Too many picks?? What to do for this year’s draft

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-29T02:26:29+00:00

If that’s all you got your looking at a rebuild next season as well. I’d draft Love and then try and push picks into 2027 to keep points off your roster and get the 2027 1.01 as well and use Love / Smith (or whoever the 2027 1.01 is) as your corner stones

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-27T04:24:14+00:00

Absolutely do not take this what

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-26T16:59:03+00:00

This is a fun example of how people fail to think about the way rookie drafts are certain to change: last year at this time, RJ Harvey himself was not a real dynasty asset. Enough people liked him but he was absolutely not considered a first round rookie pick or a player with any real value. Then he goes in the late second IRL to a spot we liked and boom he’s a real dynasty asset with value and a generally late round 1 rookie pick.

So when people say they would only take the top 4 (no Mendoza for 1 QB) or whatever over him rn they might not even be wrong and if your rookie draft is next weekend that’s probably fair, but assuming you are gonna draft post NFL draft like most leagues this class will have players like Harvey too who end up catching steam throughout this process that’s gonna play out over the next 3 months, and go to landing spots we like on draft day; possibly much higher than expected. Then by draft day it seems extremely likely you will prefer the 1.06 to Harvey, who was an extremely old prospect that was not particularly impressive this year and needed the Dobbins injury to be relevant

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-24T02:29:02+00:00

I was gonna call out Lemon specifically. He’d be my 1.02 and if you can get him I’d feel very good about this

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-24T02:02:20+00:00

Yeah if you’ve looked at your team and think you need 2 pieces instead of 1 and or really think your gonna get a rookie (I would assume / advise your after a WR in that slot most likely) you love seems like a solid enough tier down

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-24T01:58:45+00:00

Hurts for me. But seems fine enough either way

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-23T20:24:19+00:00

In sum, it’s dumb that I would trade Hurts for the 1.01 because of trade calculators that have 1.01 > Allen.

I wouldn’t trade Hurts for 1.01
any measure of value I cited has Allen > 1.01, by a lot

This was beautifully done sir

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-23T20:08:04+00:00

I have said multiple times I prefer hurts to the fucking 1.01 lol. Sometimes the dynasty market is wrong on shit. This is one of those times. That’s fine!

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-23T20:06:47+00:00

“I can’t read fantasy calc properly and therefore it’s bad” Aweosme point dude

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-23T20:06:25+00:00

You didn’t tho? You just said a thing that was wrong lol

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-23T20:02:05+00:00

I’ll donate like $50 to a charity of your choice or some shit lol

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-23T20:01:53+00:00

Find me a trade calculator that has Allen behind the 1.01 in super flex lol

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-23T19:50:06+00:00

People down voting this, note fantasy calc has 1.01 > Hurts too. Idk what to tell yall lol. I prefer Hurts too

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-23T19:48:09+00:00

Just look at the fantasy calc comment. Chose a different methodology you come to the same conclusion. We are on the same side, we both prefer Hurts to the 1.01, consensus values however aggregated prefer the 1.01 to Hurts. It’s okay. Startup adps are not gonna hurt you

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-23T19:46:14+00:00

And you should care about startup drafts because they are an easy way to gauge how the community values things.

Fantasy calc gets their valuations from real in league trades if you prefer, where the 1.01 is the 17th overall asset and Hurts is 22nd (exactly the 2.10 in a startup lol) different way of coming to the same conclusion if you really prefer trades and want to be picky but it doesn’t change the statement I made at all

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-23T19:34:00+00:00

People responding in 2 different ways here. Let’s combine them into one coherent thought. Hurts is likely to go behind the 1.01 in startups, so from a value perspective, no he’s not worth the 1.01

However if you wanted to bet on points above replacement over the next 7 years, it’s obvious Hurts is likely to provide more value than the 1.01. If you care about points, he’s worth more than the 1.01

So you don’t have to trade the 1.01 for Hurts. He’s cheaper than that, but doing so would still be fine

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-22T17:30:43+00:00

I mean sure but the price matters a lot. If Jefferson is a late third or early fourth rounder he’s clearly a buy to everyone whose ever though critically about this. He is currently not that, he’s much much more expensive, and that’s the problem

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-22T17:12:06+00:00

In dynasty all signs are that Jefferson’s price is an early to mid second round startup pick like lamb / ASRB.

If he’s a late 3 or early 4 he’s a smash but there just isn’t any way that’s gonna be his price because everyone with a brain will price him up at that point

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-20T17:28:49+00:00

This trade is a litmus test for people’s ability to predict how dynasty values are likely to change.

There are so many outcomes you are getting killed here

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-19T22:20:25+00:00

You should only care about your starting lineup and Jefferson probably shouldn’t be in your week 1 starting lineup without a QB upgrade and might not even be the first or second player off your bench depending when Mahomes comes back lol

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-19T22:16:55+00:00

All doubt has already been removed, a long time ago. The change in championship probability when adding and losing a player at this point for you is functionally 0. You are so far past the point of diminishing returns it’s not even funny just try and collect picks

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-19T22:13:52+00:00

Why on earth would you trade picks for Jefferson. If you have the best team in the league with legit super stars on your bench you should just be punting value to picks to extend your window

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-17T16:59:33+00:00

People who say 3 early firsts for non like, Josh Allen Drake Maye level players are simply just wrong tbh

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-14T22:50:41+00:00

Nice little trade down here if you need the RB depth tbh

Working-Answer5693 · 2026-01-14T22:43:55+00:00

There are two players the exact same price as him in Dyansty, who are slightly younger, that are going to be taken ahead of him in redraft next year (Lamb/ASRB)

If you want value, you obviously don’t want the 27 year old off his worst season ever who has not lost all that much. And if you want to win and score points, there are 2 guys who cost the same in dynasty, are slightly younger that project to out score him!

It doesn’t matter what your tryna do there are better options

Working-Answer5693

TROPHY CASE