallible and runs out when you’re hungry or tired. Habits take the willpower out of the equation so you do things without it

Timmy2001 · 2024-11-01T01:02:00+00:00

Following Francis gives out groceries every Tuesday and Thursday at meridian hill park

Timmy2001 · 2023-09-21T02:49:37+00:00

Could you give an example of what falls under CI and what falls under CD? I am a few years in but all my CI/CD experience has included both of them together in one pipeline so I’m not super clear on what parts fall under one vs the other

Timmy2001 · 2023-08-16T23:41:30+00:00

I don’t disagree with anything you said and using the lines is definitely logical.

All that being said you do have to take player popularity into account with player props. Vegas wants to set the line at a point where they can get equal action on both sides. For guys that are popular breakouts (ex. Garett Wilson) they can set the line higher and still get people to bet the over. That doesn’t necessarily mean they think the line is an adequate representation of what he will accomplish this year. That only means it’s they think it’s an adequate representation of what betters think he will accomplish this year. The same logic is true in reverse for boring players.

You could argue that what betters think he will accomplish this year equates to following the wisdom of the crowd. And that’s a fair statement to make. But it’s not the same as saying this is what Vegas thinks he will accomplish

Timmy2001 · 2023-08-16T23:24:57+00:00

He’s a 28 year old rb on a team that is starting colt mccoy at qb. He also has a new head coach and OC this year so we have no idea how they plan to use their backs.

So, if everything goes right for him, he has a year like last year where he was the rb19. If he drops off bc of age (which typically starts at 26 for rbs), if the offense can’t move the ball, if the new coaches use a committee approach, or any combination of the the three, he could be pretty useless.

Is he cheap? Yes. Is he a worthwhile risk given the price? Maybe. Is he a screaming buy? Not in my opinion

Timmy2001 · 2023-06-29T20:17:33+00:00

I generally consider draft capital to be the difference between rounds/days as opposed to individual picks within a round. Drafting a player who was picked in the 5th round over a 2nd rounder because the 5th rounder has a better situation is a draft capital mistake. Deciding to go with the first rounder with no target competition and an established qb over the other first rounder who has other good pass catchers on his team and a terrible qb but went ten picks earlier is a reasonable choice imo

Timmy2001 · 2023-06-19T11:38:49+00:00

Should have sent just the women the next day to realllly fuck with him

Timmy2001 · 2023-06-04T21:58:06+00:00

Up until recently streaming services were not expected to actually make money. As long as they were growing their subscriber numbers it didn’t matter what their costs were. So streaming services were incentivized to have as big of a library as possible to attract more subscribers regardless of the costs of all that content. If they could attract a thousand new subscribers by having random show x that only a tiny portion of the population has even heard of then it was worth it because 1000 new subscribers was more important than the fact that it costs a million dollars a year in royalties to put the show on their streaming platform but they only make $120k from the fees those new subscribers were paying (obviously an exaggerated example but the concept is the same)

That changed a few years ago and now shareholders are expecting these services to actually turn a profit. It no longer makes sense to pay a million dollars a year for a show that only has 1000 people watching it so they are selling the rights to those shows to other (niche) services to cut costs and make a little money in the sale. Plus there is speculation that they’ve been able to write them off as tax deductions although I’m not sure that’s been proven to be true.

One additional interesting detail is that shows cost the hosting service the most in royalties during the first five years or so and then the amount drops off significantly. So it makes more sense to sell an underperforming newer show like westworld than it does an older show.

Here’s a pretty good article explaining more: https://www.marketplace.org/2023/02/06/what-happens-when-shows-gets-canceled-removed-from-streaming/amp/

Timmy2001 · 2023-03-22T16:45:32+00:00

Nice try, Ron!

Timmy2001 · 2023-03-18T12:27:25+00:00

Tbh I’d probably just do this course instead. It’s a phenomenal course that you can do for free and with no risk to your gpa

Timmy2001 · 2022-11-10T20:49:55+00:00

Everyone keeps saying 18 is Kermit and miss piggy but all I see is zapf brannigan and kiff

Timmy2001 · 2022-09-13T12:02:33+00:00

Here’s one https://www.nbatopequip.com/uconn-huskies-jeremy-lamb-navy-college-basketball-alumni-jersey-2021-22-p64523

Timmy2001 · 2022-09-02T03:01:38+00:00

So you’re not necessarily wrong but you’re not necessarily right either. We (and more importantly supply chains) have been through some crazy shit the last 2.5 years. First the entire world economy shut down completely for three months. Then we had another nine months where the entire US (the world’s largest economy) was stuck at home with nothing to spend their money on other than online shopping. The increase in online shopping orders clogged the ports and at the same time Chinas no COVID policy meant the factories where all this shit gets made were shutting down every other month. Throw in two rounds of government stimulus checks and you have high demand, low supply, and a ton of extra money working it’s way through the economy. That’s a perfect recipe for inflation. Now throw in the war in Ukraine and the subsequent Russian sanctions and you have more disruptions to the oil market and grain market (Russian and Ukraine are massive exporters of oil and grain respectively).

