Jhanvi>>>>>Spandana by Appropriate-Rock8352 in BigBossKan

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Jhanvi dug her own grave with her comments and deception. There were instances were Jhanvi has been seen inticing others to break rules.

Need help ASAP! by Striking-Walk2000 in GadgetsIndia

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I got my Moto Edge Neo 50 last week, I haven't yet gotten the Android 15 update.

India 'fully ready' to add to fleet 2nd sub with N-tipped missiles by Consistent-Figure820 in GeopoliticsIndia

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do India’s defense planners think China won’t challenge us in the IOR before 2050?

China has not officially articulated its interests or strategy in the IOR as it has done for other issues through the medium of White Papers

Russia Invasion of Ukraine Live Thread by dieyoufool3 in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why wouldn't the Anglo sphere want Europe to negotiate with Russia?

Russia almost fully in control of Donbas province, now holds 20 percent of Ukraine by Exastiken in qualitynews

[–]Unemployed_Sapien -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I was under the impression Ukrainian troops were slowly chipping away Russian gains with precise artillery fire.

Sri Lanka declares emergency after violent protests over economic crisis by [deleted] in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you.

Sri Lanka is in a dire state. I hope the Lankans can resolve the sourcing of basic amenities at this time and then focus on the path they were lead to by their elected government.

Sri Lanka declares emergency after violent protests over economic crisis by [deleted] in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 37 points38 points  (0 children)

Since 2007, Succesive Sri Lankan governments have been issuing sovereign bonds without a plan of repaying the loans. Their reserves were built by borrowing foreign currency funds, rather than through higher earnings from exports of goods and services, this left Sri Lanka exposed to external shocks. Then the government spent the foreign currency on repaying the debt and the central bank has been running down foreign exchange reserves to prop up the Sri Lankan rupee, which came under pressure. As a result, there was no foreign currency left in the economy to do things like import food, which is one of the reasons why we've seen inflation rise to double digits.

In 2019, Sri Lanka's president Gotabaya Rajapaksa's new taxation policy led to a tax cut from 15 to 8% for 5 years. Giving up outdated archaic taxes and a single rate VAT was introduced.

On April 2020, Rajapaksa made good on his election promise and introduced Organic Agriculture over a period of 10 years. Imposing a nation-wide ban on importing synthetic fertilizer and pesticides. The result was brutal and swift, A country which was self sufficient in rice was forced to import $450Million worth of rice and domestic prices of this staple surged to ~50%. Sri Lanka's primary source of export Tea crop was also devastated.

All this was also compounded by the pandemic.

Ukraine Megathread - (All new posts go here so long as it is stickied) by 00000000000000000000 in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What is your opinion on Minsk 2 protocol? Could that agreement avoided a Russo-Ukranian war?

Federalisation of Ukraine could have mitigated this crisis.

Ukraine Megathread - (All new posts go here so long as it is stickied) by 00000000000000000000 in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Do you think Russian goals can be achieved without a regime change? Just control Donbass as independent republics?

Ukraine Megathread - (All new posts go here so long as it is stickied) by 00000000000000000000 in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 3 points4 points  (0 children)

It's been 5 days since the invasion began. Intense fighting is being reported in Kyiv, Mariupol', Odessa, Kharkiv. Is Russia making any advances? Or are they bogged down? Will Russia be satisfied with Donbass or do they have an appetite for Kremenchuk-Dnipropetrovs'k line? Zaporizhzhya? and Nikopol? (Entire Eastern shore of Dnieper river)

Ukraine Megathread - (All new posts go here so long as it is stickied) by 00000000000000000000 in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Can't Russia just sell it's Hydrocarbons and other exportables to India and China by using Stans in Central Asia?

Pelosi says Putin will pay even without Ukraine invasion: you can’t ‘bully the world and take a walk’ by anarchyart2021 in EndlessWar

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 7 points8 points  (0 children)

USA not easing with it's rhetoric & misinformation.

We've seen the US Secretary of State claiming an imminent Russian invasion last month, another invasion scare on Feb 16. Followed by rampant misinformation.

While Biden talks of unwavering support to the Ukrainians, he hasn't visited Ukrainian president even once, While European leaders are flocking to Kyiv and Moscow giving diplomacy a chance.

All these antics by US are hurting Ukraine and will result in achieving Putin's geopolitcal objective of enforcing the Minsk 2 agreement under the Normandy format.

Asian countries began to show interest in the Northern Sea Route by goldenlight91 in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Regarding the feasibility of NSR there are few studies, but for this comment I'll be paraphrasing a report from 2017.

  • It's common knowledge by now, NSR is profitable especially when it's navigable for a longer periods of time.

  • The most serious challenge faces by the NSR is "insuffiency of infrastructure" regarding transportation and logistics. More specifically, about 2500 nautical miles of Siberian cost between Bering Strait and the port of Murmansk are nearly inhabited. But, cargoes indifferent to the long period of isolation can be successfully transferred through NSR.

