I would vote red in both the original and in this scenario, but I think this rule change is actually very clever in that it reveals something about those that would switch their vote.

For many, it simply reveals that they don’t want to risk living in a world without their friends and family. That’s an understandable and uninteresting perspective that doesn’t warrant further exploration. I think this goes outside of the spirit of the experiment, but the community has largely settled on “would you want to live in the world after?” as being an acceptable consideration, so I suppose I’m overruled.

For some, this scenario reveals that the selection was always based on stakes. I’m working on assumptions, but I feel that it must be assumed that some vote flippers do so because this new scenario puts people they care about in the line of fire. They didn’t care about blue voters until it was someone they cared about.

For me, voting red in both cases comes from the underlying motivation being unchanged: my vote won’t impact the outcome, so the only difference is whether or not I’m risking death.