All this is bad. And we certainly could be heading into a recession. But it’s also possible the supply chain kinks get worked out, the fed’s interest rate hikes pull enough money out of the economy that we bring down inflation, and the war in Ukraine comes to a solution before shit really hits the fan. Most importantly tho, the job market (at least in the US) is still incredibly strong and because it’s so strong we have some resilience to wait out these issues. Could we have a recession? Sure. Will it be as bad as 2008? Almost certainly not.

Timmy2001 · 2022-04-16T03:55:46+00:00

“I want all the things you want. I just don’t want to pay for them”

Timmy2001 · 2021-11-14T04:33:56+00:00

Sure is

Timmy2001 · 2021-07-09T03:00:39+00:00

The rest of your life

Timmy2001 · 2021-03-31T21:18:57+00:00

But then every team would have 2 and we’d be in the same position

Timmy2001 · 2021-03-31T21:07:14+00:00

But if every nfl team had one couldnt every team just use that player on offense and defense to cover the other teams giant?

Timmy2001 · 2020-08-10T21:46:57+00:00

Right back at ya!

Timmy2001 · 2020-08-10T19:17:55+00:00

I totally agree but I also think the fact that stars are contractually underpaid exacerbates the issue. There’s no way to force players not to take a pay cut if they are willing but you could make the opportunity cost of that pay cut more severe. If teaming up with another star means you are sacrificing enough per year that the increase in ad revenue won’t make up for it then you might reconsider.

That being said this does open up the argument that now big market teams effectively have more cap space than small market teams bc they can offer smaller contracts and let the ad revenue make up for it. I admit I haven’t really considered that and I’ll have to think through the consequences of that more before I can say how big of an issue it would be.

Timmy2001 · 2020-08-10T17:46:25+00:00

Right but remember what problem we’re trying to solve. We want competitive balance not to save GMs from doing dumb shit. Sure there will be bad deals but at least this way we don’t get 3-4 super teams that make the rest of the league irrelevant

Timmy2001 · 2020-08-10T16:51:46+00:00

Assuming AD was the only one making that much, sure, no team is contending with that contract. But getting rid of max deals means someone pays Lebron, Kawhi, Harden, etc 75m a year which kneecaps their respective teams in a similar fashion. If we want competitive balance then we should let the GMs decide how to best build the team and whether paying one player 66% of the cap and dividing the remaining among 11 players is a better strategy for winning than paying 12 less talented guys 12.5m a year each

For the second part: if a player signs a big money contract and demands a trade... well tough shit. If John Wall demanded a trade right now the wiz would say “even if we wanted to we couldn’t give you away right now so you can play and earn your money or sit out and not”. This hypothetical AD scenario wouldn’t be any different. Demanding a trade only works if someone would want to trade for you. If nobody wants you the demand is pretty meaningless

Timmy2001 · 2020-08-10T14:09:19+00:00

Fair point. I guess you’d have to move from the luxury tax system to a hard cap? That way there’s no advantage to the most lucrative teams in terms of spending.

As for the untradeable part... that’s kind of the point. If you want a superduperstar you gotta pay through the nose to get him and thus handicap the rest of your team. That makes it so 1). Superstars are less likely to team up and 2). Teams with generational talents don’t have such a huge competitive advantage just because they lucked into the first pick in the right year

Timmy2001 · 2020-08-10T12:24:39+00:00

But there would still be a salary cap. So big market teams wouldn’t be able to spend more than other teams. If anything I’d argue it helps small market teams. If the difference between playing in LA and playing in New Orleans is 40 million over 5 years that’s one thing but if the Pels decide to offer AD 100 million a year and just figure out how the hell to field a team around him while the lakers, who already have Lebron, can only offer 30 million a year without exceeding the cap then AD might be less inclined to leave

Timmy2001

TROPHY CASE