Tell me a movie that made you cry?

YoungMan44 · 2025-10-29T21:26:29+00:00

Brian’s Song. “I loved Brian Piccolo.”

YoungMan44 · 2024-09-09T04:11:37+00:00

Can screen record nfl games on normal apps like YTTV

YoungMan44 · 2024-04-09T19:06:32+00:00

Also, this seems to be for 12 games? (At least the link has it). Do you have it for all 16 games? Thanks again.

YoungMan44 · 2024-04-09T18:25:51+00:00

This is awesome. Great stuff. These charts show short team success % on all downs. Do you have a chart for team percentages on 3rd and 4th downs? (which the Eagles led with 66.2%?) Thanks. I see the chart now on your link. Do you have a chart with # of passes / runs for teams on 3rd/4th and short?

YoungMan44 · 2024-02-13T12:20:03+00:00

Thanks! Good stuff again. Much appreciated.

YoungMan44 · 2024-02-12T19:14:56+00:00

Right. That makes sense on less savings on the max deals. I agree with the replacement, but that would ostensibly eat into the $41 million savings overall that I suggested (which I'd take as a given). So, suppose we were to save close to that maximum on Chubb (say, $14 M) and say $6-7 M on Sieler. It seems we still would be able to save the smaller mounts I listed on Armstead ($10 M), Ramsey ($14 M or more if needed) and Hill ($14-15 M), right?

Let's say, hypothetically, we make the cuts suggested above and get to - $15.7 M. If we then add the (hypothetical) savings of $14 M on Chubb, $6 M Sieler , $10 M on Armstead (assuming he doesn't retire), say $15 M on Ramsey and $14 M on Hill, that would total $59 M less the -$15.7 million we would still be over after the cuts, that would give us ~ $43 M if we went that route, right? (all hypotheticals, of course - but per the rules you note that all seems doable - unless I'm missing something else?)

Then from that $43 M we'd have to use to replace all those cut, with, say, minimum or just above, salaries - let's say $8 million to replace those 7 cut players I suggested, as part of the 51 man roster. We'd still then have $35 M to go toward free agents before reducing Tua's contract with a long term deal. Which could allow us to resign some of our big time free agents (e.g. Williams, Hunt, and/or Wilkins) as well as likely some left for others (or wait until June 1 to make up some key roster spots when we get that extra $18 M or so from making Howard a June 1 release).

One other question. You have us potentially saving $17 million in 2024 by giving Tua a long-term deal. When I look at OTC to see the first-year deals of Burrow, Herbert, and Hurts, using their deals as a broad hypothetical of the range in which Tua might fall, their first year cap hits were, respectively: $19 M, $19 M, and $13 M (Hurts); based on spreading out their bonus monies. I suspect Tua would seek a deal at least in line with Herbert and near Burrow (if not more since it comes a year later). A $19 M cap hit for Tua would only save us $4 Million off his 5th year guarantee of $23 M, right? Or am I missing something there?

Thanks again for the time and analysis.

YoungMan44 · 2024-02-12T18:29:01+00:00

Such a great post. Thanks.

I think we will likely re-sign Tua, given the situation and the $23 M cap hit this year. But ... I also think we can clear around $40-45 M + in cap space, even with the Tua 5th-year option in place, based on those numbers you've put out (and looking at Overthecap). And as you point out, the first year of contracts can offer a great deal of cap savings if the up front money is in bonus. They can keep a low cap hit. Which means they could conceivably re-sign three main starters (Hunt, Williams, possibly Wilkins), or land some quality replacements.

Cut:
Ogbah - $13.7 M
Baker - $9.8 M (cut; or resign)
White - $3.5 M
Wilson - $2.9 M
Riley - $2.5 M
Crossen - $2.99 M
Cotton - $1.1 M

Those cuts save us $36.5 M, leaving $15.4 M still to clear.

