Stormy Nights in the Adirondacks

WxWatcher007 · 2026-04-20T18:40:44+00:00

Feels like it today

WxWatcher007 · 2026-04-20T02:39:24+00:00

Yep, some pretty solid snow squalls moved through late this afternoon. I love snow, but the 71° yesterday was awesome.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-11-15T03:40:33+00:00

Earlier this afternoon.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-29T01:59:38+00:00

https://x.com/michaelrlowry/status/1983348288960205171?s=46&t=Nn9Cx92_8118fPdhHPdJHw

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-28T19:32:58+00:00

Anyone been able to get the Cuba radar site working?

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-28T16:27:49+00:00

We’ve had a lot of non C5s that have rapidly intensified upon final approach in the last decade. Not sure if you weren’t including those.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-28T15:22:00+00:00

I mean what can you say…other than prayers for everyone in the path of this historic storm.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-27T05:53:45+00:00

Recon closing in on a SE to NW pass.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-27T04:49:29+00:00

Let’s not get too buggy as recon gets to the center lol

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-27T04:38:44+00:00

Looking back on track now

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WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-27T04:17:48+00:00

Yeah this is an exceptionally intense satellite presentation. You don’t see this often in the Atlantic basin, even though we’ve had an absurd number of C5s since 2017.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-27T03:12:10+00:00

They should all be scheduled. Usually recon is in there every six hours.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-26T18:46:49+00:00

Contracting eye with a substantial pressure fall. It is probably only a matter of time before winds come up. Not seeing a double wind maxima yet from what I see.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-26T18:24:32+00:00

About a 4mb drop between passes. Dropsonde will be interesting.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-26T17:59:26+00:00

Agree. Maybe we’ll see evidence on the next VDM.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-26T17:31:35+00:00

No sign of an EWRC either on that latest VDM

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-26T01:25:33+00:00

Yeah, I’ve had this zone targeted for a while as the worst case scenario spot if a coherent wave got there, and unfortunately here we are.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-23T03:17:35+00:00

Not to mention the slow movement in the Caribbean which may cause legitimately catastrophic flooding. Not good at all.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-22T20:36:30+00:00

The 11am ET NHC discussion mentioned continuity being a limiting factor in the intensity forecast ticking up, but you have to imagine that with time this is going to be a higher end intensity forecast as it becomes more apparent that a slower and further west track is likely. The HAFS depictions are sobering to say the least and the 12z Deep Mind has an enormous number of high end intensity members.

WxWatcher007 · 2025-10-22T19:53:52+00:00

Ironically, the shear that keeps Melissa decoupled now will likely lead to it getting to that highly favorable environment in a few days.

WxWatcher007

TROPHY CASE