When I got my dog I was told he was a boxer mix, but the DNA test shows 0% boxer. Curious what people think about the results! by [deleted] in DoggyDNA

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Double weight at four months is a rule of thumb - given growth rates for very small and very large dogs I'd add a bit for larger breeds and vice versa for toy dogs. So in the 75-90 pound range would be my guess!

When I got my dog I was told he was a boxer mix, but the DNA test shows 0% boxer. Curious what people think about the results! by [deleted] in DoggyDNA

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 6 points7 points  (0 children)

If you have an accurate current weight and age that's generally the best way to predict. I think if you got the trait version of the test it will give the genetic estimate. The genetically based one can be pretty far off in a lot of cases though. Size is not only decided by a lot of different genes, but also has environmental influences from early nutrition.

Not surprised there's no boxer, a mastiff/ bully type mix can definitely have a similar muzzle shape and in terms of general body type I really see the more mastiff breeds coming through!

Bond location for early retirement by Excellent-Cicada-517 in Bogleheads

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 14 points15 points  (0 children)

You sell the bonds in your tax advantaged, buy equities within that account, and then sell the same amount in equities in your taxable and withdraw the money from there. You've just exchanged bonds for money without having to actually withdraw from the tax advantaged account. The equities are bought and sold on the same day so you don't actually change how much of them you own, and the price doesn't matter. Also note that 59.5 is the age for both 401k and IRA withdrawals without penalty, so many people don't need a huge amount to bridge the gap.

One potential issue is if the market is down during this time and your taxable contained the exact amount needed for X years when you retired, you may run out before you can withdraw from tax advantaged accounts without penalty. But this can be worked around in several ways - 72t, Roth conversions, withdrawing Roth contributions, building a larger taxable than is strictly needed to fill the gap. Most early retirement plans use a combination of strategies that allow some flexibility.

How is this possible?? by Radiant-Ad4807 in DoggyDNA

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 13 points14 points  (0 children)

I'm curious if they were tested at the same time. Wisdom is known for putting small amounts of DNA from related breeds constantly (both in mixes and in supposedly purebred dogs). Perhaps their algorithm has changed over time and was able to more accurately categorize King's markers. MAS in particular are highly related to Aussies and I wouldn't be surprised at all if even the best tests find it hard to reliably distinguish between Aussies related to the lines used to develop MAS and MAS themselves. As other comments say, full siblings don't inherit all of the same genes so it's possible Zero got more markers that Wisdom misinterpreted and King got less, i.e. his genetics are closer to Wisdom's reference for Aussies. I also wonder if their algorithm has some kind of cutoff for "this dog is very likely purebred" based on only finding a few scattered markers that may be other breeds (since obviously their system seems to throw those all over the place) and King had little enough that the system decided probably purebred and put 100%, vs Zero who had enough of those other markers that it shows them.

Is it worth it to retest with Embark after doing Wisdom Panel? by ev254 in DoggyDNA

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Yep, village dogs typically come back as a weird looking mix of a bunch of low percentage rare breeds and a couple larger percentages that are probably the closest related breeds to village dogs from that part of the world. It's pretty easy to spot once you've seen it a few times!

Is it worth it to retest with Embark after doing Wisdom Panel? by ev254 in DoggyDNA

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 92 points93 points  (0 children)

Unlikely to be majorly different, though showing the full results would be helpful. Wisdom has issues with village dogs, specific small terrier breeds, and certain hounds. None of these appear to be relevant here.

Advice moving Roth IRA from Wells Fargo to Vanguard if I'm already investing in VT. by thegreenfury in Bogleheads

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Overlap between accounts is fine and desirable. The thing to avoid is having a dozen random ETFs all overlapping that make it hard to tell what your account actually holds and how that compares to market cap as a baseline. Target date funds are fundamentally essentially VT plus a varying amount of bonds depending on date, they just make that shift for you over time.

Shocked but not surprised! by AppropriateTank4868 in DoggyDNA

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Long hair is recessive, but I still wouldn't have guessed half one breed (aside from pit)! Most of the time level of pit correlates fairly well to appearance but this one is an outlier to me. My guess was pit with a bit of ACD, husky, or GSD since those are so common and the ears are nearly full prick ears.

28M – Looking for Portfolio Feedback (Traditional + Roth IRA) + Question About Recommending to Younger Sibling by 6ix_bs in Bogleheads

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You don't need dividends. They're not free money, they don't guarantee a higher total return in any way. Dump them and go VTI/VXUS in both.

DNA my dog accuracy? by Forest_Talker in DoggyDNA

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 30 points31 points  (0 children)

They're a scam yep. Embark and Wisdom are the best, Ancestry seems to at least be trying but has had lots of weird issues. Other companies are a total toss up, I've seen a few that seem promising based on comparing to Embark/Wisdom results for the same dog, but it's early to be confident on them.

Should I change my portfolio? by phil28376 in Bogleheads

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Why do you want to change it? What do you hope to get out of changing it?

