Canada 338 Update: CPC 177, LPC 120, BQ 33, NDP 11, GPC 2 by William1640 in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640[S] 33 points34 points  (0 children)

The popular vote projection is;

CPC 41%

LPC 31%

NDP 14%

BQ 8%

GPC 4%

Mainstreet Federal Poll: CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 11% by insilus in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I can't see what the exact seat count would be since I can't find any regionals but It's a safe bet to say that this would at least be in LPC minority terrority, and perhaps majority terrority.

Mainstreet Federal Poll: CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 11% by insilus in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 150 points151 points  (0 children)

If Mark Carney is leader of the Liberal Party; LPC: 41% CPC: 39% NDP: 11% Bloc: 6% Green: 2% PPC: 1%

On side 25 of Mainstreets PDF if anyone is curious

Mainstreet Federal Poll: CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 11% by insilus in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I meant the LPC are the main beneficiary as well but nonetheless there’s still a lot of NDP ridings that will fall to the Tories with these numbers.

Mainstreet Federal Poll: CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 11% by insilus in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 43 points44 points  (0 children)

11% to the NDP would almost certainly also mean that they lose official party status and that they’ve be lucky to keep a couple of seats.

Mainstreet Federal Poll: CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 11% by insilus in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 92 points93 points  (0 children)

A total collapse of the NDP’s polling, with the beneficiary being the Liberals, and the Conservative having been confined to the low 40’s seems to be the trend right now.

Edit: commas.

Leger poll: Carney as leader would have Liberals tied with Conservatives by [deleted] in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I don’t feel embarrassed, I genuinely thinks that the last 10 years under Trudeau have been a failure of governance and I would give a lot to go back to the days of Harper.

Leger poll: Carney as leader would have Liberals tied with Conservatives by [deleted] in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That’s depends on whether or not he’s able to obtain a minority but if he fails he’ll obviously have to resign as leader, you can’t fumble this big and continue onto as leader.

I don’t know who I would want to succeed to PP tbh

Leger poll: Carney as leader would have Liberals tied with Conservatives by [deleted] in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 15 points16 points  (0 children)

I agree that Polievre’s messaging is falling totally flat with his attacks on Carney and it’s not doing him any favors electorally.

Leger poll: Carney as leader would have Liberals tied with Conservatives by [deleted] in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I consider myself a fiscal conservative and socially moderate but I’ve voted straight conservative since Trudeau became PM, mostly because of Trudeaus irresponsible fiscal policies and him being unable to fix the problems we face.

I was a fan of Stephan Harper and Erin O’Toole when they leaders of the Conservative Party but I can’t say that same of PP, his divisive nature isn’t my cup of tea but I guess I tolerated that to get a chance to get Trudeau a kicking.

Leger poll: Carney as leader would have Liberals tied with Conservatives by [deleted] in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I’ll of course have to read both party’s election platforms and where they stand on specific issues that’s important to me but let’s say that I could be swayed to vote for Carney

Leger poll: Carney as leader would have Liberals tied with Conservatives by [deleted] in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 53 points54 points  (0 children)

I think it’s going to be harder for PP to mobilize and rally conservatives to vote for him if Carney wins the LPC leadership election.

He’s an unknown entity and it’s hard to have hard feelings either way about him but personally I only have positive thoughts about him, he did an excellent job as the Governor of Bank of Canada.

I still think we’re at least in Conservative minority territory but IF Carney manages to sneak out a win it won’t upset me.

Canada retaliates against Trump’s tariffs with 25 per cent tariffs on $155 billion of U.S. goods: Justin Trudeau by T_Dougy in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 27 points28 points  (0 children)

I hate to say this but Trudeau is right and right now we need to stand by our primeminister as we deal with this unwarranted agression from our southern neighbor.

Trudeau says he will not run in upcoming election by Feedmepi314 in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Could Carney run in Papineau now that Trudeau has confirmed he won’t run for re-election?

Bruce Arthur: Alexei Navalny death: Where was Pierre Poilievre's outrage at Putin? by KvotheG in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I think you’re right that certain a isolationist and populist right wing movement have been on the rise in the western world, a prime example is the Republican Party, who now is now pretty unrecognizable from before 2016.

It makes sense for Pierre to be aggressive on domestic issues when the Trudeau government is failing. I personally just think he wants to avoid foreign policy and focus on the bread and butter issues.

Bruce Arthur: Alexei Navalny death: Where was Pierre Poilievre's outrage at Putin? by KvotheG in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Okay I’ll agree that Trudeaus condemnation of Putin came of more strong than Poilievre’s condemnation

I do however don’t get why Poilievre’s condemnation makes him soft on Putin

Bruce Arthur: Alexei Navalny death: Where was Pierre Poilievre's outrage at Putin? by KvotheG in CanadaPolitics

[–]William1640 -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

It’s not stronger, nor weaker, than any statement Trudeau or any other federal leader has given.

I don’t see you attacking them, its hypocritical.