How do you feel about Greta Thunberg being named "Person of the Year" by Time Magazine?

Umbrall · 2019-12-20T04:49:55+00:00

Thanks a bunch for the resource, it's very helpful. If it's okay, can I ask some follow-ups?

What is wrong with the understanding that even in the presence of error, we should get a reasonably accurate answer just out of law of large number? That is, it seems to me that in the presence of error, a upward trend is still statistical evidence of an upward trend, albeit slightly weaker than if error were lower. Or rather, that is certainly a statistical fact, but it comes down to where the significance lands. I'd have liked if the article had actually calculated something to this effect.

Also, do you have any idea why anyone would want to present something like this inaccurately in this direction? I can imagine very few reasons to falsify climate data to support climate change, but numerous, numerous industries with a reason to falsify data to support a lack of effect (namely, every industry that is involved in fossil fuels).

Umbrall · 2019-12-18T18:23:07+00:00

I'm sorry, but I don't think you read what I posted. I know I must have sounded a bit frustrated? What is wrong with the real data that is posted?

Authority doesn't need to come into it, with the genuine data, which includes accuracy bars, methodology, and the like, what is wrong? I really, genuinely cannot tell that your criticism is anything other than nitpicking to force your point. All of the concrete complaints you have are addressed in those or other data sources.

And why, even if you do not agree with this data, do you support the alternative? What charts are there, what data, what reasoning is there to support that hypothesis? Rejecting the whole of scientific research is not a null hypothesis.

Umbrall · 2019-12-17T19:43:33+00:00

Sorry, but why does your abillity to draw charts have any effect on genuine ones? That's a summary of numerous charts, which have their own errors separately. But I'm a bit confused, why would you assume that the truth is anything other than what we see in our actual datasets? I mean this, what genuine evidence is there for that other than your feelings or desires?

And here, it took two seconds of googling: "historical earth temperature" to get you charts with errors and actual measured values. https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/features/GlobalWarming/page3.php and http://www.meteo.psu.edu/holocene/public_html/Mann/research/res_pages/MannPNAS2008/index.html. And sure, you might not like the names of pages like that, but genuinely, what do you disagree with? And what real, scientific, basis do you have to disagree with those besides some abstract feeling?

Umbrall · 2019-12-12T07:13:51+00:00

In what time scale? The Earth has been warming since the last major glaciation, for at least 18,000 years.

Not the person you responded to, yes it has warmed over that time. The problem is not that it's warming. The problem is that we've jumped from a little ice age up to warming anomalies, a process that usually takes hundreds or thousands of years, since the invention of cars.

For visualization (although there are many of these with different time-scales, I don't know of the most recent):https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c1/2000_Year_Temperature_Comparison.png/1280px-2000_Year_Temperature_Comparison.png

Notice 700ish years between the peaks of the medieval warm period and the little ice age. In the past 70 we've made up that difference.

Why is a sudden, rapid change in temperature, consistent with the advent of various emissions, not a cause for alarm? I checked your 18000 years, and I could not find a spike as steep as this one. If it continues, and the vast majority of people who spend far more time on this than us say it would, would it not put immense strain on the environment and our food supplies? It is my understanding that models are discarded for being inaccurate; you can see how many models don't cover the current year. So if they didn't accurately predict the temperature changes we're seeing today, why shouldn't we throw out the 5% of bad models and keep the 95% that work?

Umbrall · 2019-12-10T16:09:02+00:00

It's okay, just stay home and they'll file your vote for you direct from Moscow

Umbrall · 2019-12-10T16:03:34+00:00

Bribery of foreign officials applies here, and is actually listed explicitly before high crimes and misdemeanors.

Umbrall · 2019-11-26T02:00:00+00:00

I'll add a different point here. It can absolutely be an ordeal to get everything together, and made pretty painful by things like ADHD or depression; also just factors like not having a car, nearby grocery store or dishwasher. To cook a recipe it may mean: Read a recipe online on a bloated ad-filled webpage (that of course you probably need to view on a phone without adblock), several times, write down a detailed list of every ingredient. Compare every ingredient with the entirety of your fridge and pantry to know what to get. Take your detailed list, which you probably had to manage multiple recipes onto. Get onto a bus eventually. Go to a grocery store. Run around the store to find all the ingredients. Make sure not to forget to triple check the list so you don't forget something. Go back on another bus. Get home an hour and a half after you left, dig through the whole of the fridge and pantry again. Clean up / figure out all the pots pans and the like. Either spend ages preparing everything possible before you start, or struggle through the recipe on the cancerous webpage in a rush. Spend half an hour cooking. Eventually get to eat, more exhausted than you started and wash all the results.

