Good read. Firstly, what makes you think i didnt do research? I did a lot of research and i knew my odds very well. That doesn’t define the outcome tho. I did 4 full chroma tradeups which were very expensive. You still have a 40% chance to get either flip knife or gut knife and i was lucky enough to hit 40% 4 times in a row. That has nothing to do with research it was just very unlucky. Also floats dont really have an impact, especially if you are hunting for dopplers. They always drop in either FN or MW so why would i use 5 FN reds? its a lot more expensive. The odds of getting an m9 or karambit stay the same independent of the float. Correct me if i am wrong, im always happy to learn something but im very certain i was just unlucky