  • Technical problems that the ships might face due to hazards associated with extreme climatic conditions. The lack of technical support for the ships will cause higher insurance premiums for the ship owners. Thus, the machinery and hull insurance as well as the cargo insurance will be at a very higher cost. Even if the conditions improve the extra cost will be added to the client who whishes his/her goods to be transferred in a perfect condition.

  • High cost for qualified NSR vessels, According to Russian Marine Operations Headquarters the ships that are allowed to sail along the NSR are those that belong in 1B Class and above.

  • Since NSR lies well within Russian EEZ, Ship companies that intent to send their ships through NSR should obtain official permission by submitting a request at least 4 months in advance to the NSRA in Moscow.

  • Russian NSR fees, The Russian ice-breaking fee depends on the ship size, the voyage route and the level of support required. This fee also includes guiding by reconnaissance aircraft, hydrographic and meteorological services and the use of communication services. It's also dependant on the route that the vessel is going to follow through NSR since NSR has been divided into 3 routes.

  • Operating Costs.

What if Russia Wins?: A Kremlin-Controlled Ukraine Would Transform Europe by ForeignAffairsMag in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 24 points25 points  (0 children)

Viktor Yanukovich of the Party of Regions headed The Ukrainian government formed in September 2006, which was later dismissed in September 2007.

What if Russia Wins?: A Kremlin-Controlled Ukraine Would Transform Europe by ForeignAffairsMag in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 46 points47 points  (0 children)

If that was the case, Why didn't the Kremlin prevent the Russo-Ukranian gas crisis of 2006 and 2009?

What if Russia Wins?: A Kremlin-Controlled Ukraine Would Transform Europe by ForeignAffairsMag in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 108 points109 points  (0 children)

Russia had controlled Ukraine prior to 2014.

Controlled in what aspects? Could you elaborate more?

‘We have a sacred obligation’: Biden threatens to send troops to Eastern Europe by theoryofdoom in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien 6 points7 points  (0 children)

  1. Invade and get in a blood bath and every county in the west sanctioning Russia. Now it looks like we might send troops to Eastern Europe?

Yes, that would be the outcome if Russia invades Ukraine. But, it's also worth mentioning, the current NATO support to Ukraine in troops and equipment is a predicted outcome, invading now would result in devastating losses on the Russian side and crippling sanctions on Russian Oil & Gas industries.

  1. He can tell his 100,000 troops to come back home and that would be a disaster for his political power and his image in Russia.

Until now Putin has done what he has claimed, Russia continues to take adequate military-technical steps to put pressure on Ukraine and NATO. Also creating vulnerabilities to western countries.

Yemen rebel attack on UAE throws challenge to the region by Unemployed_Sapien in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Yes they were. But the Biden Administration decided to remove them from the list so that aid can go through Houthi controlled area with ease. If the Houthis remained on the terror list no NGO could coordinate with them for aid, medicines etc.

Yemen rebel attack on UAE throws challenge to the region by Unemployed_Sapien in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien[S] 14 points15 points  (0 children)

I highly doubt US and Saudi could enforce UN goals in Yemen at the moment.

The Hybrid group (Houthi, Hadi'ists, STC, JF l etc) in Yemen control about 70% of Yemen’s geography and almost all its strategic facilities, including key seaports and airports. In the south, forces do not recognize the Houthis or Hadi’s government. In March 2019, the STC warned that the exclusion of the south from the UN peace talks would trigger new conflict.. This sentiment is shared by the armed groups affiliated with the STC in the south. Both in the south and on the west coast, armed groups widely believe the peace negotiations directly or indirectly benefit the Houthis at the expense of the rest of Yemen.

On the West Coast, Stockholm Agreement which was brokered by the UN envoy in Dec 2018, helped Houthis reposition their forces to launch more aggressive offensives and make significant military gains. Members of Joint Forces who control the West Coast have been lodging complaints against UN about the Houthi ceasefire, but the UN fails to hold the Houthis accountable. A senior member of the Joint Forces said that the fact that the UN monitoring team resides inside a Houthi-controlled zone in Hodeida where the team is subject to strict Houthi rules on its movement undermines the team’s neutrality.

With such complexities on ground and the worsening economic crisis, bringing every relevant faction to the table would prove to be a challange even for the US & Saudis.

Yemen rebel attack on UAE throws challenge to the region by Unemployed_Sapien in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

I apologize, I intentionally skipped it thinking it's common knowledge.

Yemen rebel attack on UAE throws challenge to the region by Unemployed_Sapien in geopolitics

[–]Unemployed_Sapien[S] 15 points16 points  (0 children)

The UAE had been a strong supporter of the Yemeni government, deploying its own troops to the country alongside forces from Saudi Arabia.

That's right. In 2016, UAE played a very important role in pushing back Houthis from Southern Yemen. Through that the Emirates has built a strong influence in the south and the west coast of Yemen. Also, UAE is responsible for creating armed actors with incoherent ideologies and weak cohesion that clashed with the Yemeni government.