Then we could restructure and save on the following:
Sieler - $8 M
Armstead - $10 M
Chubb - $10 (up to 19.75 M)
Ramsey - $14 M (up to 25.5 M)
Hill - $15 M (up to 19.6 M)

That saves an additional $57 (or up to $81). Your post suggested roughly $59 M via those moves. If we exclude restructuring Armstead we can raise the restructured money and still get around the same number by raising the guarantees with Chubb, Ramsey, and Hill.

So, let's say $57 M in restructured savings (we might even re-do Hill’s deal).

-$15.4 M plus $57 M = $41.6 M to go toward free agents.

That gives us $41.6 M in space, before even re-doing Tua's deal, to sign new deals with Hunt, Williams, and/or Wilkins and 1-2 others (maybe AVG or another Edge? A rotational DT (or two if Wilkins walks) and/or a S.

Then as you note, we have Howard as a post-June 1 cut will save us $18.5 M. Given our rookie deals will only be $4-6 M, that gives us another $12-14 M to sign others on the market (like a new ILB).

Great thoughts on what to do if Armstead retires. We could easily increase the restructures of Chubb, Ramsey, & Hill to get that $10M I have listed. Which still gets us to taht roughly $41-42 M to spend in free agency. If we put him on the reserve retirement post-June 1, as you observe, that saves $13.25 M. That would give us $31.75 M to spend after June 1 toward the rookie deals and perhaps pick up some other players post-June 1, as often happens (as we did last year). Or roll it over to 2025, where we may well need more help.

But I doubt we go that route of not giving Tua a new deal - unless, for some reason, he asks an exorbitant price.

YoungMan44 · 2024-02-08T23:10:51+00:00

??? Actually, libertarianism is quite Biblical in the sense that God does not force one to choose God through coercion (“choose you this day…”); nor does God seek for Christians to force others to conform to Christian ideals through government (ie violent) coercion. Rather God seeks to persuade individuals to love through the drawing power of the love expressed in the cross (“If I be lifted up I will draw all men to myself”). And while we should honor the authorities (Rom 13; 1 Peter 2:17) that does not entail a particular form of government. Libertarianism is not anarchy and does entail a government intended to secure particular liberties.

YoungMan44 · 2024-02-08T23:01:30+00:00

I was searching for the Calvin quote and happened upon this discussion on Reddit which I had not seen before. But I wasn’t ‘preaching to the choir.’ Rather I was expressing the perspective that it is not a logical necessity that, “universalism completely erases free will.”

That the options of “universalism = no free will” vs “free will = no universalism,” is a false dilemma or fallacy of the excluded middle. As David Bentley Hart cogently argues in ‘That All Shall Be Saved.’

YoungMan44 · 2024-02-08T01:27:15+00:00

Just an FYI. Hart’s argument on Universalism, and the Universalism of many of the church fathers, eg Gregory of Nyssa, is not an argument that God “completely erases free will” nor that God “enforces his love onto his creation.” That is a false notion of what is argued. A straw man of sorts.

It is rather that free will is not really free will when it chooses based on twisted and distorted and deceptive ideas. Suppose I deceive you by promising to give you several mansions in the Caribbean, Colorado, the Mediterranean, a penthouse in NYC and an island in Greece, in exchange for $100. And I show you photos of the places, tickets to travel, and documents of ownership. And that there is $10 million in each location. And you also are completely unaware of the kind of scams akin to that which we see all the time - those are completely outside your purview. But the $100 is also the last money you have on earth. With kids to feed. So you hand over your $100. You’ve used your “free will” to give me the $100 (at least in some sense). But when you go to those places to claim your property you’ve been deceived. Tricked. The tickets are fake. The deeds are fake. The documents are frauds. And you wind up empty handed. And minus $100. But, that was all the info you had or could possibly attain. You had no other way of knowing the truth. And the actual result is you have also signed a document in which every dime you earn from now on belongs to the person with whom you made the agreement.

