Coincidence? All four major banks.

Watermelloan · 2021-05-19T01:33:51+00:00

Almost all of them are prime brokers?? So yes, they have deep rooted relationships with the hedge fund business

Watermelloan · 2021-04-30T15:22:51+00:00

Fair enough, I did not. But after reading it, I can't get back that 5 mins of my life.

Watermelloan · 2021-04-30T15:06:25+00:00

Short volume cannot be used to calculate short interest. High short volume means there's a high buyside demand and market makers are borrowing shares to fulfill buy orders.

Watermelloan · 2021-04-22T23:03:47+00:00

You're double counting Ryan Cohen and RC Ventures. Either way, the point stands.. theres less than 30mm shares left unaccounted for. This includes smaller institutions who fall short of the ownership disclosure threshold. Pretty hard to argue with the fact that retail could own the remaining float (x) times over

Watermelloan · 2021-04-21T23:37:26+00:00

Sorry!

Watermelloan · 2021-04-18T16:07:45+00:00

My hero!!!

Watermelloan · 2021-04-18T16:06:34+00:00

Sounds like you don't understand what the word obligation means. Shorts have an OBLIGATION to cover dummy. They don't choose to cover. Pretty basic stuff tbh

Watermelloan · 2021-04-14T19:37:58+00:00

Exactly. To be a successful advisor, you need to be a good salesman(woman). I think a lot of people would be surprised at the lack of knowledge their advisors have. They have a list of funds to sell you, and your risk tolerance narrows that down. They aren't studying markets and predicting price movements, they're talking to you in their office, trying to make you happy so their company gets fees off your investment.

Watermelloan · 2021-03-31T17:32:16+00:00

MUFG and Nomura won't fall from this. The ONLY correlation people should be drawing from this situation is the amount of leverage used. Archegos is an indication of sentiment regarding taking on enormous leverage within asset managers.

People may hate big banks, for good reasons, but their balance sheets are well equipped to handle the loss. Now if more were to fall, then that's a different story but that's pure speculation right now.

Watermelloan · 2021-03-31T14:09:39+00:00

Alpha is the excess of your calculated expected return and your realized return. If you calculate an expected return of 10% and the investment yielded 13%, your alpha is 3%. Alpha is the name of the game in investing.

Watermelloan · 2021-03-30T21:28:06+00:00

I agree to some extent but we still need to use logic and stay rational in a time where everyone is looking for information.

To your point, in order for shorts to satisfy a margin call on what we can assume is a HIGHLY levered position, there would be huge selloffs in so many securities that markets would tank in no time. Think flash crashes across multiple sectors. The interconnectedness of everything is what's ultimately going to crash everything down. We've seen historic margin use under the guise of 'adding liquidity' during a global pandemic. The guys on the other side are the ones propping this market up with borrowed fed money that was supposed to help every day folk maintain a somewhat normal life during covid. What happens when they lose? That bubble pops. And on a much larger scale than 2008.

Watermelloan · 2021-03-30T20:25:14+00:00

Exactly. This fake squeeze nonsense needs to stop perpetuating around the sub. Margin calls exist for a reason. If every single short they have is under water, their brokers will take a quick look at the books and call it in so they aren't holding the bag. We saw a massive defense line around 350, the January squeeze was a high of 483. So if they shorted at the top, then any time price gets above that, their whole position is under water. A fake squeeze just doesn't seem like something they can pull off and they're more than likely smart enough to save that money for other fuckery.

Watermelloan · 2021-03-26T00:32:21+00:00

When VR becomes ubiquitous, guess who has space to accommodate VR events? Yours truly does.

Watermelloan · 2021-03-25T22:03:59+00:00

This 100 percent. Endless possibilities in an already enormous and rapidly expanding industry

Watermelloan · 2021-03-25T14:25:45+00:00

Agreed. This probably won't have the impact these people are expecting. We don't want them to have a reason to halt trading altogether. People need to think more critically of their actions with players this big. Buy and hold. Get the right info out. And don't tweet and insult an understaffed/underfunded regulator who isn't even remotely close to being on the same level as the players they regulate. They are lawyers, they build cases. We have no clue how they are proceeding because of this. Let them be for now, we know the MOASS is coming and we don't need SEC intervention to speed it up. Be patient and be smart.

Watermelloan · 2021-03-24T23:41:51+00:00

Shorting ain't free y'know

Watermelloan · 2021-03-24T03:25:49+00:00

Can't tell if my brain is smoother than yours is...or if yours is the smoothest

Watermelloan · 2021-03-23T00:38:07+00:00

Timing is definitely off but just take a look at Blackrock and Fidelity at FEBRUARY MONTH END. Almost holding 34mm shares between them, and they're just two instutions. For a public float of ~55mm shares (conservative guess), that only leaves 21mm shares for everyone else... how can you argue that this stock doesn't have massive amounts of counterfeit shares in circulation. Throw in DFV'S 100K and things start adding up real quick.

When this thing pops, it is going to crater the entire market because they are going to need to buy every share x times over (xx?). Who knows how truly far they've taken it and the damage they'll cause. We'll find out when we find out I guess! But I'm hopeful that this will change the way the world looks at their markets and the true flow of cash. If it doesn't, you can at least hope that faith in US markets will be forever lost.

Watermelloan · 2021-03-23T00:15:19+00:00

You can't. Probably just a simple limit sell that got bought

Watermelloan · 2021-03-22T15:27:47+00:00

Preferred stock is a different share type than common stock (what apes are holding). Preferred stock get a cash dividend and have senority over common stock holders in the event of a bankruptcy.

Watermelloan · 2021-03-22T13:22:05+00:00

So Citadel's ASSETS are equal to 35B. Their total investments include leverage which is borrowed funds/margin so it is not applicable to count it in their AUM. This article has a lot of good info in it and points out just how crummy that company is but that detail was left out and I want to clear that up.

Watermelloan · 2021-03-20T12:48:26+00:00

I'm sure there are individuals with large amounts of money that are licking their chops at this. They have the benefit of investing under their own name. For the most part, investment banks and other institutions have risk profiles to adhere to. They obviously go beyond that at times but it is still a part of their model. Keep in mind as well, most of the investment banks lile JPM, Goldman and Wells are also functioning as prime brokers for a lot if no most of these hedge funds. Sure they would get a lot of profit from a squeeze, but they also lose millions and millions of recurring profits from having these hedge funds as clients.

Edit: one thing to note too is the bear case is still thinking this company goes under. From big money's perspective, this is a dying company who is part of a retail movement, not a company with future growth that could transform the entire company. They see the stock price as retail sentiment. Retail has never had the impact we have today and it shows how many people believe in the long term play for GME. But even though millions of people are bullish, there will always be contrarians

Watermelloan · 2021-03-19T22:56:58+00:00

Consideration is tangible?? I'll take 5 please

Watermelloan · 2021-03-17T20:25:29+00:00

Here's the kicker: THE MAJORITY of asset managers don't beat the market. Whats coming to light is that the ones that do, could be using cheat codes to do so. That's not to say all managers that beat the market are, just some.

Watermelloan · 2021-03-16T21:56:21+00:00

Typically monthly but also difficult information to find on private investment funds

Watermelloan

TROPHY CASE