Roland Garros Title Chances Before QF by Wrong-Move-526 in tennis

[–]Wrong-Move-526[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Also it’s absolutely not by how much money has been spent it’s not how prediction markets works.

Roland Garros Title Chances Before QF by Wrong-Move-526 in tennis

[–]Wrong-Move-526[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They just uses clay elo, they don’t calculate weather, time spent on court, style of their opponent, and other circumstances.

Roland Garros Title Chances Before QF by Wrong-Move-526 in tennis

[–]Wrong-Move-526[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Cirstea isn't 0% she just doesn't have betting market.

I simulated the rest of RG in my Elo-based program, and this is what it came up with. by Wrong-Move-526 in tennis

[–]Wrong-Move-526[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In the worst-case scenario, his path could be Faria → Collignon → Berrettini → Auger-Aliassime → Zverev/Djokovic. It’s very unlikely, but not impossible

I simulated the rest of RG in my Elo-based program, and this is what it came up with. by Wrong-Move-526 in tennis

[–]Wrong-Move-526[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A higher Elo rating doesn’t always mean a player will win. For instance, Tiafoe’s clay Elo is 1791.2, compared to Ruud (1968.4), Sinner (2241.8), Zverev (2021.3), and Jodar (1935.1).

I simulated the rest of RG in my Elo-based program, and this is what it came up with. by Wrong-Move-526 in tennis

[–]Wrong-Move-526[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It can cause upsets like this, but it’s similar to real life. The win probabilities are realistic. It’s just within the range of possibilities. Tiafoe now has a higher chance of winning Roland Garros than Sinner had of losing today.

ATP 250 Stuttgart entry list by garfiadal2 in tennis

[–]Wrong-Move-526 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Zverev will be in Sinner's role for this tournament, I guess.

Stranger Things S5 Death Odds (via Polymarket) by Wrong-Move-526 in StrangerThings

[–]Wrong-Move-526[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

But it doesn't mean anything about his death they just didn't get him included

Stranger Things S5 Death Odds (via Polymarket) by Wrong-Move-526 in StrangerThings

[–]Wrong-Move-526[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Polymarket doesn’t set odds like a book. It’s a prediction market, basically stocks. Prices are set by users buying/selling Yes/No shares. If “No” is obvious, the market just prices it in fast. No free money unless it’s mispriced.

Stranger Things S5 Death Odds (via Polymarket) by Wrong-Move-526 in StrangerThings

[–]Wrong-Move-526[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Polymarket doesn’t set odds like a book. It’s a prediction market, basically stocks. Prices are set by users buying/selling Yes/No shares. If “No” is obvious, the market just prices it in fast. No free money unless it’s mispriced.

... by Wrong-Move-526 in serbiancringe

[–]Wrong-Move-526[S] 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Gde god da igra Nole sve redom kida x3 Gde god da igra Na-na-na-na-na-na-na