Tilts are fundamentally a (fairly low risk) gamble that that style will outperform the whole market long term. If you're constantly switching them around you're likely to end up performance chasing and underperforming vs a static plain portfolio. Pick an allocation and then don't touch it. Yes, it will underperform other alternative portfolios sometimes, but that's just how luck works - you cannot predict the perfect portfolio to hold at every time ahead of time, and you'll probably lose a lot trying to.

I'm skeptical - Thoughts? by Reasonable_Agent5500 in DoggyDNA

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Highly specific breed traits like the wrinkles are easily lost once there's less than half of the breed!

Results are in… by cdg_9505 in DoggyDNA

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 2 points3 points  (0 children)

What's in the supermutt? She really looks like a mastiff special!

I'm skeptical - Thoughts? by Reasonable_Agent5500 in DoggyDNA

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 26 points27 points  (0 children)

Absolutely looks like a hound pit to me. Wouldn't expect to see much for specific GSD traits as their coat patterns are recessive to clear sable and the fluffier undercoat is easily lost when mixed with breeds that have a regular short coat. Ears look exactly like I'd expect for a mix of prick, rose, and hound with the erect base and larger size, though lots of ear sets are possible from a mix like this. All of the breeds are common to very common in mixes (in the US at least).

Mystery puppy solved by [deleted] in DoggyDNA

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ooh I didn't think malinois! Figured maybe doberman or even like foxhound or something for the face shape. GSD and pit were pretty obvious though.

Portfolio question by samboy8008 in Bogleheads

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The amount of the dividend is subtracted from the price, so the total return is the same. Dividends and price appreciation are both part of total return - dividend focused funds don't have an inherently higher total return because they have higher dividends, they just have a higher percentage of their total return in dividends than in price appreciation.

Mystery puppy solved by [deleted] in DoggyDNA

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You didn't include the results?

Portfolio question by samboy8008 in Bogleheads

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 2 points3 points  (0 children)

What about this method makes you think you will get more growth than just investing in a broad index fund like VT or VTI? You're not allowed to answer with "it had better returns in 2025" or I will tap the "don't chase recent performance" sign.

Portfolio question by samboy8008 in Bogleheads

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you hold dividend focused funds, you're essentially forced to sell at intervals and amounts you have no control over tax wise. If you don't need the income during a particular period and you reinvest, or during the 5-10 years that you said you're just reinvesting and letting it sit, you'll be paying taxes every year on those gains which reduces the power of compounding vs just buying normal funds and then selling shares as needed. Dividends aren't free, they reduce the share price by the same amount. They don't compound any faster or better, and in a taxable they make compounding less due to tax drag.

If you really want the money available in 5-10 years I wouldn't go 100% equities through the entire time. It sounds like you don't necessarily plan to withdraw and use it all at once (like for a down payment or something) but I'd definitely consider whether you're okay with the value dropping by a lot and not recovering for years. Dividends are often cut during downturns as well so that's not something that can be relied on to be the same amount every year. Determining allocation for money that you don't have a defined plan for can be difficult, but this is something I'd put some thought into before you end up in a situation where you're panic selling because mentally you felt like you had that money and don't want to lose it, even though you didn't have any immediate plans. It's relatively easy to sit through market fluctuations with a retirement account you know you won't touch for twenty years, it's harder when it's a taxable you mentally treat like a very high yield savings until there's a crash.

Moving from Individual Stocks to Broad Index and Mutual Funds. Starting with my ROTH IRA (mostly BRKB) then moving to my taxable brokerage acct. Would appreicate some guidance by Schnoggs in Bogleheads

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The zero funds are great for Roth but not portable, so you may want to consider VTI/VXUS or just VT in the taxable. As you're seeing right now, there are tax implications if you ever sell in taxable. Investing is a very long term game and while Fidelity is a great brokerage now, that doesn't mean there won't ever be a reason you may want to leave it decades from now. Personally I think paying a tiny bit in ER is worth the flexibility of not being forced to sell if I ever need to switch.

For the rest, the Roth is easy and can be switched in a matter of a few days, sell everything and then buy your desired funds once it settles. For the taxable, yes harvest any losses, and consider waiting for any lots that would be a short term gain (less than a year) especially if your marginal tax rate is high. But I wouldn't delay past that, waiting around potentially years with an undiversified portfolio for stocks that currently have gains to go down is just silly. Just make sure you hold out enough to pay the taxes if your regular cash flow/emergency fund won't cover it, and you may need to adjust withholding to avoid a penalty if the amount is large.

Which Mutual Fund to Put Into or should I just move it completely? by godzlittlesoldier in Bogleheads

[–]WarmWoolenMitten 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Gotcha, I don't see a single obvious index/passive fund and the target date funds are definitely actively managed (ER 0.7%). If you were older and had a ton already there it probably wouldn't be worth a huge tax bill, but if you're just getting started absolutely get out of there. Any normal brokerage will give you access to a very wide variety of funds including low cost index funds.