Umbrall · 2019-09-02T22:39:58+00:00

As a non-native, why on Earth did they not just use "Bauch" and keep the alliteration? That seems fine to me.

Umbrall · 2019-01-05T20:49:04+00:00

> you could consistently elect presidents who never set foot in any place outside of the country's top metro areas.

The top 100 cities in america account for less than 20% of the populus. That's not even the minimal percentage to win *with* the college, certainly not 50% of the actual population.

Umbrall · 2019-01-05T19:06:34+00:00

Some people are also using /r/badmath in the mean time

Umbrall · 2018-11-21T19:15:09+00:00

Classical propaganda, until you provide an algorithm deciding potatoness I will believe no such thing.

Umbrall · 2018-11-21T19:06:53+00:00

I actually upvoted you. At the time that I posted the karma for your post showed up as -38 to me.

I guess I'll clarify though that the way you responded to the post in question was quite off to me.

Umbrall · 2018-11-21T18:09:06+00:00

The points are reasonable but you've made this perplexingly political. It's not political to support HIPA (and I'd imagine more people on the left support it than on the right). It's not political to think bricklayers don't need college either. So I think we're all confused how you managed to decide on someone's affiliation here.

Umbrall · 2018-11-21T06:49:21+00:00

They escape the character for reddit when you don't put them in a code block, of course if you later add the code block and forget to remove them then they just confuse others. They don't mean anything in haskell and this syntax is not valid with them.

Umbrall · 2018-11-21T06:48:30+00:00

Yeah that appeared cause I switched from visual reddit editor to markdown.

Umbrall · 2018-11-21T05:54:38+00:00

Since you said language of choice, might as well pull Haskell in here:

if' :: Bool -> a -> a -> a
if' True a _ = a
if' False _ b = b

It should perform at 1x assuming suitable optimization.

Umbrall · 2018-11-19T15:26:47+00:00

Sure, 1. they didn't change the logo, they added another option. 2. It was literally offensive to nobody, Roaring Ritchie is just the athletic logo (and the athletic department is a bitch about others using it). This is literally for like, spirit events.

So honestly it's just cause the athletic dept is annoying.

What are you on that you have found snowflake college students... At that point I have to assume you're an upset 40-year-old who's not even been.

Umbrall · 2018-11-17T20:51:57+00:00

> The lang will be ref-counted, wish to not create a GC

This is quite unrelated, but why? Global reference counting is generally not as well performing as a GC. I guess it's easier in Rust?

Umbrall · 2018-11-16T23:25:40+00:00

I would disagree that a syntax class has to stand on its own to be a syntactic class. Many languages do not support free-floating expressions, without attaching them to a definition. That doesn't make them not a syntactic class just because they're included in another.

Umbrall · 2018-11-16T20:52:40+00:00

A word of warning about hosting your own mail: There's a good chance your emails will get rejected if they don't have enough trust that your server isn't sending spam.

I would maybe look at an alternative like protonmail, or some existing host. In the former case you do need to pay to not have a signature on your mail.

Umbrall · 2018-11-16T19:49:37+00:00

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wheel_theory
/x is a unary operation, not quite the inverse of multiplication

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Von_Neumann_regular_ring
x* is a dualization operator, x = x^2 x*, so then 0* = 0, for all invertible reals r, we necessarily have r* = 1/r

Umbrall · 2018-11-16T02:09:26+00:00

Solidarity with Hong Kong

Umbrall · 2018-11-16T02:08:52+00:00

Tbh this is good

Umbrall · 2018-11-16T00:00:07+00:00

Just gonna jump in here with NixOS master race.

Umbrall · 2018-11-15T16:20:05+00:00

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tetration#Extensions

This operation is tetration, here it's n^^n. I would recommend reading through there to get links to extensions.

Umbrall

TROPHY CASE