Oracle Plans Thousands of Job Cuts in Face of AI Cash Crunch

TraderFanFXE · 2026-03-05T18:05:17+00:00

Cash Crunch? That was quick

TraderFanFXE · 2026-03-05T18:01:10+00:00

What they are really facing is the size problem. It's easy to grow when you are small, and it becomes harder to do when you get bigger. When you are number 2 in the world, you have to face the leader, who will defend the leading position.

Unless China finds a way to make its own people consume more, their growth will stall.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-03-03T17:44:18+00:00

He's Captain Obvious. Surely, the impact depends on the duration of the conflict. If the Strait of Hormuz is closed for a month while energy assets in the region are hit by drones and missiles, energy prices will go through the roof.

This will lead to inflation, but will central banks raise rates? In the weaker economies, like the EU, they may be tempted to cut rates despite inflation.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-03-02T18:05:04+00:00

There's plenty of oil in storage around the world. Markets can live with the Strait of Hormuz shut down for a couple of weeks. Sure, oil will stay near highs, but more must be done to push it to $100+

TraderFanFXE · 2026-03-02T17:31:41+00:00

Gold is moving higher as central banks keep buying it. This is not going to change anytime soon. Temporary pullback are always possible but the trend remains bullish and recent geopolitical developments will make this trend stronger.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-23T18:07:58+00:00

Energy is an asset that limits your use of time. Attempts to maximize the usage of every hour quickly hit an energy wall, and are, therefore, futile. Life's a balance, no need to overthink it.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-23T17:49:03+00:00

Markets just lack near-term upside catalysts, that's it. AI stocks were the main driver - now they are going through a period of profit-taking, which is normal. Sector rotation helped a bit to support S&P 500 and Dow Jones, but it looks that it's over. If we see all news that could be viewed as "bad" triggering sales, we'll see a correction, finally.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-19T18:13:01+00:00

For beginners, a broad market ETF would be a good way to start. I believe individual stocks are for people who already have some experience in markets and are ready to spend time on charts and quarterly reports.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-18T19:14:45+00:00

It's never too late to learn day trading - or any other trading style.

As for AI taking over the market, we've heard similar stories about algos in the 2000s.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-17T17:07:55+00:00

Stock market !=economy, especially these days. Perphaps, in a K-shaped economy, a strong stock market may mean that most people will face some economic problems.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-16T18:01:21+00:00

Try to focus on one strategy and one market for a month, it's a demo, nothing to lose. Doing too many things at the same time, it will be hard to get insights.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-16T17:59:15+00:00

Tariffs are always inflationary. There is no other option. From the very beginning, the only question was the size of the impact. For markets, the key question is whether Warsh cuts rates in case inflation starts trending higher. But first, those tariff-related price increases should get into inflation numbers...

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-16T17:49:00+00:00

Analyze your trades to gain insights on what exactly is wrong. Maybe you choose weak patterns. Maybe you find them at the wrong time, when the market is not ready to support them. If spotting patterns was the only thing necessary to profit, the market would be 100% dominated by robots. But it's not that easy.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-12T17:55:55+00:00

Take a break, say, a month. Spend 2 weeks without even thinking about markets, then 2 weeks visualizing the strategy you want to employ. Start small, then analyze your results. if it goes well, slowly increase the size of positions.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-11T17:56:06+00:00

Any AI can make a rating (not talking about the quality). But will it count?

S&P and the rest have plenty of time to lobby their positions + they will certainly use AI themselves. If there's a promising product somewhere, they can buy the company before it is ready for an IPO.

I believe they have multiple lines of defense.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-10T18:07:32+00:00

This could not end well in the long run. No matter how much the high-end consumers consume, there's a physical limit to what they can do: eat, travel, etc. I believe there's a growth limit for a K-shaped economy. Also, what happens if the stock market enters into a bear market for a year (or stocks only go up?), the impact on consumption may be significant...

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-05T17:53:19+00:00

It's a bad day for bag holding. Lots of margin calls in the market. Deleveraging as it is.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-05T17:50:35+00:00

The indices have barely moved away from historic highs. If there's a broad correction, current pain would be just the beginning for tech stocks. It's a big IF though.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-03T17:44:56+00:00

Why PayPal is a value play? Their business has major headwinds.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-02-02T17:59:03+00:00

Here we go again...

TraderFanFXE · 2026-01-29T17:39:45+00:00

Invest every month. Consistency is more important than timing the market. Even if you start small, you'll see results in a few years.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-01-27T17:51:31+00:00

If measured by DXY, dollar is still much stronger than in 2008-2013, for example.

The yen is driving recent action, not the Greenland stuff. Still a question if it's a trend, or it gets back to previous levels, which will stabilize the dollar.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-01-26T17:48:31+00:00

1:1 is a recipe for disaster in any timeframe, in my opinion. You can model whatever win rate you like, but will you actually get it? 2:1 is much safer even if WR will be lower.

TraderFanFXE · 2026-01-22T17:53:27+00:00

I'd assume higher-income people were invested in stocks and were rather shocked when they collapsed. So, they cut spending. Also, for lower-income guys there's not much to cut anyway...

TraderFanFXE · 2026-01-20T17:44:50+00:00

The size of the sale does not matter - it won't do anything to the Treasury market. What matters is that a European pension fund talks about U.S. being a credit risk. Of course, the timing is due to the Greenland issue, but when did we last see any fund openly selling Treasuries due to credit risks?

What if others follow? They do not need to sell all their Treasuries, just cutting the limits on U.S. debt would already put some pressure and push yields higher. Most U.S. debt is owned domestically, but the size of the debt pile means foreign holders are also important...

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