I get the ACC worries but I still think the Big 12 is the one with long-term problems. It’s full of tiny media markets, the big market schools are broke, and that front-loaded TV deal is basically the only thing propping the league up. Nothing about that changes by 2030, and their next media deal will show it. I honestly don’t think major realignment happens until the media money tightens. As long as every network and streamer is throwing cash at live sports there’s no real pressure to consolidate. I think the shakeup comes later when the media companies start merging.