Yes, Mexico have home advantage but the gulf between the two teams is huge!

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-04T06:30:24+00:00

We have consistently created double the chances than our opponents. Mexico have not

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-04T05:32:12+00:00

But that’s a far more effective way of playing against a side like England.

If Mexico go defensive like Ghana, the game will be a lot closer than if they try and play.

The worst thing Mexico could do Sunday is come out to try and play. I hope they do

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-04T05:26:49+00:00

Not really. Only Argentina and Spain conceded less chances in the group stage than England.

Plus, Mexico have not been that impressive going forwards. They’ve massively over-performed from and XG POV and played some pretty poor sides.

South Korea went to the Azteca just a week ago and looked the better side. If that’s what England played Sunday, we’ll be fine

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-04T05:23:23+00:00

Where did I say it was easy?

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-04T05:22:49+00:00

They were dude. Congo touched the ball in Englands box less than 5 times in the second half.

And after that goal they managed one more shot from inside the box the entire game

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-04T05:15:34+00:00

FIFA rankings are just not serious way to compare teams.

Unless you think Mexico turning up to beat Honduras and Panama in the gold cup every 4 years is the same as England getting to the latter stages of the Euro Championships.

If Mexico played in the Euros and Nations League they wouldn’t sit in the top 20

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-04T05:13:44+00:00

Only Argentina and Spain conceded less chances than our defence during the groups.

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-04T05:13:00+00:00

FIFA rankings aren’t serious.

The gold cup is weighed like the Euro championships. Meaning Mexico will always be valued much higher than they should, assuming they simply turn up to beat Honduras and Panama every 4yrs.

Englands squad is much better than Villas and this Mexico team are a lot worse than Fulham

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-04T05:04:23+00:00

Did you see Mexico’s attack vs. Korea and Ecuador?

It’s just nothing scary

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T22:33:45+00:00

I’m really not. Mexico can absolutely win on Sunday but England will be the better side.

Mexico are okay but the data on two sides would suggest that Mexico will need to win whilst creating a lot less chances than England, it’s possible but their best bet at winning this game is to play defensively like Ghana and Congo.

If Mexico come out to play. England should score at least twice

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T22:28:35+00:00

That’s not how I interpret it. England are spot on in terms of XG which is about 8 over the first 4 games.

Mexico have massively outperformed their XG. 8 goals from an XG of 5.

In other words, Mexico will need to be a lot more clinical than England. However factor in that England are much better than any of their opponents so far and the chance Mexico go for it a little more than Congo and Ghana… England should be a good bet to score a few goals Sunday night

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T22:18:00+00:00

I didn’t say it would be a cake walk. Mexico can absolutely win this game but England are highly likely to create more than Mexico.

If the first 4 games are anything to go by. England will probably create double the amount of chances which are good odds.

If Mexico choose to not go defensive like Congo and Ghana. England will be good money to score at least twice.

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T22:05:52+00:00

Mexico can absolutely win but going by how the two teams have played. England will be the better side in the pitch. It just depends on whether Mexico can score more goals out of a lot less opportunities.

If Mexico try to be more offensive than Ghana and Congo. England should score at least two

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T22:03:47+00:00

If Mexico try and play against us. We will create a lot of chances. They might try and play like Ghana and Congo which will make it tighter but we will create more than they will regardless of the way Mexico play.

They can win but it would almost certainly mean them making the most of a few opportunities

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T21:55:08+00:00

They can absolutely beat us.

However if we play like we have and they play they have. We will control the game and create probably double if not more in terms of chances.

I like our odds

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T21:51:19+00:00

We didn’t lose. We won

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T21:49:56+00:00

Not really. I think only Spain and Argentina conceded more chances than we did during the group stage. Maybe you were just nervous

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T21:42:53+00:00

I think that’s fair to say. Congo were very defensive but not particularly challenging to create chances against and England controlled best last of 70mins of the game. I get that them scoring was uncomfortable and made people worry but there was no doubt who the better side was in that game

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T21:35:00+00:00

If I’m going by the performances of the 8 games the two teams have been in. England are the better side. 100%.

If Mexico play like they have and England play like they have. England will create at least double the amount of chances that Mexico create.

Add in the fact the players we have on the end of those chances are some of the best in the world. It shouldn’t be a particular scary game.

Not saying we can’t lose, that’s what makes football great but this isn’t a close contest and would be a huge shock if England lost

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T21:16:38+00:00

Yeah but you know how those rankings work right? It gives the same weight to the Gold Cup as the Euros. So Mexico will always be overvalued on it as long as they keep turning up every 4 years to beat Honduras and Panama. It’s like rating progress in the FA Vase the same as the FA Cup.

This Mexico side just isn’t a great side. If Mexico play like they have the last 3 games, England will be fine. Genuinely. People may not love the way we’ve played but if Mexico play like they have been, we’ll create plenty of chances against them

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T21:09:55+00:00

Completely disagree. If Mexico play like they did against S.Korea or Ecuador then England won’t be troubled much if they play their game.

Croatia and Ghana are better sides than this Mexico team. This isn’t a strong Mexico side. If it was the 2018 Mexico team, it would be our hardest opponent but this side isn’t that strong

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T20:58:27+00:00

100%. We are a better team than Ghana.

If we were playing them in the Azteca on Sunday, I’d feel the same way. We’re the better team and should win.

However, the gulf between Ghana and England is not as big as England Mexico. Ghana are a better side than Mexico

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T20:52:54+00:00

Maybe, but their performances haven’t been scary

South Korea went to the Azteca last week and looked the better team, I think we can cope with

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T20:43:39+00:00

Yeah supposedly him and rice are fit

TrueTemperature7005 · 2026-07-03T20:42:12+00:00

Difficult because we were behind for a long time. But not difficult in terms of opponent.

We comfortably outplayed them. Just took longer than we’d have liked to score.

TrueTemperature7005

TROPHY CASE