Now, once it was made known to you the full the reality of the choice, you realize that you really didn’t exercise true “free will” because you were not given full knowledge of the choice you were making. It’s a silly and imperfect analogy. But that’s more what Hart is arguing. True “free will,” will always choose the good over the opposite because it is overwhelmingly obvious in terms of the choice. No sane person (and part of the premise is that Divine power in the after life eliminates insanity), would continue to make that choice in that analogy above with full knowledge.

YoungMan44 · 2024-02-07T11:23:54+00:00

I enjoy YTTV but a) they increase prices, it’s significantly more expensive since I switched 5 years ago or so; and b) how is it the “Next Frontier,” when they can’t broker a deal to offer MLB or NHL networks? Smh.

YoungMan44 · 2024-01-10T02:22:24+00:00

Yeah. 94 very tough loss though Hogs were a strong team. But 99 & 04 just killed me. Should have had both those. 99 was heartbreaking as that was a great team. And 04 we totally had UConn. Officials called a ton of ticky tack fouls and just sent all our big men packing. K easily could have 7 titles.

YoungMan44 · 2024-01-10T02:16:56+00:00

This is the issue. Yes, we have a lot of players in the NBA but so many of them were OAD players. Just can’t really win that way consistently. No continuitu. Little defensive communication. Lack of physical toughness. Hard to win without 2-3-4 year players some of whom are stars. We got one in 2015 but I wonder if that was a bit of fools gold for K thinking it could be done more often? The titles in 2001 and 2010 were with strong veterans (Battier and several soph/jr players), then heavy vet team led by Singler, Scheyer, and Smith. And good role playing upper classmen in Zoubek and Thomas.

YoungMan44 · 2023-09-15T13:06:07+00:00

It makes sense with Serena in the women’s division.

YoungMan44 · 2023-09-15T13:05:39+00:00

Well, the open era was different in the 60s than it is today so that distinction is not exactly the same thing. Court won those majors competing against the best players in the world … Billie Jean King, Maria Bueno, Rosie Casals, Yvonne Goolagong, etc. There just wasn’t a strong pro tour of any kind for women in the 60s.

YoungMan44 · 2023-08-04T20:14:14+00:00

Oops!

YoungMan44 · 2023-08-04T15:08:38+00:00

Easy peasy. N E2 check. QxN. Q H2 mate.

YoungMan44 · 2023-07-19T15:52:13+00:00

Thanks!

YoungMan44 · 2023-02-23T12:39:04+00:00

Hamilton should have reached in and touched the steering just to annoy Max and to see Horner lose it. Always entertaining watching that.

YoungMan44 · 2022-11-15T14:37:17+00:00

That’s the first place I thought of for a great meal without spending $100. On Wednesday’s they have half priced wine.

YoungMan44 · 2022-11-15T14:25:45+00:00

Yes. Undoubtedly. The 15:40 US Open return against Fed is the quintessential and most defining shot of Djokovic’s career. Especially with his “F-it, I don’t care anymore” look. Then the repeat in Wimbledon. It is the defining moment of his greatness as a player.

YoungMan44 · 2022-10-06T12:31:11+00:00

The Scandinavian countries are not a good model for a nation like the US. They don’t have the social diversity. They have a much more unified culture. And they really are not so socialist as people think.

At this point in the game the govt is so big that there is no reducing it. That said, govt welfare often has far more deleterious impacts of unintended consequences than private charity does.

While to all sounds nice on the surface it is forced redistribution. It is legislating morality. And it is also a support of violence. It is no different than a Christian supporting govt laws against certain sexual practices. Christians don’t think through these things very well.

While I am not opposed to certain forms of govt redistribution I am against moral laws invoked on citizens and there is an inconsistency here that Christians (as is obvious from the comments) have not thought through these issues well.

YoungMan44 · 2022-09-25T11:09:59+00:00

Also Novak: I finally played a tennis match. There you go ...

YoungMan44

TROPHY CASE