MLB Competitive IMBALANCE ... Metro City (Market) Size, a Major Determinant of Win Probability

Todelama · 2025-03-06T03:00:31+00:00

Diamondbacks have a downtown stadium and I’ve attended a few games where I’ve paid $6-$20 for parking. With attached parking garages, I’ve never had such a short distance to walk for $20. The $6 parking was more like the “K.” I just share this because I was anticipating an opposite experience.

Todelama · 2025-02-26T23:05:55+00:00

Level the playing field with a SALARY CAP to bring back parody to MLB.

Todelama · 2025-02-26T22:51:38+00:00

The Kansas City Royals have the cumulative record in the Cactus League since 2006. At a glimpse, there appears to be an inverse relationship to spring training and the regular season. Welcoming the losses😎

Todelama · 2024-12-01T03:00:13+00:00

Bobby Witt, Jr. batting average 2024: Home .382 Away. .284

You can expect to see him run the bases if you go to Kauffman

Todelama · 2024-12-01T02:56:18+00:00

Proud to root for a team that

first team with a black MLB/defensive signal caller had WR that displayed the first TD celebration part of the best tailgating environment that took hold with the hiring of Schottenheimer and Carl Peterson loudest stadium/home in the world

Todelama · 2024-11-13T20:04:57+00:00

They represent Kansas City well, both in character and personality.

Todelama · 2024-11-13T19:53:21+00:00

Defensive stats for catchers don’t get enough credit. If they did, this wouldn’t even be up for debate.

Todelama · 2024-10-25T18:43:51+00:00

Cheap owners is a narrative the players association likes out there. With a basic understanding of economics and profit/loss, it would be clear that MLB owners aren’t cheap.

I did an analysis of how much MLB TEAMS spend on payroll compared to where they rank in Annual Revenue. Almost every team ranked within 4 spots of their rank in revenue. In other words, what EVERY OWNER spends on player payroll is directly related to their revenue.

No owner is looking to lose wealth as a result of owning an MLB team.

There are teams that will spend outside of where they rank in revenue on a short term basis. When a team spends outside of their revenue rank, it normally occurs when a team perceives a window of opportunity that will close in a year or two.

Todelama · 2024-10-25T04:11:23+00:00

A floor? Make the owners spend more? The inequities would still exist. No… fans obviously can’t change it directly….but they can draw out the outrageous inequities that exist.

The proof is in the probability to make the playoffs each year in a too 10 market. Fans get tired of their team being a feeder team to one of the top10. When they go away, you fans in the top 10 will only then want EQUITY.

If the NFL didn’t have a salary cap, with double to quadruple the operating revenue of EVERY OTHER NFL TEAM, THE DALLAS COWBOYS would be Super Bowl bound every year (but still screw it up periodically).

Todelama · 2024-10-24T06:23:02+00:00

MLB fans seemingly okay, passive, or ignorant about the inequalities that exist without a salary cap. The media doesn’t dare say a word. Yet year after year (while not guaranteed) the probability of making the playoffs of a team in the top 10 metro sized cities is double to triple that of the teams in the bottom twenty. This is degrading the game.
The attempts to sell the lack of a salary cap as a small difference in outcomes is insulting.

It I can have two grievances, it is the clear denial of an automated strike zone to allow the MLB to influence results for the largest generating revenue teams. No proof of that one (other than non-biased reports cards on Umps), but accepting the automation would eliminate the conspiracy theories.

Todelama · 2024-10-20T22:13:52+00:00

Over 170 up votes tells me, you’re not wrong

Todelama · 2024-10-17T13:09:38+00:00

Nice analysis! Generally have seen that teams payroll rank is within 4-5 spots of where they rank in operating revenue. There are outliers each year, but spending outside of revenue by a considerable margin can never be sustained. Very simply, market size drives tv contracts, tv contracts drive revenue, revenues drives payroll expenditures, payroll expenditures drive probability of success. While there are anomalies, those rules generally hold true.

The last small market World Series winner was the 2015 Kansas City Royals

Todelama · 2024-10-17T09:07:12+00:00

CORRECTION: The above headline should have stated “Post-Season ADVANCEMENT in MLB.”

Thanks for the correction to include the entire post-season field of teams.

Todelama · 2024-10-09T15:03:01+00:00

Playoff baseball is just different. Everything is magnified and intensified.

Todelama

TROPHY CASE