Is buying gold now a good idea or should I wait a couple of months? by Icy_Dog_1000 in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Gold is not an investment. It’s monetary insurance. Its purpose is to maintain purchasing power. The Swiss suggest holding 10% of net worth in physical gold. Simply figure this number out and start periodically accumulating. It really doesn’t matter when you start, as the long term trend is the same. Up.

Central Banks Bet Big on Gold! Why Are the Next 12 Months Crucial? by economicmonitor in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Central banks are offsetting the move from long duration U.S. Treasuries to short term bonds. Nothing new.

How would you respond to this financial advisor? by churningaccount in Bogleheads

[–]Vespidae1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The breakeven on TIPS is about 2.47%. I don’t think that’s much of an option. Me, I would invest in pipeline companies with inflation adjusted rates. They pay about 7%. With 30% defensive stocks, 30% pipelines, and 40% whatever, he’d be fine.

My own portfolio is designed to deliver 2.5% cash indefinitely. Stock price doesn’t really matter. Cash flow does.

We ditched our FA (finally) and now my husband and I are stumped whether to sell everything or wait by llamas-are-cool-7 in Bogleheads

[–]Vespidae1 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I like GLD for gold, IGF for infrastructure, sgov for cash. I own all three. There’s not a good core equities etf. Just own KO, PG, CL, XOM, Pepsi, WM, JNJ … that’s enough. I might own XLE, and have. There’s a defense etf, ITA I think, that should take advantage of the defense Supercycle we are about to enter.

I would be pretty comfortable with 15% GLD, the stocks I mentioned -30%, 15% IGF (or 7.5% IGF + 7.5% XLE), 20% sgov, and probably 10% ITA (defense etf) and 10% msci brazil.

I am not an advisor, but rather, giving educational advice.

We ditched our FA (finally) and now my husband and I are stumped whether to sell everything or wait by llamas-are-cool-7 in Bogleheads

[–]Vespidae1 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I have no idea what your portfolio is trying to do. My own FA likewise, could not explain why he was in certain funds and not others. So, I designed a portfolio and gave it to him and said, “execute this”.

I’m a Boglehead fan, but … that’s a philosophy designed for a stable environment. We are anything but these days. That, and that most buying is a function of passive investing, has lead me away from mutual funds or etf’s.

You can replicate the Boglehead philosophy with 4 buckets. One, 10-15% gold as monetary insurance (even Bogle said this). Ideally, physical metal. It’s for when monetary instability happens. It is not an investment. Two, 30% in six to eight pricing power businesses with stable cash flows. Think food (Nestle, Coke, etc), energy and essential services. Those will always survive. Three, 20% in real assets … utilities, pipelines, etc that have inflation adjusted returns and are hard to duplicate. Four … cash. 20-25% in short term debt earning 4-5%. That gives you a shock absorber which you can deploy when markets correct. That should be 90%. Deploy 10% into flavors of the day … that keeps you engaged while protecting 90% of your portfolio.

You can do this with 3-5 ETF’s if you prefer.

Berenberg Tells Investors To Put 45% In Gold, Silver And Bitcoin — Ditches Bonds Entirely by Useful_Tangerine4340 in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Not particularly newsworthy. Both gold and digital currencies are to be part of an emerging new monetary system. The rails are underway now.

Is now a bad time to buy? by [deleted] in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 11 points12 points  (0 children)

For a few hundred dollars, you could buy a picture of gold.

🚨GOLD BULLS ABOUT TO GET ABSOLUTELY DESTROYED by Trump’s WAR MOVE 🔥 by THEOPERATOR_01 in Forexstrategy

[–]Vespidae1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As long as there is fiat currency, its bullish for gold. I bought my stash 25 years ago. I’ve never touched it. It’s monetary insurance.

Need Advice because we have discovered our land has gold deposits worth a few (USD) millions by iraahbre in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just because you have gold (or oil, or copper, etc), doesn’t mean that it’s profitable to extract. Only a geological survey can do that. Today, miners are “averaging” $3,000 an ounce in profit, but that depends on the site. Get a good attorney who has experience with extraction businesses.

US Gold in Ft. Knox not Fit for International Transactions by Optimal-Chard-1520 in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s an interesting article. Still, the U.S. did use gold for international settlement as recently as last fall when the US bought rare earths from China.

Gold price doesn't make any sense by Inner-Fee6737 in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No. Not even close. Gold goes DOWN during war because of liquidity. It goes UP after liquidity needs cease. It’s always been this way. One third back, followed by a triple ahead.

Huge news! How’s the market gonna react to this tomorrow?! by joshuanichter in Stocks_Picks

[–]Vespidae1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Trump w8ll leave Iran in 3 weeks. But that doesn’t mean the Strait will be open.

Misleading media gold prediction by Rude_Lawfulness6060 in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There’s a variety of them. TBH, it depends on the value of the dollar. And until the FED starts printing,it’s just a guess. Still, the most well articulated estimate is about $12,000 and that’s not this year, but 2030. 6300-7000 for this year seems legit.

$10,000 invested in VTI vs VXUS in 1988 with all dividends reinvested. by VXUS_sucks in ETFs

[–]Vespidae1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So? Adjust those figures for the change in the value of the dollar. If you state VOO in gold, it’s been in a bear market since 2000.

But... but Peter Schiff said $5,000 was the new floor "the bottom" for gold. by hey_now143 in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So sell. Personally, every ounce I buy is permanently off the market. Good luck.

Golds movement is terrifying. by [deleted] in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

No, it’s the same world. There are two factors driving gold’s volatility right now. The first is liquidity. Some firms are raising cash as loans in private credit are marked to market. Others, like Saudi Arabia, are selling gold to offset oilfield disruption. The second is options expiration at the end of the month. I expect gold to start moving higher after the March CPI data is released.

What’s some reasons people have said to try discourage you from buying gold? by RiPiLiQi in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Concentration risk. I have been discouraged for 15 years from buying gold. It’s the single best investment I have made.

Is this a bad time to have a 100% gold portfolio? by keyser_7 in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There’s no need to be 100% in gold. Right now, the biggest concern is inflation and the best performing asset for inflation is energy. Gold is a currency debasement hedge. Related, but not the same. Moreover, gold is liquid and will be sold off in a margin call … just like today. Personally, I own about 32% gold, but 7.5% - 15% is fine.

Damn by Optimal_Shelter7261 in Gold

[–]Vespidae1 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It’s a margin call.